Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes
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stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65186
#128661Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81454
#128663Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128664So much for Santa coming once a year.
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128665Looks like Santa had some help emptying his sack.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128666Great news kids!! You only have to leave Santa cookies this year, he's got his own milkers now!!!
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stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65186
#128668Daggles?
The beauty of the beef and black bean burrito is your farting the next day too.
It's truly the gift that keeps on giving.Comment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65186
#128674Can i play too?
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128678
4-0 turns to 2-2 for the Fund, which is nothing.
It's the UNIT swing in the Fund that sucks...
952 17-Sep WAS +103 -1 958 CIN +157 1.57 959 CHC +200 -1 967 MIN +193 1.93 Fri 1.5
Not to mention the missed LIVE opportunity.
I kind of glad The Fund was only up +1.5 units, because I haven't posted a chart in a while and I wanted to get into beofre a breakout. Which we almost had.
How about the Giants/ATL game. Atlanta takes the lead top of the 9th, but we're in extras.
Comment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65186
#128679I'm so pissed at myself over that. I had up in the terminal, two different books, and said fukk it, when it was a viable legit play at +133.
4-0 turns to 2-2 for the Fund, which is nothing.
It's the UNIT swing in the Fund that sucks...
952 17-Sep WAS +103 -1 958 CIN +157 1.57 959 CHC +200 -1 967 MIN +193 1.93 Fri 1.5
Not to mention the missed LIVE opportunity.
I kind of glad The Fund was only up +1.5 units, because I haven't posted a chart in a while and I wanted to get into beofre a breakout. Which we almost had.
How about the Giants/ATL game. Atlanta takes the lead top of the 9th, but we're in extras.
"Shake it off"Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128680
Losses don't always mean failure. And failure doesn't always mean losses. I'm defining failure as mistakes here.
Read that quoted post. Discipline is everything. When metrics or criteria are met, triggers must be pulled. This isn't a breakdown in discipline where bets that shouldn't be made were made, the most common type outside of breakdown in bet amount variation. This is a break down where I was present, looking at the situation, seeing what I would take. Seeing it, and not taking it.
It's not as bad as the first type of breakdown, which can occur in so many different ways, from chasing to bad information, to getting fooled and not on being on your toes 24/7, the ways are countless; but all types of breakdowns must be evaluated.
If you are confident in your capping and it's not false confidence, then all you can ask for are more opportunities. If you aren't there for opportunities, it's ok, you can't be there for everything, but when it's up on the screen and could be bought, and isn't, that's a mistake. And it won.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128681Indeed. For that error, after review, the only thing I can do is just that, shake it off.
It's exactly what has to happen. Any other action to try to avoid or curb that behavior with just tonight's incident would be the opposite of shaking it off.
The best sports bettor to ever live won't have a major in mathematics and a minor psychology, he'll have the major in psychology and the minor in mathematics.
Comment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65186
#128682Indeed. For that error, after review, the only thing I can do is just that, shake it off.
It's exactly what has to happen. Any other action to try to avoid or curb that behavior with just tonight's incident would be the opposite of shaking it off.
The best sports bettor to ever live won't have a major in mathematics and a minor psychology, he'll have the major in psychology and the minor in mathematics.
But yeah all the math in the world that you have learned and retained over the years doesn't mean jack shit if your mind ain't right.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128684
The Cars were awesome. Those early MTV embracers, making videos...
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128686Did anyone happen to notice how the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket is doing?
Here's last year, with links to every play. This ml fund was -9.64 units last year over 101 plays and was 68-31-2 against the close beating it by .17 cents...
