1. #100486
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    Bet 105 just moved, 5 seconds ago.

    It's now 12.5.

    Now back to what I was typing...

  2. #100487
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    I'm so fukkin pissed right now.

    The UPSET Basket was going to hit hard and I hit it hard for this weekend, and we are getting fukked by the Kung Flu again.

    Remember, this is a market tracking Fund, not just any ole set of capping plays. We've seen it's power before, and here it is again.

    Just look at where we were with 9 UPSET Basket plays pending...



    But wait, one of the points of all this is to show real time example and that means I rarely, but sometimes make mistakes, plays that don't qualify anymore, and all kind of real life quirks that make betting difficult or plays questinable for a particular Fund. Showing some past record is great and all, but doing it real time is much harder.

    My point is the Eastern Michigan very briefly qualified for the UPSET basket this week, I was baited and the market was manipulated. It happens, but the UPSET basket takes any qualifiers. We could show charts on the same metrics at the open or at the close, but here we show by example and that means being subject of manipulation.

    So if we take the E Mich loss out from Nov 4th, here's what that chart looks like...



    With 9 plays left for today you can see why I was very optimistic.

    But with 5 of those triggers now falling victim to the Kung Flu, we got fukked.

    Here the remaining plays...

    319 7-Nov PITT -110
    325 TROY -103
    361 WASH ST +106
    379 NEBRASKA +161

    Here are the games the got the China Plague....

    331 LOUISVILLE -103
    365 WASHINGTON -110
    383 UTSA +161
    391 FLORIDA INT +108
    397 LOUIS TECH +115

    Now I hope you can see why I'm so pissed.

    I don't anticipate the situation getting much better each week either.


  3. #100488
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 58,441
    Betpoints: 24202

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    It's also why I used the Funds. I can just post a play and anyone who want's to know why can refer to the Fund description or ask specific questions..

    That way I can do one write-up for a whole set of games now and moving forward....lol.


    Can't argue with that system

  4. #100489
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197


  5. #100490
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    lol Lebronda.

    Well played.

    He should put Trump's face on this...


  6. #100491
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197

    I just snapped a pic of these chicks on CNN.

    Left, Right or Middle?


  7. #100492
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197

    How about this one, KVB?



  8. #100493
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    How about this one, KVB?



  9. #100494
    BrickJames
    Action
    BrickJames's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-05-11
    Posts: 9,742
    Betpoints: 8929

    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    I just snapped a pic of these chicks on CNN.

    Left, Right or Middle?

    What happened to social distancing?

    These Democrats kept saying over and over again that Trump's rallies were super spreaders.

    Oh but the celebrations are okay I guess huh?

  10. #100495
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by BrickJames View Post
    What happened to social distancing?

    These Democrats kept saying over and over again that Trump's rallies were super spreaders.

    Oh but the celebrations are okay I guess huh?
    they are wearing their face masks you dummy!...

  11. #100496
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    Not sure if she's right or middle but I'll take the feisty broad with the double middle finger.


  12. #100497
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    You think your pal Nasher went overboard a tad with this latest post?


    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...tate-game.html
    good call and nice hit, Nasher!...

  13. #100498
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197

    Quote Originally Posted by BrickJames View Post
    What happened to social distancing?

    These Democrats kept saying over and over again that Trump's rallies were super spreaders.

    Oh but the celebrations are okay I guess huh?
    Exactly. And not a peep from the news anchors abut the virus.

    They are just talking about how beautiful this is seeing people dance in the streets.

  14. #100499
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Not sure if she's right or middle but I'll take the feisty broad with the double middle finger.

    She's ready for two guys, with those fingers.

    Fidles and... you I guess?

  15. #100500
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Not sure if she's right or middle but I'll take the feisty broad with the double middle finger.

    I'll take the left in white...can't go wrong with perky C-Cup !...damn I belched!...

  16. #100501
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    I'll take the left in white...can't go wrong with perky C-Cup !...damn I belched!...

  17. #100502
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Exactly. And not a peep from the news anchors abut the virus.

    They are just talking about how beautiful this is seeing people dance in the streets.
    because they are wearing their face masks you dummy!...

  18. #100503
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197

    Manster, you see that forehead?

  19. #100504
    BrickJames
    Action
    BrickJames's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-05-11
    Posts: 9,742
    Betpoints: 8929

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    they are wearing their face masks you dummy!...
    What about 6 feet apart and no gatherings of more than 10 people?

  20. #100505
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,629
    Betpoints: 9421

    Itís a fivehead
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB

  21. #100506
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,629
    Betpoints: 9421

    A sixhead if she waters it more often.

  22. #100507
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Manster, you see that forehead?
    No..I'd be too busy sucking on her while giving her a flesh injection of the ole pork sword...

  23. #100508
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by BrickJames View Post
    What about 6 feet apart and no gatherings of more than 10 people?
    that was during the initial shutdown phase of the country when we were trying to get the virus under control...but since numbers have improved (until recently) and states have opened back up in their various phases, social distancing is still encouraged but not strictly enforced unless you are wearing your masks...they have all of these weird goddamn stipulations...even bars in maryland now you have to be wearing your face mask and you have to be seated while drinking any alcoholic beverage!...if not, they get fined anywhere from $2,500 - $5,000 not to mention incurring the risk of being shutdown again.

  24. #100509
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    Fund Look: The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund

    Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through last week and 27 plays with links to each play.

    The Fund is 14-12-1 ats for +1.04 units and is 16-5-6 averging +1.17 vs the closing line.

    That does not count last night's SJSU +.98 unit win.

    Here is the summary with links...

