Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #94676
    Cereal Milk, Larry Kushburn, GG#4 all in the house today.

    Expect some productivity posting the funds. And for some of that I am sorry to some of you but we need to get some raw data posts down.

    Let's start with the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through the month of August and 121 triggers, 3 of which were ppd (1 of those in July), so 119 plays...

    952 1-Aug DET +157 -
    969 BOS +179 -1
    978 SEA +135 -1
    910 2-Aug KC +116 -1
    915 PIT +170 -1
    957 3-Aug NYM -125 0.8
    959 PIT +183 -1
    963 KC +131 -1
    970 SD +120 1.2
    903 4-Aug PIT +180 -1
    906 CIN +146 -1
    911 NYM +145 -1
    919 KC +192 -1
    921 SF +160 -1
    926 SD +113 -1
    928 ARI +126 -1
    953 5-Aug BOS +136 1.36
    958 PIT +154 -1
    961 CIN +155 -1
    966 KC +181 -1
    976 SD +119 -1
    902 6-Aug PIT +186 1.86
    903 SF +148 -1
    905 TEX +150 -1
    926 PHI +129 1.29
    958 7-Aug PIT +104 -1
    959 MIA +155 1.55
    968 MIL +103 -1
    979 SF +233 -1
    908 8-Aug PHI -110 0.91
    935 TB +140 1.4
    914 KC +140 1.4
    928 SEA -113 -1
    904 10-Aug DET +124 1.24
    908 BOS +115 -1
    910 MIL -110 -1
    913 ARI +128 1.28
    920 LAA +115 1.15
    955 11-Aug ATL +124 -1
    962 DET +108 -1
    971 ARI -105 -1
    979 SD +150 1.5
    905 12-Aug ARI -104 0.96
    915 ATL +156 -1
    922 MIL +124 -1
    953 13-Aug MIL +155 -1
    959 PIT +161 1.61
    958 15-Aug DET +170 -1
    983 KC +175 -1
    911 16-Aug KC +168 -1
    917 MIL +110 1.1
    928 ARI +106 1.06
    953 17-Aug BOS +146 -1
    959 DET +151 -1
    961 KC +151 -1
    970 ARI -105 0.95
    908 18-Aug ARI +141 1.41
    914 PIT +166 -1
    922 BOS +121 -1
    925 MIL +145 -1
    927 DET +154 -1
    959 19-Aug WAS +120 -
    962 BOS +160 1.6
    965 MIL +144 1.44
    970 CHC +113 -1
    921 20-Aug ARI +146 -1
    953 21-Aug TOR +138 1.38
    959 DET +170 1.7
    975 LAA -113 -1
    903 22-Aug LAA +140 1.4
    908 TB +106 1.06
    912 KC+136 -1
    913 DET +161 -1
    969 23-Aug LAA +130 -1
    974 SD +109 1.09
    908 24-Aug CLE +110 -1
    910 MIL +131 1.31
    915 LAA +143 -1
    953 25-Aug BOS +118 1.18
    957 MIN +160 -1
    969 KC+182 1.82
    983 LAA +139 1.39
    907 26-Aug BAL +150 -1
    912 DET +123 1.23
    922 TEX +136 -1
    912 28-Aug CIN +121 1.21
    920 STL +123 -1
    922 COL -108 -1
    957 29-Aug KC +145 1.45
    962 DET +141 1.41
    969 PIT +174 -1
    976 COL +104 1.04
    910 30-Aug BOS -109 0.92
    959 31-Aug WAS +131 -1
    962 BOS +167 -1
    968 MIN +110 -1
    August -11.34
    July -2.42
    Total -13.76
    Comment
    • turtledoves
      SBR MVP
      • 08-27-17
      • 3398

      #94677
      lots of content to read on this morning's dump
      Comment
      • turtledoves
        SBR MVP
        • 08-27-17
        • 3398

        #94678
        Originally posted by KVB
        Fuk, leave for a whole 2 mins to go to disp and shit triggers.

        not an actual dump, right? that happens to me sometimes
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #94679
          Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund up to yesterday and all 157 triggers, 3 of which were ppd, so 154 plays. We saw the same drop at the beginning of the month that we did in August. Last year there were 674 plays, and I'll get to all those charts once this raw data is down...

