1. #74376
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    I'm just not happy with my current reporting of plays. It's all plays and little learning. Posting is a pain.

    Thought about killing the Total Return Fund, backing off of SBR a bit and focusing on my trading room. Maybe just keep the Total Return Fund going and stop tracking anything else. I don't know.

    Maybe just blast FlyMe with 100's of plays. Need to post graphs here so you can see the ups and downs.

    I need some direction, like when I used to power post March Madness or playoffs. I don't really want to power post NCAAF season, lol.


  2. #74377
    KVB
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    Doves? Are you going to go pro and play BTP?


  3. #74378
    KVB
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    That jam.


  4. #74379
    turtledoves
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    no pro bro

    biggest discrepancy was on georgia state

  5. #74380
    KVB
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    Probably going to hear me vent every weekend on what a pain in the ass it is to post and bet.



  6. #74381
    KVB
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    My first BTP play...

    Iowa State vs Iowa Under 47 (-115)NCAAF [General]
    09/08/18 05:00 PM ET



  7. #74382
    KVB
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    Added MLB Contrarian Fund plays...

    Ch Cubs vs Washington Nationals Under 8 (-105)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 03:05 PM ET


    Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Under 8.5 (-111)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 04:05 PM ET


    Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-125)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 04:07 PM ET


    N.Y. Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Under 8.5 (-108)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 09:10 PM ET

  8. #74383
    turtledoves
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    oklahoma over 64
    had this at a 60.5

  9. #74384
    KVB
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    Looking for a market read here at one point.

    See here's what I'm tracking at SBR right now and the threads. If I rotated into the Total Return Fund I put the plays there, except for the MLB Contrarian Fund, which is in both and tracked separately with SBR prices, not sure why at this point.

    MLB Contrarian...both threads for now.

    NCAAF Totals...Total Return Fund.

    NCAAF Market Reads...Total Return Fund

    NCAAF ATS/ML...FlyMe.

    NCAAF UPSET Basket...FlyMe but probably going to wish I had bought into this basket already for the Total Return Fund.


  10. #74385
    KVB
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    Added some moneylines to the Contrarian Fund but the contest page has the WASH game messed up because of a change, I think.

    I picked up WASH +139 over CHC and...


    Ch Cubs vs Washington Nationals Under 8 (-105)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 03:05 PM ET


    Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Under 8.5 (-111)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 04:05 PM ET


    Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-125)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 04:07 PM ET


    N.Y. Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Under 8.5 (-108)MLB [General]
    09/08/18 09:10 PM ET


    Detroit Tigers +154MLB [General]
    09/08/18 06:10 PM ET


    L.A. Dodgers -136MLB [General]
    09/08/18 08:10 PM ET


  11. #74386

  12. #74387
    KVB
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    Last edited by KVB; 09-08-18 at 05:20 PM.

  13. #74388
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    My first BTP play...

    Iowa State vs Iowa Under 47 (-115)NCAAF [General]
    09/08/18 05:00 PM ET

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I have added a play to the NCAAF Market Reads fund with IOWA ST/IOWA UNDER 46.5 (-101)...



  14. #74389
    stevenash
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    If I saw your thread I would have doubled down.

  15. #74390
    KVB
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    Hey Doves,

    Tonight we see Michigan State play Arizona St.

    Can you see how, in one particular sense, that the market is "selling" Arizona State? Or at least giving a reason to buy them?

    The stacking forecast has Michigan State winning by 4.5 points, putting those numbers on the sideline.




  16. #74391
    stevenash
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    4 and 4.5 are tough numbers.

  17. #74392
    KVB
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    Doves, I'm about to make a market read on Michigan St, maybe make it a BTP play as well.


  18. #74393
    KVB
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    Mich St -4.5 just dropped to even money.

    I've been waiting for this move.





  19. #74394
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The NCAAF Market Reads Fund has picked up MICHIGAN ST -4.5 (+100) and -185 over ARIZONA ST...

  20. #74395
    KVB
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    Forgot to put Mich St. it in BTP, doh!


  21. #74396
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund since inception, through 264 plays, with SBR prices, links, etc...