    1 Unit Closing Beat BTC
    Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average
    119 1-0-0 19-Sep SYRACUSE +21 (-110) 0.91 21 P 0
    133 2-0-0 NAVY +4.5 (-105)* 0.95 4.5 P 0
    155 2-0-1 ABILENE CHRIST +4 (-110) 0 8 N -4
    437 2-1-1 26-Sep KENTUCKY +9.5 (-110) -1 6 Y 3.5
    449 2-2-1 DUKE +6 (-105) -1 4 Y 2
    321 3-2-1 CAMPBELL +36 (-110) 0.91 32.5 Y 3.5
    323903 4-2-1 E KENTUCKY +10 (-115) 0.87 8.5 Y 1.5
    435 5-2-1 VANDY +30.5 (-103) 0.97 31.5 N -1
    105 6-2-1 3-Oct S FLORIDA +24 (-110) 0.91 21.5 Y 2.5
    115 6-3-1 MISSOURI +11 (-110) -1 10 Y 1
    121 7-3-1 NC STATE +14 (-104) 0.96 14 P 0
    153 7-4-1 AUBURN +7.5 (-110) -1 7.5 P 0
    315 8-4-1 10-Oct E CAROL +4 (-104) 0.96 5.5 N -1.5
    321 8-5-1 TENNESSEE +14 (-103) -1 12.5 Y 1.5
    329 9-5-1 ARKANSAS +16.5 (-105) 0.95 13.5 Y 3
    339 9-6-1 TEXAS ST +7 (-105) -1 7 P 0
    113 9-7-1 17-Oct PIT +10.5 (-107) -1 11.5 N -1
    127 10-7-1 KANSAS +22 (-106) 0.94 21 Y 1
    133 11-7-1 KENTUCKY +6 (-105) 0.95 6 P 0
    137 11-8-1 W KENTUCKY +13 (-110) -1 10.5 Y 2.5
    313 11-9-1 24-Oct FLORIDA ST +6.5 (-110) -1 5 Y 1.5
    339 12-9-1 RUTGERS +16.5 (-110) 0.91 9.5 Y 7
    359 12-10-1 KANSAS +20 (-114) -1 18.5 Y 1.5
    393 13-10-1 M TENN ST +4 (-107) 0.93 3.5 Y 0.5
    115 13-11-1 31-Oct UTSA +7.5 (-110) -1 4.5 Y 3
    117 13-12-1 KANSAS ST +4 (-110) -1 5 N -1
    161 14-12-1 N'WESTERN +3.5 (-110) 0.92 -1 Y 4.5
    14-12-1 Total 1.04 16-5-6 1.166667


    The very first two plays of the Fund were posted as the games went off, but they qualified, and it was noted then as now.

    So this Fund isn't exactly a market tracking Fund because it employs two winning spot strategies: the overestimated home team and a Total/Spread ratio, both of which are compared to forecasts.

    This is more of jsut a sharp ass Fund.

    The spot involving the Totals is market tracking, to a certain degree and is 9-10 ATS. The plays involving overestimation of the home team are 6-3. Remember SJSU makes it 28 total plays so far this year for the Fund.

    Let's look at the two year charts...

    The Fund is handling the business against the closing line and if I were to calculate it including the prices and values for key numbers, the results are even better.




    Here are the Units...



    The Fund appears to be healthy and here are this week's plays...

    311 6-Nov SJSU +9.5 (-102) 0.98 10 N -0.5
    329 7-Nov UL MONROE +19.5 (-110)
    345 7-Nov BAYLOR +14 (-107)
    349 MICHIGAN ST +7 (-112)
    387 VANDERBILT +18.5 (-107)
    393 NEW MEXICO +16.5 (-110)
    395 W KENTUCKY +11.5 (-110)
    407 N ALABAMA +17.5 (-120)

    These plays were lost to the Kung Flu...

    351 7-Nov PURDUE +8.5 (-113) KUNG
    383 UTSA +5 (-105) FLU

    Because both Spread and Total movement can affect this Fund, it too can be subject to manipulation and plaYS moving in aNd out of the target range.

    We do our best to keep it clean but sometimes we get baited. It's the nature of the beast and it's good to be able to show that difficulty real time.

    Points Awarded:

    Da Manster! gave KVB 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Da Manster!

  25. #100510
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 118,064
    Betpoints: 26197


  26. #100511
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    I was waiting for a smiling Biden or crying Trump head to pop up for the Flor/GA hit.


  27. #100512
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    It’s a fivehead
    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    A sixhead if she waters it more often.

  28. #100513
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    With Troy and Nebraska failing I hit Pitt hard, again.

    I'm doing the same for Wash St, I would not suggest tailing with overconfidence.

    Trying to squeeze blood out of this turnip of the UPSET Basket, but there are no guarantees here.

  29. #100514
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 16,119
    Betpoints: 1945

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    With Troy and Nebraska failing I hit Pitt hard, again.

    I'm doing the same for Wash St, I would not suggest tailing with overconfidence.

    Trying to squeeze blood out of this turnip of the UPSET Basket, but there are no guarantees here.
    Baylor is up 14-7 on Iowa ST in the 2nd QTR....

  30. #100515
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    21-7 Manster, I also have them to win at +352.

    Had Zona St +340 and USC recovered on onside to win by 1.

    We deserve Baylor...lol.

    Western Kentucky +327, +11.5 too.


  31. #100516
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 54,830
    Betpoints: 8220

    LakerGurl

  32. #100517
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,629
    Betpoints: 9421

    Paula Abdul was a laker girl.

  33. #100518
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 54,830
    Betpoints: 8220


  34. #100519
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 54,830
    Betpoints: 8220

    Indian living in Canada
    If Trump don't win i delete SBR.com cookies and clear my history



  35. #100520
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 82,719
    Betpoints: 9297

    I wonder how long it took Darren Elkins to come up with his nickname..."The Damage"


First ... 2869287028712872287328742875 ... Last
Top