          914 1-Sep BOS +160 -1
          918 KC +182 -1
          927 ARI +202 -1
          956 2-Sep MIA +107 -1
          979 ARI +187 -1
          961 4-Sep WAS +146 1.46
          972 LAA +102 1.02
          979 ARI +123 1.23
          916 5-Sep CLE -111 0.9
          920 BOS +125 1.25
          924 LAA-105 0.95
          969 6-Sep ARI +141 -1
          907 7-Sep TEX +145 -1
          912 WAS -117 0.85
          915 NYY +120 -1
          953 8-Sep KC +185 1.85
          955 NYY -105 -1
          978 ARI +220 -1
          903 9-Sep KC +193 1.93
          908 PIT +138 -1
          915 COL +163 -1
          917 CIN +139 1.39
          961 10-Sep BOS +180 1.8
          902 11-Sep WAS +145 1.45
          918 MIN +102 1.02
          919 CIN -111 0.9
          959 12-Sep BOS +190 -1
          968 MIL +100 -1
          921 13-Sep NYM +143 -1
          901 15-Sep WAS +162 -1
          903 PIT +125 -1
          956 16-Sep SD +109 -1
          968 DET +105 -1
          971 MIN +135 1.35
          976 CHC +106 1.06
          912 17-Sep PIT +155 1.55
          Sept 1-17 2.96
          July -2.42
          August -11.34
          Total -10.8

          Here's the chart of the season so far with 10 and 20 SMA's...




          Yes there's an intersection there but there could be more to the story. Allow me to continue with the backbone plays.

          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #94680
            Originally posted by turtledoves
            not an actual dump, right? that happens to me sometimes


            My wife was driving so that I could keep watching shit. All I did was scream "fuk shit, this that, need to shop Fawk!!!!"

            I get so stressed about trying to get the line I buy posted, I might be a wee bit too invested here.

            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #94681
              So the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund is currently down nearly 11 units, but off it's lows and a bit of a double bounce.

              Here's the list of backbone plays that were all a part of the Fund plays above. This subset can be a much more conservative tracking of the market. It's so good, I allow for a broader scope with the other plays. Sometimes that scope improves the overall results, sometimes it doesn't.

              Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone plays through yesterday. I don't usually mention the record but we are going to dig into that this time as well and this subset of plays is 33-42 for +4.15 units...

              959 24-Jul KC +195 -1
              969 PIT +164 -1
              907 25-Jul PIT +142 -1
              911 MIA +162 -1
              914 27-Jul PIT +159 -1
              974 28-Jul HOU +126 -1
              968 30-Jul ARI +146 -1
              974 BAL +222 -1
              906 31-Jul BAL +170 1.7
              910 DET +156 1.56
              930 SEA +177 1.77
              978 1-Aug SEA +135 -1
              957 3-Aug NYM -125 0.8
              959 PIT +183 -1
              970 SD +120 1.2
              903 4-Aug PIT +180 -1
              906 CIN +146 -1
              919 KC +192 -1
              926 SD +113 -1
              928 ARI +126 -1
              953 5-Aug BOS +136 1.36
              958 PIT +154 -1
              966 KC +181 -1
              976 SD +119 -1
              902 6-Aug PIT +186 1.86
              903 SF +148 -1
              926 PHI +129 1.29
              979 7-Aug SF +233 -1
              935 8-Aug TB +140 1.4
              914 KC +140 1.4
              928 SEA -113 -1
              904 10-Aug DET +124 1.24
              913 ARI +128 1.28
              971 11-Aug ARI -105 -1
              979 SD +150 1.5
              905 12-Aug ARI -104 0.96
              922 MIL +124 -1
              959 13-Aug PIT +161 1.61
              958 15-Aug DET +170 -1
              959 17-Aug DET +151 -1
              970 ARI -105 0.95
              908 18-Aug ARI +141 1.41
              914 PIT +166 -1
              922 BOS +121 -1
              962 19-Aug BOS +160 1.6
              959 21-Aug DET +170 1.7
              903 22-Aug LAA +140 1.4
              912 KC+136 -1
              913 DET +161 -1
              908 24-Aug CLE +110 -1
              910 MIL +131 1.31
              915 LAA +143 -1
              969 25-Aug KC+182 1.82
              912 26-Aug DET +123 1.23
              922 TEX +136 -1
              912 28-Aug CIN +121 1.21
              920 STL +123 -1
              962 29-Aug DET +141 1.41
              969 PIT +174 -1
              962 31-Aug BOS +167 -1
              914 1-Sep BOS +160 -1
              918 KC +182 -1
              979 2-Sep ARI +187 -1
              920 5-Sep BOS +125 1.25
              924 LAA-105 0.95
              912 7-Sep WAS -117 0.85
              953 8-Sep KC +185 1.85
              978 ARI +220 -1
              903 9-Sep KC +193 1.93
              908 PIT +138 -1
              902 11-Sep WAS +145 1.45
              968 12-Sep MIL +100 -1
              903 15-Sep PIT +125 -1
              971 16-Sep MIN +135 1.35
              912 17-Sep PIT +155 1.55
              Total 4.15