    8-Sep CHC/WASH UNDER 8 (-105) -1
    LAD -136 -1
    HOU/BOS UNDER 8.5 (-111) 0.9
    CLE/TOR UNDER 9.5 (-125) -1
    NYY/SEA UNDER 8.5 (-108) 0.93
    DET +154 1.54
    WASH +139 1.39
    Sat 1.76
    Week 1 3.64
    Week 2 4.73
    Week 3 -5.88
    Week 4 2.15
    Week 5 1.32
    Week 6 -1.04
    Week 7 -3.81
    Mon 1.28
    Tue -1.25
    Wed 2.15
    Thu -1
    Fri -0.64
    Total 3.41


  22. #74397
    KVB
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    Here are the NCAAF spreads and moneylines and a crude measure against the closing line...

    Record Date NCAAF ATS/ML Fund 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ATS BTC ML
    ATS per bet Line Closer? Average Average
    0-1 30-Aug WAKE -6.5 (-105) -1 -7.5 Y 1
    1-Sep MIA (OH) -125 -1 -110 N 0.15
    0-2 SMU +3.5 (-109) -1 3 Y 0.5
    1-2 WASH ST -3 (-103) 0.97 3 PUSH 0
    MICH -130 -1 -151 Y 0.21
    2-2 2-Sep LSU +3 (+105) 1.05 3 PUSH 0
    2-3 3-Sep FLORIDA ST -7 (-110) -1 -7.5 Y 0.5
    2-4 8-Sep N MEX ST +23 (-105) -1 21.5 Y 1.5
    3-4 KANSAS +3 (+105) 1.05 3 PUSH 0
    4-4 COLORADO +3 (-105) 0.95 3 PUSH 0
    4-5 UMASS +1.5 (-102) -1 1.5 PUSH 0
    4-6 FRESNO ST + 1 (-110) -1 0 Y 1
    5-6 CAL +3 (-110) 0.91 2 Y 1
    5-6-0 Total -3.07 7-1-5 0.5 0.18



  23. #74398
    KVB
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    Here's the Upset Basket...

    Date NCAAF UPSET Basket 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ML
    per bet Line Closer? Average
    30-Aug KENNESAW ST +130 -1 120 Y 0.10
    UC DAVIS +120 1.2 120 PUSH 0.00
    1-Sep MARSHALL +120 1.2 -102 Y 0.22
    SMU +150 -1 143 Y 0.07
    MTENN ST +130 -1 134 N -0.04
    8-Sep FLOR INT +115 1.15 -154 Y 0.69
    DUKE +130 1.3 126 Y 0.04
    ARI +157 -1 150 Y 0.07
    KANSAS +167 1.67 134 Y 0.33
    COLORADO +142 1.42 141 Y 0.01
    IOWA ST +155 -1 145 Y 0.10
    UMASS +125 -1 107 Y 0.18
    FRESNO ST +115 -1 -110 Y 0.25
    CINCI +105 1.05 101 Y 0.04
    CAL +145 1.45 111 Y 0.34
    Total 3.44 13-1-1 0.16



  24. #74399
    KVB
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  25. #74400
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Rams over 10 (-120)

    Vikes over 10 (-129)

    Seahawks under 8 (-150)


    small play on Giants over 7 (-130)

  26. #74401
    KVB
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    I am retiring the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund tracking at SBR for this year.

    Officially. One more weight off my shoulders.


  27. #74402
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-12-18 at 06:58 PM.

  28. #74403
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-12-18 at 06:58 PM.

  29. #74404
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-12-18 at 06:59 PM.

  30. #74405
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    Buf +7.5
    Thought about this, but took a shot with Indy instead for BTP...

    INDIANAPOLIS 0 (+100)NFL [General]
    09/09/18 01:00 PM ET



  31. #74406
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-12-18 at 06:59 PM.

  32. #74407
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-12-18 at 06:59 PM.

  33. #74408
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I am retiring the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund tracking at SBR for this year.

    Officially. One more weight off my shoulders...


    Two plays today were Toronto +170 and Under 9 in Boston.

    Toronto won...lol.

    BTP plays...


    Kansas City vs L.A. Chargers Under 48.5 (-115)NFL [General]
    09/09/18 04:05 PM ET


    Dallas vs Carolina Under 42 (-105)NFL [General]
    09/09/18 04:25 PM ET


  34. #74409
    KVB
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    Good Call on TB Doves, I missed that play.

    Giants and Bills turrible, just turrible.

    I have 9 NFL plays, none of them posted but the BTP Under in Carolina, but I did have the Giants +3.5.

    If I see the opportunity, I'll buy into the KVB NFL Fund but I am not tracking it until then. Which could be week two, or could be week 5,who knows?


  35. #74410
    turtledoves
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    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-12-18 at 06:59 PM.

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