1. #80711
    turtledoves
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    thanks Bostongarbage

  2. #80712
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post


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  3. #80713
    turtledoves
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    losers
    Last edited by turtledoves; 05-11-19 at 11:59 AM.

  4. #80714
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contarian Fund picked up...

    952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)

    I see some 8's out there, some even at (-105), that's a decent play.


  5. #80715
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    All out and it's gone. I doubt the next batch will as good.

    Got some of this...


    Percentage is low 20's but it's still good medicine.

    usually need more than 12 to find a winner

  6. #80716
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    usually need more than 12 to find a winner
    I dunno, it says out of 12 selected.

    Maybe they started with many more, way early on, but at least of the 12 it says it was consistent. The Phone Home is ok, I am putting a live resin on top, so the potency doesn't really matter at that point...lol.

    LNG up big, I suppose I could get used to these recent trade tensions. Sold CQP options last friday for profit but am down just as much on those LNG calls. Strike price is 70 with 5-31 and 6-21 dates.

    Making a comeback.




    Can't believe I was up just after the market open trying to buy an MLB Total in Wrigley. Trying to get in before it dropped to 8 with a juicy UNDER.

  7. #80717
    turtledoves
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    some metrics point to a cubs loss today

  8. #80718
    KVB
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    LNG stock pressing upward even more today.

    Earnings a revenue good enough and Cheniere execs don't think the trade issues will impact them, yet.

    Milwaukee the contarian side there but the play just isn't that good. I think MIL is the sharp move, and the line moved with some of those trades.

    I passed but the UNDER 8.5 made it 7.5.

    The Contrarian Fund is down just about 8.5 units. Down nearly 10 units on Totals alone this year.

    That should catch up.

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  9. #80719
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contarian Fund picked up...

    952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)

    I see some 8's out there, some even at (-105), that's a decent play...
    Should start a "Beat the Closer Fund" and just make plays that try to beat the closing only.

    They don't try to win, they just try to beat the closer.


  10. #80720
    turtledoves
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    made it back to green


  11. #80721
    turtledoves
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    starting the totals analysis,

    mets under is looking like a huge lock

  12. #80722
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...The KVB MLB Contrarian has two more additions...
    908 9-May ARI -101
    909 WAS +136

    Looking for a favorable market with the later games...

    The Fund had another rain out on an OVER 9 bet. There were 5 runs in the 5th.

    I'd almost rather see volatility and getting a chuck of units back as opposes to the stability, but stability is better than falling. We've seen 3 plays get rained out, one was a +134.

    What if they had all been winners? So hard to get cut and dry when trying to determine market direction.

    I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday.

    Those types of pullbacks will help reset impatient unit players who are up, as they bet more and give it back. This includes bettors who are less subtle with their impatience, those who are betting a percentage of the current bankroll. That increased Sunday bet gives back more than the win percentages and prices show.

    But we're not there yet. I'm just offering my best prediction, right now, for this weekend which is in part based on the market turn late last night.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thursday and through 162 plays...

    903 9-May SF +152 -1
    908 ARI -101 0.99
    909 WAS +136 1.36
    911 CHW/CLE OVER 9 (-105) -
    919 CIN/OAK OVER 9 (+100) -1
    Thu 0.35
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Week 6 -5.13
    Mon -2.05
    Tue -1.77
    Wed 1.35
    Total -8.57

    Here's the KVB MLB RL Fund through 24 plays as week 7 remains stable...

    957 6-May MIA +1.5 (+110) 1.1
    973 ARI +1.5 (-105) -1
    923 7-May KC +1.5 (+100) 1
    927 ARI +1.5 (-125) -1
    957 8-May MIA +1.5 (+100) 1
    961 ATL +1.5 (-105) -1
    977 ARI +1.5 (-155) 0.65
    901 9-May MIA +1.5 (+100) -1
    909 WAS +1.5 (-155) 0.65
    Week 7 0.4
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Week 6 -1
    Total -5.52

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  13. #80723
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    980 10-May KC +131

    There are a lot of plays on the radar today. It could a be a big fade the public Friday tonight, whether or not plays make the Fund.

    KC made it, just happy the line stayed over +130 for the trigger.


  14. #80724
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    955 12-May PIT +146
    977 CLE +147



  15. #80725
    turtledoves
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    looking at the rockets under

  16. #80726
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    955 12-May PIT +146
    977 CLE +147
    ...
    Obviously this is supposed to say May 10th, not 12th.


  17. #80727
    KVB
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    Detroit a solid contrarian play and just out of the target circle.

    Also, the UNDER in KC a strong contrarian play but not in the Fund.

    A couple of big dogs out there tonight, let's see what kind of market we get.


  18. #80728
    KVB
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  19. #80729
    turtledoves
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    looking forward to some nice melons this summer

  20. #80730
    Bostongambler
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    And with any luck and the right surgeon you will have your melons this summer, turtlesoup
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  21. #80731
    turtledoves
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  22. #80732
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    And with any luck and the right surgeon you will have your melons this summer, turtlesoup

  23. #80733
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    looking forward to some nice melons this summer
    Didn't you and your lady have enough after last summer's embarrassment?


  24. #80734
    turtledoves
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    word
    Last edited by turtledoves; 05-13-19 at 08:33 PM.

  25. #80735
    turtledoves
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    legal sports betting in indiana

  26. #80736
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday...
    952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108) 0.93
    955 PIT +146 1.46
    977 CLE +147
    980 KC +131 1.31
    Fri 3.7

    Cleveland is going to the 12th vs Oakland, tied 3-3.


  27. #80737
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    who cares about using prepaid anymore right?

    https://www.extractlabs.com/product/gelato-cbd-crumble/
    Interesting.

    Might make a purchase.

  28. #80738
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday...
    Even though the Contrarian Fund navigated the day pretty well, it wasn't exactly a good day for the overall contrarian market. Cle, Tex, Det, Sea, Balt, Mia, SF, and to a much lesser extent SD all failed today.

    Pit, KC, ATL and to a much lesser extent Mil and even NYY succeeded today. I'm listing the teams here because after Saturday's I may refer back to see which teams are prime for the settlement mentioned above, and which ones may be looking to succeed as settlement on Sunday.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through all 166 plays, not a bad comeback considering the Fund was at a season low -10.27 after Tuesday the 7th...

    952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108) 0.93
    955 PIT +146 1.46
    977 CLE +147 -1
    980 KC +131 1.31
    Fri 2.7
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Week 6 -5.13
    Mon -2.05
    Tue -1.77
    Wed 1.35
    Thu 0.35
    Total -5.87

    There were no Contrarian RL plays today.


  29. #80739
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    904 11-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8 (-115)



  30. #80740
    turtledoves
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    word
    Last edited by turtledoves; 05-13-19 at 08:34 PM.

  31. #80741
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 05-13-19 at 08:34 PM.

  32. #80742
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    917 11-May DET +150
    919 CHW+150




  33. #80743
    turtledoves
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    go white sox

    and sharks too i guess, this is the signal to bet them





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  34. #80744
    turtledoves
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    RIP Big Moe




  35. #80745
    turtledoves
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