Total -9.64 68-31-2 0.17 2020 Date NCAAF UPSET Basket 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ML per bet Line Closer? Average 241 5-Sep M TENN ST +155 -1 151 Y 0.04 243 7-Sep BYU -120 0.83 -119 N -0.01 403 12-Sep COAST CAR +150 1.5 170 N -0.20 107 19-Sep WAKE +125 -1 -131 Y 0.56 115 MIA +110 1.1 -124 Y 0.34 125 LOUIS TECH +170 1.7 232 N -0.62 155 ABILENE CHRIST +163 -1 245 N -0.81 401 26-Sep LOUISVILLE +150 -1 126 Y 0.24 109 3-Oct E CAROLINA -102 -1 -123 Y 0.25 125 MEMPHIS +115 -1 105 Y 0.10 131 NAVY -110 -1 -250 Y 1.40 135 T TECH +160 -1 -117 Y 0.77 159 S MISS +105 1.05 110 N -0.05 307 10-Oct MISS ST +130 -1 135 N -0.05 315 E CAROL +155 1.55 169 N -0.14 105 15-Oct GA ST +150 -1 147 Y 0.03 117 17-Oct NAVY +103 1.03 -166 Y 0.69 119 DUKE +160 -1 142 Y 0.18 121 VIRGINIA +117 -1 104 Y 0.13 135 TEXAS ST +125 -1 164 N -0.39 139 MISSISSIPPI (+102) -1 -114 Y 0.16 157 N TEXAS +153 1.53 145 Y 0.08 165 GEORGIA +172 -1 180 N -0.08 309 23-Oct LAFAYETTE +105 1.05 -126 Y 0.31 311 24-Oct GTECH +161 -1 137 Y 0.24 313 FLORIDA ST +165 -1 178 N -0.13 347 CINCI +125 1.25 -103 Y 0.28 349 IOWA ST +155 -1 115 Y 0.40 361 SC +188 -1 178 Y 0.10 375 HAWAII +165 1.65 119 Y 0.46 389 GA ST +103 1.03 111 N -0.08 393 M TENN ST +110 1.1 150 N -0.40 103 29-Oct S ALABAMA +170 -1 151 Y 0.19 157 29-Oct COLORADO ST -102 -1 -127 Y 0.25 141 30-Oct HAWAII +102 -1 -135 Y 0.37 115 31-Oct UTSA +170 -1 175 N -0.05 117 31-Oct K STATE +140 -1 169 N -0.29 155 RICE +144 1.44 -112 Y 0.56 161 N'WESTERN +156 1.56 -119 Y 0.75 163 TEXAS +135 1.35 154 N -0.19 169 TEMPLE +106 -1 198 N -0.92 173 31-Oct TROY +122 1.22 143 N -0.21 175 TCU -110 0.91 -126 Y 0.16 181 LSU -110 -1 -110 PUSH 0.00 285 4-Nov BALL ST +155 -1 -104 Y 0.59 287 E MICH +161 -1 170 N -0.09 295 OHIO -110 -1 -135 Y 0.25 319 7-Nov PITT -110 0.91 -116 Y 0.06 325 TROY -103 -1 -132 Y 0.29 361 WASH ST +106 1.06 133 N -0.27 379 NEBRASKA +161 -1 152 Y 0.09 119 11-Nov TOLEDO +115 -1 105 Y 0.10 141 14-Nov TCU +124 -1 142 N -0.18 155 MIAMI +110 1.1 104 Y 0.06 161 WISCONSIN -110 0.91 -249 Y 1.39 165 N'WESTERN -110 0.91 -168 Y 0.58 197 BAYLOR -103 -1 102 N -0.05 203 ARMY +170 -1 139 Y 0.31 207 SMU +102 -1 -127 Y 0.29 225 LOUISVILLE +135 -1 183 N -0.48 313 18-Nov W MICH -103 0.97 -107 Y 0.04 327 20-Nov PURDUE -110 -1 -132 Y 0.22 333 21-Nov IOWA +108 1.08 -110 Y 0.18 341 E CAROL +108 1.08 -259 Y 2.67 359 LIBERTY +132 -1 155 N -0.23 365 GA SOUTH +161 -1 139 Y 0.22 375 RICE +108 -1 104 Y 0.04 387 SDSU +105 -1 -110 Y 0.15 393 LSU +115 1.15 -121 Y 0.36 137 27-Nov STANFORD +110 1.1 -117 Y 0.27 143 IOWA ST +115 1.15 -132 Y 0.47 157 28-Nov GA SOUTH +104 -1 123 N -0.19 181 PENN ST +160 1.6 -103 Y 0.63 185 DUKE -110 -1 -136 Y 0.26 219 N TEXAS +125 -1 103 Y 0.22 289 LOUISVILLE +102 -1 -102 Y 0.02 299 SDSU +140 -1 187 N -0.47 323 3-Dec LOUSIANA TECH +107 1.07 -113 Y 0.20 327 4-Dec UL LAFAYETTE +138 1.38 143 N -0.05 357 5-Dec NEBRASKA +103 1.03 104 N -0.01 361 FAU -110 -1 -135 Y 0.45 363 BG +132 -1 122 Y 0.10 365 BALL ST +115 1.15 -131 Y 0.46 383 UCLA +161 1.61 115 Y 0.46 393 OK ST -106 -1 -128 Y 0.22 429 MEMPHIS +110 -1 142 N -0.32 437 ARKANSAS +140 -1 107 Y 0.33 445 SJSU -105 0.95 -137 Y 0.42 491 6-Dec W KENTUCKY +102 1.02 120 N -0.18 113 12-Dec WAKE +124 -1 -116 Y 0.40 115 DUKE +170 -1 133 Y 0.37 385 WISCONSIN +134 -1 -124 Y 0.58 393 RUTGERS +140 1.4 130 Y 0.10 399 W MICHIGAN +130 -1 -120 Y 0.50 405 N ILLINOIS +168 -1 189 N -0.21 419 NC +168 1.68 128 Y 0.40 421 VIRGINIA +130 -1 134 N -0.04 195 18-Dec UAB +170 1.7 170 PUSH 0.00 251 OREGON +150 1.5 143 Y 0.07 247 19-Dec MISSISSIPPI +110 -1 -113 Y 0.23 249 MISSOURI -103 -1 -112 Y 0.09 Total -9.64 68-31-2 0.17
But the thing is, we waited all year for that Fund to pop, like it always has, but it was a COVID year. While 101 plays went off, 33 triggers in that Fund were cancelled. I can even post those too, with links, lol.
