1. #79521
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    i stand for Jusstice, i stand for love, I stand with Jussie!


    One thing's for sure...it's one crazy fukkin world these days.


  2. #79522
    KVB
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    The MLB Early Season Contrarian through 33 plays...

    954 2-Apr PHI/WAS UNDER 7 (+100) -1
    959 SF +145 -1
    962 DET/NYY UNDER 8 (-110) 0.91
    963 BAL +166 1.66
    966 HOU/TEX UNDER 9 (-113) -1
    969 BOS/OAK OVER 8 (+103) -1
    Tue -1.43
    Week 1 6.73
    Mon 1.97
    Total 7.27


    The MLB Contrarian RL Fund...

    925 1-Apr COL +1.5 (-140) -1
    973 2-Apr COL +1.5 (-135) -1
    Week 2 -2
    Week 1 1.61
    Total -0.39


    Good audio here, Bobby's been touring like a madman...


  3. #79523
    KVB
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    The Forecat missed out on Texas tonight, especially after it reached +200 so he was punished...


  4. #79524
    KVB
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    There's that word volume again...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The trend can be helpful if you understand how to incorporate it into the line or can identify that is being incorporated into the line.

    You have to be able to create your own line or forecast no matter what.

    Often times, if the market hasn't reacted to a developing public "trend" then it will suddenly, in high volume events, actually producing value on the other side of the trend...

  5. #79525
    Dr Nostron
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    Poor Bartman - any dude that says in the moment they arent trying to catch that ball is a liar.

  6. #79526
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    The MLB Early Season Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    915 CHW +168 over CLE


  7. #79527
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    Bobby doing his thang with a couple of other outstanding musicians...

    Similar setlist as before but even so, can't believe how much this guy is touring. Eventually I'll see Dead and Co in may and get some of this out of my system...


  8. #79528
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  9. #79529
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    In the age of #METOO, you never can be too careful...


  10. #79530
    KVB
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    I wonder what's in the can...


  11. #79531
    KVB
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    MLB Contrarian Fund added...

    919 3-Apr DET +161
    921 BAL +136




  12. #79532
    KVB
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    MLB Contrarian Fund added...

    910 3-Apr PIT -104




  13. #79533
    KVB
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    Picked the UNDER in St Louis/Pitt and Atlanta to win.

    These plays are not in the Contrarian Fund but were just outside the target.


  14. #79534
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The MLB Early Season Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    915 CHW +168 over CLE

    this one felt like value, nice play

  15. #79535
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    Pitt and UNDER was looking good, but it might not end well for me.



  16. #79536
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    this one felt like value, nice play
    With that Detroit hit too, feels like we had it right and it's good to see them hit.

    Tough to determine when that market will shift and give the public some wins, hopefully we stay sideways or better through it and get these 6 or 7 positive units up to 10 or 12.

    Yesterday's Texas at +200 would have really made a difference at this point in getting us to the next level.

    Worried about St. Louis tonight, but at least I hit Atlanta again LIVE when they were down 1-0. Risky behavior but just like Colorado today, and Texas as well, those plays just outside the Contrarian Fund are still hitting. Not just looking good, but winning too.

    These first two weeks are always one market winning, then a sudden shift. We need all the units we can get before the market turns.

    Because...

    Well now, everything dies, baby, that's a fact
    Maybe everything that dies someday comes back
    Put your makeup on, fix your hair up pretty
    And meet me tonight in Atlantic City
    Almost made it Atlantic City this week, almost...would have met a ton of posters...


  17. #79537
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...Worried about St. Louis tonight, but at least I hit Atlanta again LIVE when they were down 1-0...
    And just like that the market starts to flip. St. Louis coming back, bringing the OVER, and the Cubs retaking the lead.

    Not surprised it happens with a half hour to go for the next two games.

    Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it...


  18. #79538
    KVB
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    Do we need any more proof that this modern cell phone technology is evil?

    Last edited by KVB; 04-04-19 at 12:58 AM.

  19. #79539
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    In the age of #METOO, you never can be too careful...

    da'fuq?!......must be a flamer...that's good belch material...I wouldn't have hesitated to give her a hug and then play some tonsil hockey with her...and then proceed to bury my head under her skirt and suck on her snatch!...
    Nomination(s):
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  20. #79540
    KVB
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    Late run by the Dodgers pushes that game OVER the Total and kills the SF runline. Other plays outside the Contrarian Fund target are mixed but this marks that first sign the market is turning, or even turned.