              Here's the chart and you can see that there was quite the contrarian shakeout right from the outset...



              Clearly the 20 and 10 SMA's are not the best averages with only 75 plays and we'll work on some of those metrics in future posts.

              So while the Fund is down nearly 11 units and we are seeing an averages cross to a possible negative stance in the main chart, the backbone is reaching new highs.

              Both situations imply a near term pull back and we could see that before season end. The shortened season has been a concern in terms of being able to make up ground from the early season shakeout but it's worth noting that much of last year's tracked profit in this Fund came in the playoffs.

              That's where the widened target of the Contrarian Fund can excel, while the backbone plays remain fewer and farther bewteen in their conservative role.

              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #94682
                So we could be looking at a near term that could put today's Arizona play in jeopardy.

                Comment
                • turtledoves
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-27-17
                  • 3398

                  #94683
                  fury tripping tonight

                  Comment
                  • turtledoves
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-27-17
                    • 3398

                    #94684
                    system drops like a seesaw when the forecat riding high

                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #94685
                      I need to finish cooking but I'm not going to lie, I bought...



                      ...Need to do a live stream, this shit can get so compelling when we do it right.

                      Last edited by KVB; 09-18-20, 09:14 PM.
                      Comment
                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-03-12
                        • 53970

                        #94686
                        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                        Fidels, be honest with us...

                        How many times have you gotten your ass plowed so far?
                        pretty sure im still a virgin

                        google.com said so
                        Comment
                        • Fidel_CashFlow
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-03-12
                          • 53970

                          #94687
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #94688
                            Originally posted by KVB
                            The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                            969 ARI +154
                            981 PIT +144
                            983 PHI -123


                            ARI is the backbone play here. Back bone plays are +4 units so far this year, while the rest of the fund lags behind.

                            I don’t need to say much about having a contrarian fund to play that is a favorite, leaning on Philly there...
                            Last edited by KVB; 09-18-20, 10:07 PM.
                            Comment
                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-30-08
                              • 81454

                              #94689
                              Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #94690
                                lol Tyron
                                Comment
                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-30-08
                                  • 81454

                                  #94691
                                  Comment
                                  • Shute
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-20-17
                                    • 11835

                                    #94692
                                    Any winners in here?
                                    Lakers second half
                                    Comment
                                    • turtledoves
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-27-17
                                      • 3398

                                      #94693
                                      Last edited by turtledoves; 09-18-20, 10:07 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #94694
                                        I can't believe you quoted Sharon.

                                        Unreal. She gonna be pissed.

                                        It's like you don't even know the mascot of your own team...

                                        <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Robby Anderson: What’s that bear doing?<br><br>DJ Moore: Bear????<br><br>Robby: Panther<br><br>DJ: That’s Sir Purr, Bro<br><br>Robby: Y’all call him that?<br><br>Me: ���������� <a href="https://t.co/rbU9mN2yns">pic.twitter.com/rbU9mN2yns</a></p>&mdash; Carolina Blitz (@KeepBlitzin) <a href="https://twitter.com/KeepBlitzin/status/1306021708730707971?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >September 16, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #94695
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #94696
                                            Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                            Got to hand it to the Blonde, she fought the chick on her turf, in her living room.

                                            That takes balls.

