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05-09-19 09:51 PM #80711
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05-09-19 11:35 PM #80712
Originally Posted by KVB
Points Awarded:
KVB gave ThaTopMoron 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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05-10-19 08:30 AM #80713
losers
Last edited by turtledoves; 05-11-19 at 10:59 AM.
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05-10-19 08:54 AM #80714
The KVB MLB Contarian Fund picked up...
952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)
I see some 8's out there, some even at (-105), that's a decent play.
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05-10-19 11:07 AM #80715
usually need more than 12 to find a winner Originally Posted by KVB
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05-10-19 12:01 PM #80716
I dunno, it says out of 12 selected. Originally Posted by turtledoves
Maybe they started with many more, way early on, but at least of the 12 it says it was consistent. The Phone Home is ok, I am putting a live resin on top, so the potency doesn't really matter at that point...lol.
LNG up big, I suppose I could get used to these recent trade tensions. Sold CQP options last friday for profit but am down just as much on those LNG calls. Strike price is 70 with 5-31 and 6-21 dates.
Making a comeback.
Can't believe I was up just after the market open trying to buy an MLB Total in Wrigley. Trying to get in before it dropped to 8 with a juicy UNDER.
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05-10-19 01:17 PM #80717
some metrics point to a cubs loss today
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05-10-19 01:23 PM #80718
LNG stock pressing upward even more today.
Earnings a revenue good enough and Cheniere execs don't think the trade issues will impact them, yet.
Milwaukee the contarian side there but the play just isn't that good. I think MIL is the sharp move, and the line moved with some of those trades.
I passed but the UNDER 8.5 made it 7.5.
The Contrarian Fund is down just about 8.5 units. Down nearly 10 units on Totals alone this year.
That should catch up.
Points Awarded:
turtledoves gave KVB 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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05-10-19 01:27 PM #80719
Should start a "Beat the Closer Fund" and just make plays that try to beat the closing only. Originally Posted by KVB
They don't try to win, they just try to beat the closer.
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05-10-19 01:27 PM #80720
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05-10-19 01:28 PM #80721
starting the totals analysis,
mets under is looking like a huge lock
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05-10-19 02:43 PM #80722
Originally Posted by KVB
The Fund had another rain out on an OVER 9 bet. There were 5 runs in the 5th.
I'd almost rather see volatility and getting a chuck of units back as opposes to the stability, but stability is better than falling. We've seen 3 plays get rained out, one was a +134.
What if they had all been winners? So hard to get cut and dry when trying to determine market direction.
I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday.
Those types of pullbacks will help reset impatient unit players who are up, as they bet more and give it back. This includes bettors who are less subtle with their impatience, those who are betting a percentage of the current bankroll. That increased Sunday bet gives back more than the win percentages and prices show.
But we're not there yet. I'm just offering my best prediction, right now, for this weekend which is in part based on the market turn late last night.
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thursday and through 162 plays...
903 9-May SF +152 -1 908 ARI -101 0.99 909 WAS +136 1.36 911 CHW/CLE OVER 9 (-105) - 919 CIN/OAK OVER 9 (+100) -1 Thu 0.35 Weeks 1-5 -1.32 Week 6 -5.13 Mon -2.05 Tue -1.77 Wed 1.35 Total -8.57
Here's the KVB MLB RL Fund through 24 plays as week 7 remains stable...
957 6-May MIA +1.5 (+110) 1.1 973 ARI +1.5 (-105) -1 923 7-May KC +1.5 (+100) 1 927 ARI +1.5 (-125) -1 957 8-May MIA +1.5 (+100) 1 961 ATL +1.5 (-105) -1 977 ARI +1.5 (-155) 0.65 901 9-May MIA +1.5 (+100) -1 909 WAS +1.5 (-155) 0.65 Week 7 0.4 Weeks 1-5 -4.92 Week 6 -1 Total -5.52
Points Awarded:
turtledoves gave KVB 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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05-10-19 03:49 PM #80723
The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...
980 10-May KC +131
There are a lot of plays on the radar today. It could a be a big fade the public Friday tonight, whether or not plays make the Fund.
KC made it, just happy the line stayed over +130 for the trigger.
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05-10-19 04:19 PM #80724
The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...
955 12-May PIT +146 977 CLE +147 
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05-10-19 04:54 PM #80725
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05-10-19 05:02 PM #80726
Obviously this is supposed to say May 10th, not 12th. Originally Posted by KVB
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05-10-19 07:30 PM #80727
Detroit a solid contrarian play and just out of the target circle.
Also, the UNDER in KC a strong contrarian play but not in the Fund.
A couple of big dogs out there tonight, let's see what kind of market we get.
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05-10-19 08:41 PM #80728
Points Awarded:
DiggityDaggityDo gave KVB 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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05-10-19 10:24 PM #80729
looking forward to some nice melons this summer
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05-10-19 10:35 PM #80730
And with any luck and the right surgeon you will have your melons this summer, turtlesoup
Points Awarded:
turtledoves gave Bostongambler 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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05-10-19 11:24 PM #80731
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05-10-19 11:29 PM #80732
Originally Posted by Bostongambler
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05-10-19 11:32 PM #80733
Didn't you and your lady have enough after last summer's embarrassment? Originally Posted by turtledoves
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05-10-19 11:41 PM #80734
word
Last edited by turtledoves; 05-13-19 at 07:33 PM.
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05-10-19 11:51 PM #80735
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05-11-19 12:09 AM #80736
Originally Posted by KVB
952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108) 0.93 955 PIT +146 1.46 977 CLE +147 980 KC +131 1.31 Fri 3.7
Cleveland is going to the 12th vs Oakland, tied 3-3.
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05-11-19 12:10 AM #80737
Interesting. Originally Posted by turtledoves
Might make a purchase.
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05-11-19 12:34 AM #80738
Even though the Contrarian Fund navigated the day pretty well, it wasn't exactly a good day for the overall contrarian market. Cle, Tex, Det, Sea, Balt, Mia, SF, and to a much lesser extent SD all failed today. Originally Posted by KVB
Pit, KC, ATL and to a much lesser extent Mil and even NYY succeeded today. I'm listing the teams here because after Saturday's I may refer back to see which teams are prime for the settlement mentioned above, and which ones may be looking to succeed as settlement on Sunday.
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through all 166 plays, not a bad comeback considering the Fund was at a season low -10.27 after Tuesday the 7th...
952 10-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108) 0.93 955 PIT +146 1.46 977 CLE +147 -1 980 KC +131 1.31 Fri 2.7 Weeks 1-5 -1.32 Week 6 -5.13 Mon -2.05 Tue -1.77 Wed 1.35 Thu 0.35 Total -5.87
There were no Contrarian RL plays today.
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05-11-19 09:17 AM #80739
The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...
904 11-May MIL/CHC UNDER 8 (-115)
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05-11-19 10:44 AM #80740
word
Last edited by turtledoves; 05-13-19 at 07:34 PM.
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05-11-19 11:27 AM #80741
Last edited by turtledoves; 05-13-19 at 07:34 PM.
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05-11-19 12:07 PM #80742
The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...
917 11-May DET +150 919 CHW+150
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05-11-19 12:22 PM #80743
go white sox
and sharks too i guess, this is the signal to bet them
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB
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05-11-19 12:27 PM #80744
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05-11-19 01:01 PM #80745
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