1. #79766
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR Aristocracy
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Had the UNDER time in a Japanese race, thought it would be over quick but they're still on the track.

    I think I'm going to lose that bet...

    Oh wow...

    I like this sport!

  2. #79767
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    That's it, seen enough.

    The UTAH/HOU game has bottomed I picked up OVER 213 at even money.

    Liking this OVER....
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Decided to close out the Open parlay with the OVER tonight...

    Hockey - 7 Dallas Stars +1½ -210 for Game
    Hockey - 10 San Jose Sharks -125 for Game Hockey - 24 Columbus Blue Jackets +1½ -210 for Game Basketball - 518 Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets over 213 -110 for Game

    The 4 pick pays 6.49 units....
    Yeah, I sold the risked unit back live, but left a number of units on the table here when it landed on 212.


  3. #79768
    omedo
    omedo's Avatar SBR Sharp
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    Posts: 283

    Hey KVB, i would like to discuss something.

    You allways say to get the inplay stats that matter for predicting future games, but i read this post and got confused.

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post

    That's as basic as it gets and believe it or not, sometimes the market does little more than that when lines are created and maintained. Sure times have changed and a lot of subjective input has been hardened into what will adjust the line, so the line will move more often than it used to.

    Every sport is different, and one can get very detailed in trying to predict the number of possessions and potential scores per possession or the number of hits or shots on goal.

    But all these factors have base lines that change. Even the basic one above doesn't offer much unless you start comparing the teams to the league.

    I'm saying use weighted averages so that recent performance is calculated into the prediction. Those who stick just to season averages will fall behind quickly.

    It may or may not provide value in getting into micro stats and estimated players time on the court, etc. but I wouldn't go around the block to get next door...that too can be a mistake.
    and in another post you say this:

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    During the playoffs Kevin Durant has averaged 7.1 ISO possessions per game.

    That's more than Russell Westbrook averaged during the playoffs.

    When the Warriors were kicking as during the playoffs last year, KD averaged 2.5 ISO possessions per game.

    That game plan alone could give the Cavs a few wins, if not a championship.
    Last edited by omedo; 04-15-19 at 05:39 AM.

  4. #79769
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Posts: 81,455


  5. #79770
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR Aristocracy
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    Posts: 74,817

    The KVB MLB Early Season Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    911 15-Apr BAL +225
    911 BAL/BOS OVER 11 (-105)




  6. #79771
    omedo
    omedo's Avatar SBR Sharp
    Join Date: 07-05-16
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    GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA 2

    FC Koln vs Hamburger SV

    pick: FC Koln to win @ -147



  7. #79772
    turtledoves
    turtledoves's Avatar SBR MVP
    Join Date: 08-27-17
    Posts: 3,398

    farts turning into shit today

  8. #79773
    turtledoves
    turtledoves's Avatar SBR MVP
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    Quote Originally Posted by omedo View Post
    GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA 2

    FC Koln vs Hamburger SV

    pick: FC Koln to win @ -147


    how can you bet against a team that sounds so delicious

  9. #79774
    smokenjoke
    05
    smokenjoke's Avatar SBR Hall of Famer
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    St. Louis 1st 5 ML +115
    Good Luck Gents.

  10. #79775
    turtledoves
    turtledoves's Avatar SBR MVP
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    under 225
    over 234

    bos/tor over 6

    cgy
    Last edited by turtledoves; 04-15-19 at 06:00 PM.

  11. #79776
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    909 COL +149

    Triggered while on the mobile, might be 150s out there.

    Good Luck


  12. #79777
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,572

    Get it KVB!!! 👍

  13. #79778
    Da Manster!
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    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,720


  14. #79779
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar BARRELED IN @ SBR!
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    Hahahaha

  15. #79780
    Da Manster!
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    Posts: 17,720

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB

  16. #79781
    Da Manster!
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  17. #79782
    Da Manster!
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    Posts: 17,720


  18. #79783
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR Posting Legend
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    Posts: 17,720


  19. #79784
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar BARRELED IN @ SBR!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    Awesome tune

  20. #79785
    Bostongambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    My college days.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Da Manster!

  21. #79786
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    The MLB Contrarian Fund added one more...

    907 15-Apr CIN +171

    Late addition here but even one of these late dogs hit we have profit.


  22. #79787
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post

  23. #79788
    Da Manster!
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  24. #79789
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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  25. #79790
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    under 225
    over 234

    bos/tor over 6

    cgy
    268 in Philly, unreal.

    Like the over in game 2, bought it down to the opener for the first leg of an open 3 pick parlay...

    Basketball - 524 Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors over 230½ -163 Buying 4½ Pts for Game

    Last parlay died with an OVER 213 when Houston held the ball to a shot clock violation at the end of the game...with 212 points scored.

    I wonder if they still make this...


  26. #79791
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar BARRELED IN @ SBR!
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    Why does she have to bite it? Lol

  27. #79792
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    The Dimples of Venus...


  28. #79793
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The Dimples of Venus...


    Nomination(s):
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  29. #79794
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 77 plays...

    909 15-Apr COL +149 1.49
    907 CIN +171 -1
    911 BAL +225 2.25
    911 BAL/BOS OVER 11 (-105) -1
    Mon 1.74
    Week 1 6.73
    Week 2 -3.64
    Week 3 -3.13
    Total 1.7

    Almost hit big tonight with the Fund, almost.


  30. #79795
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR Aristocracy
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    Any of you guys ever banged something that was alive but not a human being?

  31. #79796
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Any of you guys ever banged something that was alive but not a human being?

  32. #79797
    PittsburghPlayer
    PittsburghPlayer's Avatar SBR Hall of Famer
    Join Date: 01-11-10
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Any of you guys ever banged something that was alive but not a human being?


    you mean like a poodle or sheep
    or maybe a leafy plant or tree?

    fukking animals is illegal, so I`ll take "leafy trees" for 200 Diggity
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: DiggityDaggityDo

  33. #79798
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghPlayer View Post


    you mean like a poodle or sheep
    or maybe a leafy plant or tree?

    fukking animals is illegal, so I`ll take "leafy trees" for 200 Diggity
    You banged a leafy tree? Or trees? A leafy forest?

    You banged a leafy forest?


  34. #79799
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR Aristocracy
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    Wow... weird bunch in here I guess.

    KVB, is that Oprah Winfrey???

    WOW

  35. #79800
    Fedor
    Nowhere to go but up...
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    Posts: 494

    Pool jet count?

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