So of course we expected the Fund to pop, fully Funded and getting posted here at SBR. So of course it does...
The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket with links to each play...
So, shit, I hope everyone tailed, lol. because it gets choppy from here.Date NCAAF UPSET Basket 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ML per bet Line Closer? Average 137 2-Sep BOISE ST +155 -1 182 N -0.27 153 3-Sep MICH ST +160 1.6 140 Y 0.20 157 4-Sep ARMY +130 1.3 115 Y 0.15 173 INDIANA +160 -1 155 Y 0.05 197 SYRACUSE +108 1.08 119 N -0.09 201 UTSA +165 1.65 167 N -0.02 209 S MISS +102 -1 115 N -0.13 217 NEVADA +145 1.45 127 Y 0.18 317 11-Sep SC +160 1.6 -143 Y 0.83 349 IOWA +160 1.6 161 N -0.01 359 TEXAS ST -103 0.97 102 N -0.05 381 SDSU -103 0.97 107 N -0.10 119 18-Sep VTECH +135 131 MINN +115 175 CHARLOTTE -103 197 OK ST +155 Total 9.22 5-7-0 0.06
I remain full Funded though, and when we get into the charts which now can span over 3 seasons of posted plays, we'll aggressively trade this Fund.
Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128688Ok, so I want to tell you guys about what happened here with Vtech/WV and the lines...
Books trying to take Vtech off the table for a pro audience while at the same time keeping the line low.
Fukkers.
So the first line available to me is Vtech +3 and the Total is 46.5. I scream BUY into the phone...lol.
We slam.
87 seconds later the line stays at 3, but the Total moves to 49
20 minutes after that the Total moves to 48.5 and the line drops to 2.5...it eventually went to 3 and traded back and forth.
5D opens with the 3 line just 5 minutes after Circa but waits 50 more minutes to open the Total at 49.5, well above the 48 threshold.
The line went on to trade at 50 and 50.5 while Vtech sits at -2.5.
They kept us off Vtech as best they could but that Total will drop off of 50.5 and Vtech will probably never touch +3 again, and me even drop further to 1.5 or lower.
Expect that Total to drop, and if it makes it down to 48, we could see a pick em.
This is what happens when you are on the forefront of the marketplace.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128689Think Tank this shit.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#128690Here's the Fund that Vtech spread play went into.
The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund...
1 Unit Closing Beat BTC Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average 153 3-Sep MICH ST +4.5 (-110) 0.91 3 Y 1.5 173 4-Sep INDIANA +4 (-107) -1 3.5 Y 1 119 18-Sep VTECH +3 (-110) 131 MINN +3 (-110) 179 SC +32 (-110) Total -0.09 2-0-0 1.25
Last year this Fund was 33-24-2 ATS for +6.42 units and was 38-11-10 against the close beating it buy more than a point. 10 triggered plays were cancelled due to the Kung Flu.
Here is every play with links...
