1. #82531
    KVB
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    With such a big slate tonight, that journey back to -20 before a market turn is possible. Yikes.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Mon, through 406 plays...

    953 15-Jul CIN/CHC OVER 10 (-105) -1
    956 MIL -106 -1
    968 KC +111 1.11
    Mon -0.89
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Week 16 -2.69
    Total -11.03

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund after Mon, through 65 plays...

    956 15-Jul MIL +1.5 (-160) -1
    Week 17 -1
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Week 16 -1
    Total -7.65

    There's been a small retreat there, but there haven't been many plays.


  2. #82532
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    904 16-Jul MIA +101
    915 TOR +170
    924 LAA +104
    927 ARI +148
    929 NYM +148
    ...
    Angels haven't started but the other 4 moneylines are all leading at this moment, as well as the RL play.


  3. #82533
    turtledoves
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    nice night KVB

    still think it's moving towards -20u?

    i'd imagine pro gamblers probably don't get too excited over a big winning or losing night


    will check out travelers
    Last edited by turtledoves; 07-17-19 at 08:13 AM.

  4. #82534
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 07-21-19 at 12:52 PM.
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  5. #82535
    turtledoves
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  6. #82536
    turtledoves
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    here's another good song you can't understand




  7. #82537
    turtledoves
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    smoke 2 joints ^^

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  8. #82538
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    951 17-Jul PIT +128
    975 NYM +160

    Back at it again.




  9. #82539
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    nice night KVB

    still think it's moving towards -20u?

    i'd imagine pro gamblers probably don't get too excited over a big winning or losing night


    will check out travelers
    Nice to have big night like that, especially since it's been a tough first half of the season and all those 0-5 and 0-6 days.

    Second half started tough too, though. Since the all star break the public has been cleaning up.

    Until last night, which was a huge contrarian night, Fund or not. It's probably why so many plays triggered. Hope it continues and it could get volatile. Last year, up +11 units, one weekend saw an 0-6 and 0-5 run, so you never know. It sure looks like things are turning though.

    Travelers was good, sorry to see it cancelled...I think the writing could always just continue the story. They even left it open for more, but then it was cancelled.

    Started watching foreign ones. Watched "The Rain" but honestly lost interest and just didn't watch the most recent season.

    Also watched "Dark" which was cool. Some time went by and a new season came out. Because of the twists of the show, and all the chronic that I've gone through, I feel like I have to watch from the beginning again, before hitting the new season.

    So I watched the black hole show which told us nothing new, lol.

    ncaa data crazy, I've bitched about how there are so many teams for a couple of years now...breaking it down helps, conference is important but don't forget the regions.

    Today's supposed to be a day off of percs, but I just don't know. Hurting.



    So much more to the down days than just snoop and two big baggies, I downplayed just how bad it does get.


  10. #82540
    KVB
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    Thing about those sci fi shows anymore is that all rules are off. Characters can die, anything can happen really, because they can just write in time travel or whatever and undo it all...lol.

    Has the market turned or is it volatility ahead? This and more on KVB's High!!!!

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 412 plays...

    904 16-Jul MIA +101 1.01
    915 TOR +170 1.7
    921 SEA/OAK OVER 9.5 (+100) 1
    924 LAA +104 1.04
    927 ARI +148 1.48
    929 NYM +148 1.48
    Tue 7.71
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Week 16 -2.69
    Mon -0.89
    Total -3.32

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 66 plays...

    956 15-Jul MIL +1.5 (-160) -1
    902 16-Jul PHI +1.5 (+120) 1.2
    Week 17 0.2
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Week 16 -1
    Total -5.45

    To think, that Philly moneyline almost triggered in the Fund as well.


  11. #82541
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    Here's the Contrarian Fund so far this year.

    The chart is still relative but if you count the couple of plays missed (including the Tex +230 earlier in the season) much of the chart could be adjusted so that the bottom of 23 could be more like 20, the recent double bounce more like 10 and the current units more like even.

    Either way, it's still relative...



    Notice we are coming off a double bounce of about 12 here. That's a good sign and given it can be a season of halves, perhaps the idea of bouncing off -20 again is put off for a while.

    We could be seeing the market turn for the season, it's something I've been anticipating and the rate at which the public was winning post all star break was really bringing it to a head.

    There can be volatility but hopefully we, at the worst, go a bit sideways here.

    Time to break down a teams performance against the market and see how it behaves in past years.

    Like the clean up on aisle NCAA Football.


  12. #82542
    KVB
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    This page needs some beach...




  13. #82543
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  14. #82544
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    Dang, when the Chicago Sky were down 9-0 it triggered as a likely comeback scenario, was going to post about it. Down 10 at half they come back to win by one.

    Not surprising but no bet here.


  15. #82545
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Thank you, KVB.

  16. #82546
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    967 17-Jul TOR +220

    Would be a nice day if so.




  17. #82547
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    978 17-Jul BAL +162

    The original forecast has Balty winning this one comfortably.




  18. #82548
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Would you lick them?


  19. #82549
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    Oh for fuksake.

    Get up from icing my shoulder to see this.

    Un-fukkin-real.

    ...and reported.

  20. #82550
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Sounds exciting

  21. #82551
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    <iframe src="//content.jwplatform.com/players/D3aUxShH-neMQdFoR.html" width="480" height="270" frameborder="0" scrolling="auto"></iframe>


    ....

  22. #82552
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Oh for fuksake.

    Get up from icing my shoulder to see this.

    Un-fukkin-real.

    ...and reported.
    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Sounds exciting

  23. #82553
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    Hey DDD, how was Taco Bell?

    Now that sounds exciting.


  24. #82554
    KVB
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    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 416 plays...

    951 17-Jul PIT +128 -1
    967 TOR +220 -1
    975 NYM +160 1.6
    978 BAL +162 1.62
    Wed 1.22
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Week 16 -2.69
    Mon -0.89
    Tue 7.71
    Total -2.1

    There were no Contrarian RL plays today.


  25. #82555
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  26. #82556
    Bostongambler
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    I love summer games.

  27. #82557
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Taco Bell was cool, KVB.

    My mom got a little feisty with a Taco Bell employee, but that’s just how she is. She’s a big flirt.

  28. #82558
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    918 18-Jul TOR/BOS UNDER 10 (-110)




  29. #82559
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    The KVB MLB Contrarain Fund has added...

    917 18-Jul TOR +252

    I used to do a little but a little wouldn't do it so the little go more and more.




  30. #82560
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 07-21-19 at 12:54 PM.

  31. #82561
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 07-21-19 at 12:54 PM.

  32. #82562
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    i wonder how extreme heat affects pitchers, batters, fielders, umpires, totals
    What do we consider extreme heat? Humidity matters too. I have data. Will break some of this down but I can say that Totals have been affected as heat went up. Looking at 85-100 degree temps.

    Closed domes are always 72 degrees.

  33. #82563
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    925 18-Jul TB +146




  34. #82564
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  35. #82565
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 07-21-19 at 12:54 PM.

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