    With CHW and Det winning, the market was smooth for us early, the day slowly shifted. I was worried about Pitt, a Fund play, failing and blowing the lead, and St. Louis completed the comeback...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    With that Detroit hit too, feels like we had it right and it's good to see them hit…

    …Worried about St. Louis tonight, but at least I hit Atlanta again LIVE when they were down 1-0. Risky behavior but just like Colorado today, and Texas as well, those plays just outside the Contrarian Fund are still hitting. Not just looking good, but winning too.

    These first two weeks are always one market winning, then a sudden shift. We need all the units we can get before the market turns...
    Not only did the SF/LAD game turn to pay the other, non-contrarian, side all around, but Boston scoring that extra run late over Oakland not only brought the over, paying that "public" side, but the Boston win, and runline cover, does the same.

    Think about that.

    See what happened here Doves? Wednesday was hump day for the markets and it is only when one can accept what they bring that he or she can truly appreciate how they bring it.

    It only gets tougher from here and the cat and mouse game of market flow has only begun.




  21. #79541
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    …Tough to determine when that market will shift and give the public some wins, hopefully we stay sideways or better through it and get these 6 or 7 positive units up to 10 or 12.

    Yesterday's Texas at +200 would have really made a difference at this point in getting us to the next level…
    The KVB MLB Contrarian did manage to stay sideways here, and we can consider ourselves lucky. Let's hope that's the story of the season...

    910 3-Apr PIT -104 -1
    915 CHW +168 1.68
    919 DET +161 1.61
    919 DET/NYY OVER 8.5 (-110) -1
    921 BAL +136 -1
    Wed 0.29
    Week 1 6.73
    Mon 1.97
    Tue -1.43
    Total 7.56

    There were no Contrarian RL Fund plays.


  22. #79542
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  23. #79543
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  24. #79544
    KVB
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  25. #79545
    KVB
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  26. #79546
    KVB
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  27. #79547
    KVB
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    But just what makes a market a contrarian or public market? Can they sometimes be both? A lot of factors go into the contrarian fund and I think analyzing them individually to see what kind of up or down market they are reversing into is the a good way to go.

    I think I have a way mine some data to produce historical graphs and get them up to date. Parameters need to be set and again, volume must overlay. Perhaps a heat map, maybe one with the disposition of the teams in regards to the market in color and volume in size..


  28. #79548
    KVB
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    Crab Legs, Crab Legs, Y'all!!!!!


  29. #79549
    Da Manster!
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    ^^^...Jameis Winston would be proud!...

  30. #79550
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    951 4-Apr WAS +121




  31. #79551
    KVB
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    So here we go. An early test on just where the market is bouncing.

    WASH is an early contrarian side and given the market turn midday and last night, I would not be surprise if today was different than yesterday.

    In other words, we could lose the early contrarian side instead of win like yesterday. It also means that the might not be a market turn and we could see the contrarian side, with few exceptions, fail all day.

    In a stock style chart, imagine the contrarian side running up, then topping, with a little sideways the a small downturn (yesterday), then the follow up selling off today.

    Hopefully, there is no selling off and we stay sideways and survive until the next upswing and we do that most of the season.

    What I'm saying is that this early WAS play could be in trouble. The one factor I see in it's favor is that the early bird can tend to get the worm, but the volume was pushing a 16 rating here, which means the market is pretty active early.

    Knowledge for the esoteric hidden in the Saloon.


  32. #79552
    KVB
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    LMAO,Wash takes the lead early, anyone getting fooled?



    Just might go live on the Mets.

    It's not what they bring...


  33. #79553
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Crab Legs, Crab Legs, Y'all!!!!!

    Fighting over crab legs.

  34. #79554
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Fighting over crab legs.
    Bro, that was just a spillover, you should have seen ground zero...




  35. #79555
    PittsburghPlayer
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    smart, good looking fukkers you men are, that I`d have a sandwich and beer with any day
    not because I like or suck the rooster of other men, no
    because smart good looking men are often surrounded by good looking women
    and their mothers and daughters

    never mind me

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