1 Unit Closing Beat BTC Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average 119 1-0-0 19-Sep SYRACUSE +21 (-110) 0.91 21 PUSH 0 133 2-0-0 NAVY +4.5 (-105)* 0.95 4.5 PUSH 0 155 2-0-1 ABILENE CHRIST +4 (-110) 0 8 N -4 437 2-1-1 26-Sep KENTUCKY +9.5 (-110) -1 6 Y 3.5 449 2-2-1 DUKE +6 (-105) -1 4 Y 2 321 3-2-1 CAMPBELL +36 (-110) 0.91 32.5 Y 3.5 323903 4-2-1 E KENTUCKY +10 (-115) 0.87 8.5 Y 1.5 435 5-2-1 VANDERBILT +30.5 (-103) 0.97 31.5 N -1 105 6-2-1 3-Oct S FLORIDA +24 (-110) 0.91 21.5 Y 2.5 115 6-3-1 MISSOURI +11 (-110) -1 10 Y 1 121 7-3-1 NC STATE +14 (-104) 0.96 14 PUSH 0 153 7-4-1 AUBURN +7.5 (-110) -1 7.5 PUSH 0 315 8-4-1 10-Oct E CAROL +4 (-104) 0.96 5.5 N -1.5 321 8-5-1 TENNESSEE +14 (-103) -1 12.5 Y 1.5 329 9-5-1 ARKANSAS +16.5 (-105) 0.95 13.5 Y 3 339 9-6-1 TEXAS ST +7 (-105) -1 7 PUSH 0 113 9-7-1 17-Oct PIT +10.5 (-107) -1 11.5 N -1 127 10-7-1 KANSAS +22 (-106) 0.94 21 Y 1 133 11-7-1 KENTUCKY +6 (-105) 0.95 6 PUSH 0 137 11-8-1 W KENTUCKY +13 (-110) -1 10.5 Y 2.5 313 11-9-1 24-Oct FLORIDA ST +6.5 (-110) -1 5 Y 1.5 339 12-9-1 RUTGERS +16.5 (-110) 0.91 9.5 Y 7 359 12-10-1 KANSAS +20 (-114) -1 18.5 Y 1.5 393 13-10-1 M TENN ST +4 (-107) 0.93 3.5 Y 0.5 115 13-11-1 31-Oct UTSA +7.5 (-110) -1 4.5 Y 3 117 13-12-1 KANSAS ST +4 (-110) -1 5 N -1 161 14-12-1 N'WESTERN +3.5 (-110) 0.92 -1 Y 4.5 311 15-12-1 6-Nov SJSU +9.5 (-102) 0.98 10 N -0.5 329 16-12-1 7-Nov UL MONROE +19.5 (-110) 0.91 18.5 Y 1 345 17-12-1 BAYLOR +14 (-107) 0.93 14 PUSH 0 349 17-13-1 MICHIGAN ST +7 (-112) -1 5.5 Y 1.5 387 18-13-1 VANDERBILT +18.5 (-107) 0.93 18 Y 0.5 393 19-13-1 NEW MEXICO +16.5 (-110) 0.91 13.5 Y 3 395 20-13-1 W KENTUCKY +11.5 (-110) 0.91 6.5 Y 5 407 21-13-1 N ALABAMA +17.5 (-120) 0.83 17 Y 0.5 139 22-13-1 14-Nov VANDERBILT +18 (-110) 0.91 17 Y 1 141 22-14-1 TCU +3 (-110) -1 3 PUSH 0 195 22-15-1 UTEP +5 (-110) -1 5.5 N -0.5 221 23-15-1 S MISS +8 (-110) 0.91 8 PUSH 0 327 23-16-1 20-Nov PURDUE +1 (-105) -1 -2.5 Y 3.5 333 24-16-1 21-Nov IOWA +3 (-110) 0.91 -1 Y 4 345 25-16-1 MISS ST +23 (-110) 0.91 26.5 N -3.5 373 25-17-1 FLORIDA INT +10 (-110) -1 7 Y 3 403 25-18-1 KANSAS ST +11.5 (-108) -1 13.5 N -2 233 26-18-1 28-Nov KANSAS ST +5 (-110) 0.91 5.5 N -0.5 297 27-18-1 28-Nov UTAH +7 (-105) 0.95 9 N -2 347 27-19-1 5-Dec SC +12.5 (-110) -1 11.5 Y 1 363 27-20-1 BG +4 (-110) -1 2.5 Y 1.5 375 28-20-1 RICE +25 (-110) 0.91 24.5 Y 0.5 395 28-21-1 WV +6.5 (-111) -1 6 Y 0.5 401 29-21-1 INDIANA +14 (-110) 0.91 12.5 Y 1.5 427 29-22-1 COLORADO ST +9.5 (-110) -1 7.5 Y 2 491 30-22-1 6-Dec W KENTUCKY +2.5 (-105) LIVE 0.95 2.5 PUSH 0 385 30-23-1 12-Dec WISCONSIN +3 (-120) -1 -1.5 Y 4.5 391 30-23-2 MICHIGAN ST +15 (-106) 0 14 Y 1 425 30-24-2 ILLINOIS +14.5 (-106) -1 13 Y 1.5 195 31-24-2 18-Dec UAB +6 (-110) 0.91 4.5 Y 1.5 211 32-24-2 19-Dec MINNESOTA +11.5 (-107) 0.93 11 Y 0.5 237 33-24-2 TULSA +14 (-115) 0.87 13.5 Y 0.5 33-24-2 Total 6.42 38-11-10 1.050847
There are several seasons of charts of all posted plays at SBR with this Fund as well, but it's not a market tracking Fund.
We'll get into this chart as the season moves on as well.
Links to past summaries...
Here is the 2018 Summary...52-30-1 ATS for +18.73 UNITS; 50-18-15 vs. the close beating it by .63 points.
Here is the 2019 Summary...60-52-1 ATS for +3.41 UNITS; 65-31-17 vs. the close beating it by .54 points.
Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#128691HospitalizedComment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 01-19-12
- 26314
#128695What happened to Fidel?Comment
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