                                            I'd like to invite her back next November, if she'll accept.

                                            Now the brunette, bitch got a grip and swings until she's outright winded.

                                            Get her over here. She gets a contract tonight.

                                            Make no mistake, first cancellation we get, we need a call up, Blondie better be by that phone because she's getting the call.


                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #94697
                                              Originally posted by turtledoves
                                              some type of pattern? something spilling over into the football weekend? maybe something with Pitt? I haven't done any research yet into the R factor. Still chasing my "supermodel"
                                              Sharon wants an edit.

                                              Comment
                                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-30-08
                                                • 81454

                                                #94698
                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                Got to hand it to the Blonde, she fought the chick on her turf, in her living room.

                                                That takes balls.

                                                I'd like to invite her back next November, if she'll accept.

                                                Now the brunette, bitch got a grip and swings until she's outright winded.

                                                Get her over here. She gets a contract tonight.

                                                Make no mistake, first cancellation we get, we need a call up, Blondie better be by that phone because she's getting the call.


                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #94699
                                                  Rondo just did this again...

                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #94700
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #94701
                                                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo


                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #94702
                                                        Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 157 plays (this time I left out the ppd's) with links to each play....

                                                        969 18-Sep ARI +154 1.54
                                                        981 PIT +144 -1
                                                        983 PHI -123 0.81
                                                        Fri 1.35
                                                        July -2.42
                                                        August -11.34
                                                        Sept 1-17 2.96
                                                        Total -9.45




                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-30-08
                                                          • 81454

                                                          #94703
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stevenash
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 01-17-11
                                                            • 65158

                                                            #94704
                                                            The new Killers video.




                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #94705
                                                              Fuk, I forgot to post this before heading to breakfast...

                                                              The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up....

                                                              119 19-Sep SYRACUSE +21 (-110)
                                                              This game has started addn I'm not sure we're going be able to put this in the record but it's an important trigger. It's a fuk up it's not in the thread.
                                                              They are losing at this point so ijt's may not be suach a bad "past post" lol.


                                                              Comment
                                                              • turtledoves
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-27-17
                                                                • 3398

                                                                #94706
                                                                also playing syracuse +21
                                                                was looking for some early morning action and the systems showed Pitt was overpriced
                                                                only spread play this Saturday

                                                                time for some cheeseburger leftovers
                                                                I just wish I got a second order of those 3 layer fries

                                                                A bit of a wait, you won't be in and out, but the flavor is worth the journey

                                                                Last edited by turtledoves; 09-19-20, 12:13 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #94707
                                                                  Kind of hope that Cuse play is one of the losers, I'm far more likely to put it in the record.

                                                                  But it's a good trigger so I don't know.

                                                                  Here are those charts again, loaded with technicals. Even though yesterday's day was a winner, we expect, based on this charting, for a small pullback or at the very least a sideways market.

                                                                  If we see that over a few plays hopefully the next leg up gets us to -5 units or better in the overall Fund.







                                                                  Also, a chart not included here is a running average of win percentage. Recent SMA's are high there, the Fund is running hot.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #94708
                                                                    Originally posted by turtledoves
                                                                    also playing syracuse +21
                                                                    was looking for some early morning action and the systems showed Pitt was overpriced
                                                                    only spread play this Saturday
                                                                    True about Pitt but we don't get the trigger until we add one more market factor...the offered Total.

                                                                    It's the drop in that Total that puts us on the dog and it's that timing this morning that messed up my posting.

                                                                    Most understand this drop, so it's not quite Sharon material to edit, but it was definitely a factor in the final trigger.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • turtledoves
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-27-17
                                                                      • 3398

                                                                      #94709
                                                                      word

                                                                      those last 2 posts have given me some inspiration. I can easily include some extra enrichment fields and link together the preprocessing data structures to support some analysis into those things to look at. This will allow me to deprecate some current code functionality and move all data creation/ transformation into the pipeline that will be running on the thread ripper
                                                                      Last edited by turtledoves; 09-19-20, 12:24 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #94710
                                                                        Lost like 5 NCAAF bets this week due to COVID, not lost but taken off the board.

                                                                        Both Total bets are gone, FAU is off the board, and two Houston games...lol.

                                                                        Fuk.

                                                                        Comment
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