State of the Union Props at 5Dimes

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 04:52 PM

And here are a few from Bovada:

What Will Be The Length Of Donald Trump's Speech?

2/5/197:59 PM

Winner

[*=center]
Over 1:07:30
-115
[*=center]
Under 1:07:30
-115

How Many Times Will "Kavanaugh" Be Mentioned?

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
Under 1.5
-130
[*=center]
Over 1.5
EVEN

How Many Times Will Trump Say "Mexico"

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
Over 2.5
-140
[*=center]
Under 2.5
+110

What Color Will Donald Trump's Tie Be?

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
Red
-140
[*=center]
Blue
+110
[*=center]
Other
+450

Which Will Be Said More Times During The Speech By Trump?

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
Wall
-600
[*=center]
Huge
+400

Will Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez Stand At Any Point During Trump's Speech?

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
Yes
-300
[*=center]
No
+240

Ocasio-Cortez must stand between the start and completion of Trump's speech for Yes to be graded the winner

Will Trump Say "Cryin' Chuck"?

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
No
-10000
[*=center]
Yes
+1400

Will Trump Use A Nickname For Nancy Pelosi?

2/5/198:00 PM

Winner

[*=center]
No
-2500
[*=center]
Yes
+1000

RoyBacon · 02-05-19, 04:56 PM

I've learned to be careful on these. Can't recall the one I had last time as a dead lock that failed.

Caravan -260 is a lock

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

I've learned to be careful on these. Can't recall the one I had last time as a dead lock that failed.

Caravan -260 is a lock

We finally agree on something. I also like Wall over 3.5 times at -180.

Maybe this thread can turn into the first thread started in the Political forum without any name calling. I'm not holding my breath.

DwightShrute · 02-05-19, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

We finally agree on something. I also like Wall over 3.5 times at -180.

Maybe this thread can turn into the first thread started in the Political forum without any name calling. I'm not holding my breath.

~~fukk you asshole~~

RoyBacon · 02-05-19, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

We finally agree on something. I also like Wall over 3.5 times at -180.

Maybe this thread can turn into the first thread started in the Political forum without any name calling. I'm not holding my breath.

This is where you need to be careful. Trump could easily call it a physical barrier.

"National Emergency" looks miss priced to me at +145. Should be -300.

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

This is where you need to be careful. Trump could easily call it a physical barrier.

"National Emergency" looks miss priced to me at +145. Should be -300.

A couple of weeks ago I would have agreed with you. I think he's back to Wall again. I guess we'll find out tonight... I would put Wall at 5.5(-110) and that might even be far too low. I think it could easily be as high as 8 to 12.

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 05:11 PM

A bunch from BetOnline:

