1. #75566
    DiggityDaggityDo
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  2. #75567
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  6. #75571
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  11. #75576
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  12. #75577
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave DiggityDaggityDo 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  13. #75578
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    turtledoves gave DiggityDaggityDo 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  16. #75581
    KVB
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  17. #75582
    KVB
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  18. #75583
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  19. #75584
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB

  20. #75585
    omedo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Dan, you do not understand how the marketplace works, how the books operate, and why the line opens where it opens and closes to where it closes.

    Just because the book makes a line and you can figure out the vig, does not mean the line is "fair"

    Fair lines are just a gauge for mathematicians to have something to work with.

    I don't think you could handle the truth about the major sports, I just don't think you will understand what we've done for years in setting lines. It is far out of the scope of your understanding.

    The market does not try to "balance" action with "fair" lines, nor do the books who make up the marketplace.

    That's not how they make money. They make money by taking positions, using the line to do so, and they make that money over the long term. They are more than willing to pay out to the bettors that understand this as they take in plenty from the rest of the field.

    Next thing your going to say is that the best team on the field that day wins, or some fan like nonsense like that.

    When you understand that something like the NFL is meant (according to the NFL court arguments) to be entertainment, and that's it, you might start to understand the reality of the situation. Even then,you will likely surrender to the classic Forum attitude that winning is impossible, despite proof otherwise.

    The rest is just beating the markets with math, something that can be done year in and year out.

    Otherwise, the market wouldn't exist.

    About that line and the line

    Did you notice in recent time, that some bookies are making the line movements such that is intended to attract some specific large group ?

    In your opinion, who's the marketeers that are hanging everyone by their nose at this moment?

  21. #75586
    KVB
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    The NCAAF Totals Fund has picked up...

    362 AIR FORCE/ARMY UNDER 45.5 (-105)




  22. #75587
    KVB
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    The NCAAF Totals Fund has added...

    304 KENT ST/BOWLING GREEN UNDER 66.5 (-105)




  23. #75588
    KVB
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    The NCAAF UPSETS Basket has added...

    409 UTEP +105 over RICE




  24. #75589
    turtledoves
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  25. #75590
    turtledoves
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  26. #75591
    turtledoves
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    lez kiss

  27. #75592
    darrell74
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  28. #75593
    turtledoves
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    feeling gassy today

  29. #75594
    KVB
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    The NCAAF Totals Fund has picked up...

    320 COLORADO/ARIZONA UNDER 57 (-110)

    372 SJST/WYOMING UNDER 40 (-110)

    400 KANSAS ST/TCU UNDER 46 (-105)


    Not posting much today, a little busy.


  30. #75595
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    feeling gassy today
    love those friday options, got out. missed the china day trade
    Points Awarded:

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  31. #75596
    KVB
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    The NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has added...

    315 PITT +7.5 (-105) over VIRGINIA




  32. #75597
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    love those friday options, got out. missed the china day trade
    Been doing well in stocks and sports recently.

    Bought calls last week in a bunch of things, sold for profit except for CELG. Bought more this week and it finally popped today.

    I made a good chunk in those options this week.

    A process I think I can replicate.


  33. #75598
    turtledoves
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    $$$
    Last edited by turtledoves; 11-02-18 at 04:14 PM.

  34. #75599
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    picked up SF +3 live, was the biggest discrepancy
    Hit OKC +178, OVER 204.5 LIVE.

    Now I have Milwaukee +9.5 LIVE in the NBA.

    Also bought the Raiders +9.5 and +14.5 LIVE.



  35. #75600
    KVB
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    I feel emboldened after cashing those CELG options today.

    That was some serious icing on some cake.

    I can't even find the cake it was so much icing...lol.


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