1. #76056
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    tiger and phil match gonna be fun. tiger too expensive still?
    Don't see Phil winning, Tiger might be the right price...lol.


  2. #76057
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post

  3. #76058
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  4. #76059
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    what you looking at? you play pc games?
    Loving the OMEN...




  5. #76060
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  6. #76061
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    The NCAAB ATS/ML Fund has added two plays...

    703 22-Nov DAYTON +12.5 (-105)
    707 BUTLER -13 (-105)
    718 22-Nov UMASS +3 (-110)



  7. #76062
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  8. #76063
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Simetimes you just want an ass that can swallow a handrail on a bus.



  9. #76064
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    I wonder where these train tracks go?



  10. #76065
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  11. #76066
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post

  12. #76067
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    The NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up...

    209 LSU +3.5 (-105) over TEXAS A&M

    Good Luck you Turkey eatin' muddafukkas.


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  14. #76069
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  15. #76070
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    The NCAAF UPSET Basket has triggered a play...

    129 COAST CAR -105 over S ALABAMA

    Posting on mobile.

    Good Luck.


  16. #76071
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  17. #76072
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  18. #76073
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    Baby Octopus...


  19. #76074
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    texas/kansas over 49

  20. #76075
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Just wait until Donkey wakes up and sees this.

    He's going to want to do it again.


  21. #76076
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    texas/kansas over 49
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  22. #76077
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  23. #76078
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  24. #76079
    turtledoves
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    here's a winner

    kansas state/iowa state over 40.5

  25. #76080
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    That Oprah face made me laugh.

    I have a high score forecast, with Texas winning 38-21.

    Public all over that Over. Could be upwards of 70 percent of the tickets.

    But there's even more of a discrepancy with the money, on the Under. The heavier money dropped that line with a some sharp plays as well off of 51.

    But there's another but with the but in that money and tickets all over Texas.

    Kansas a decent contrarian play while that Total becomes a much more difficult market look.

    Right now you are looking at an open stadium in David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium with very cool weather, make that cold weather and high winds.

    Latest report shows wind over 15 to 18 mph before game time.

    It's no wonder the line went from 51 to 49 with "sharp" reverse line movement.


  26. #76081
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    vegas is back on


  27. #76082
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    Got Phil
    Last edited by turtledoves; 11-23-18 at 06:33 PM.

  28. #76083
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    here's a winner

    kansas state/iowa state over 40.5
    That low Total didn't go unnoticed.

    I'm on K ST +14 in one of those lower Total situations.

    I forecast a 50 point game so that Over seems decent.

    Not a lot of volume from my info but Tickets and money heavy on the Under. Books holding that line because the money simply isn't very high yet.

    Jack Trice Stadium, open, cold, like 40 degree cold. Not much wind.

    My Kansas St +14 is down to 13 and even 12.5.

    Liking that.

    Could see the Over here, despite the cold.

    That is, as long as the ref lets them play...


  29. #76084
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    thanks for the insights. 40F at tipoff, the arena won't be that cold. seems like too much of an adjustment.

    gonna use this weather site's API to get historical weather, have forecasts to the minute ie. "rain stopping in 23 minutes"

    https://darksky.net/details/38.959,-...-11-23/us12/en
    Agreed not that cold, weather not 40 degrees, more like 46 and rising through game time. 50 by halfitme.

    I just got the more detailed update, as I was typing here. It gives 1 hour before to 2 hours after game start. I see 47 at gametime. Earlier I only had the 1 hour before game start info, not sure why.

    It's the wind in Kansas that's the factor with that line, not the temp.

    It's rarely the temp, it's almost always the wind that matters.

    I see 17.5 mph winds at game time.

    That should move a line, remember these totals came out Monday.

  30. #76085
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    3-0 hoops today.



    Great show here, widely considered to be one of the finest which is saying a lot....


  31. #76086
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    As gameplans are formed during the week, I think potential high wind situations are taken into account, altering the plans a bit.

    Passing is affected and this is a bigger deal in college than in the pros.

    To recognize or realize that edge could mean high volume plays, since it does just present an edge and many games during the season will be in the wind situation. Remember the Total Baskets I started?

    When playing Totals that have some weather factored in, there's usually those one or too weeks where weather is shitty over a broad swath and the volume plays pay off during those times.

    This year the best weeks we've seen for broad weather still only gave us slight winners. In fact, one week I bet a shitload of Totals and weather was terrible everywhere, no coincidence there. But the week wasn't very profitable.

    That's disappointing.

    Maybe it will hit bigger next year.
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  32. #76087
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    next year, works last years, not this year, don't decommission it. I'm sure there are "angles" that become unprofitable. how many losing seasons before an "angle" is decommissioned?

    Kent State +13.5

  33. #76088
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    Got Phil
    Last edited by turtledoves; 11-23-18 at 06:32 PM.

  34. #76089
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    "Angle"

    lol.

  35. #76090
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    The NCAAB ATS/ML Fund has picked up a batch of plays..

    530 23-Nov MARYLAND -9 (-115)
    533 N IOWA +7 (-110)
    585 UMASS +14 (-105)
    593 ARK ST +4 (-110)
    601 CAL POLY +8.5 (-110)


    Still capping, will post later.



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