State of the Union

Length of Address

08:00 PM

445701

1 Hour or Longer

-250

445702

Less Than 1 Hour

+170

State of the Union

To Say Border Fence

08:00 PM

445729

Yes

+600

445730

No

-1500

State of the Union

To Say Border Funding

08:00 PM

445725

Yes

-250

445726

No

+170

State of the Union

To Say Border Wall

08:00 PM

445727

Yes

-160

445728

No

+120

State of the Union

To Say Brady

08:00 PM

445745

Yes

+1200

445746

No

-5000

State of the Union

To Say China

08:00 PM

445711

Yes

-700

445712

No

+400

State of the Union

To Say Fake News

08:00 PM

445707

Yes

+600

445708

No

-1500

State of the Union

To Say ISIS

08:00 PM

445735

Yes

-450

445736

No

+275

State of the Union

To Say Kraft

08:00 PM

445747

Yes

+1200

445748

No

-5000

State of the Union

To Say Make America Great Again

08:00 PM

445739

Yes

-550

445740

No

+325

State of the Union

To Say Make America Safe Again

08:00 PM

445741

Yes

+225

445742

No

-350

State of the Union

To Say National Crisis

08:00 PM

445723

Yes

+600

445724

No

-1500

State of the Union

To Say National Emergency

08:00 PM

445721

Yes

+275

445722

No

-450

State of the Union

To Say Patriots

08:00 PM

445749

Yes

+325

445750

No

-550

State of the Union

To Say Physical Barrier

08:00 PM

445731

Yes

-140

445732

No

+100

State of the Union

To Say Russia

08:00 PM

445713

Yes

-120

445714

No

-120

State of the Union

To Say Southern Border

08:00 PM

445733

Yes

-700

445734

No

+400

State of the Union

To Say State of Emergency

08:00 PM

445719

Yes

+250

445720

No

-400

State of the Union

To Say Super Bowl

08:00 PM

445743

Yes

+800

445744

No

-2500

State of the Union

To Say Thanks or Thank You First

08:00 PM

445705

POTUS Says Thanks

+400

445706

POTUS Says Thank You

-700

State of the Union

To Say Unemployment

08:00 PM

445717

Yes

-1500

445718

No

+600

State of the Union

To Say Witch Hunt

08:00 PM

445715

Yes

+1200

445716

No

-5000

PromiseLand · 02-05-19, 05:12 PM

I dunno about that National Emergency one...especially after reading this: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...n?srnd=premium

Only one I'm betting on is Trump not to say "fake news". Also betting that viewership won't be over 50 mill. Good luck with your bets guys

RoyBacon · 02-05-19, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by PromiseLand

I dunno about that National Emergency one...especially after reading this: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...n?srnd=premium

Only one I'm betting on is Trump not to say "fake news". Also betting that viewership won't be over 50 mill. Good luck with your bets guys

Thanks for that article! Saved me some cash.

L8night · 02-05-19, 05:18 PM

abortion +300, with all the hoopla in Virginia the past week, this will be red meat for the base.....

brooks85 · 02-05-19, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by L8night

abortion +300, with all the hoopla in Virginia the past week, this will be red meat for the base.....

makes perfect sense you support killing babies

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by L8night

abortion +300, with all the hoopla in Virginia the past week, this will be red meat for the base.....

That could be a very strong underdog. I can already hear the sentence in my head: "The Democrats want to allow abortions as late as the 4th trimester."

brooks85 · 02-05-19, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

That could be a very strong underdog. I can already hear the sentence in my head: "The Democrats want to allow abortions as late as the 4th trimester."

and I can see johngalt doing nothing to disprove this fact. Glad we are on the same page!

new line at 5d-

johngalt running from a debate -99999

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by brooks85

and I can see johngalt doing nothing to disprove this fact. Glad we are on the same page!

new line at 5d-

johngalt running from a debate -99999

I have a low IQ, it's 48 or 49 max. You win. Congratulations! I'm not sure how we would have debated this anyway. It would have been 50 pages of you telling me I'm a moron and me just laughing at you and shaking my head. So, I've decided to concede to save myself a bunch of useless time. Congrats again! You are a genius!

This just in from 5Dimes: brooks85 is the smartest man on SBR Yes -9999999. That proves it! You're brilliant!

What's your IQ brooks? I would put it somewhere in the mid triple digits. Anything under 1000 would shock the hell out of me.

brooks85 · 02-05-19, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

I have a low IQ, it's 48 or 49 max. You win. Congratulations! I'm not sure how we would have debated this anyway. It would have been 50 pages of you telling me I'm a moron and me just laughing at you and shaking my head. So, I've decided to concede to save myself a bunch of useless time. Congrats again! You are a genius!

This just in from 5Dimes: brooks85 is the smartest man on SBR Yes -9999999. That proves it! You're brilliant!

What's your IQ brooks? I would put it somewhere in the mid triple digits. Anything under 1000 would shock the hell out of me.

probably since you were NEVER going to post anyways.

But doesn't really matter, you had no chance to win. Trying to debate your IQ vs trump's lol it would have fun.

Turd Ferguson · 02-05-19, 05:49 PM

Is there an over on the number of demonstrable lies that he tells?

If he goes for an hour it would have to be set somewhere around 50. Remember he just spoke for 10 minutes and crushed the 3.5

DwightShrute · 02-05-19, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Turd Ferguson

Is there an over on the number of demonstrable lies that he tells?

If he goes for an hour it would have to be set somewhere around 50. Remember he just spoke for 10 minutes and crushed the 3.5

still pushing the same fake news narrative I see Jim Acosta

L8night · 02-05-19, 06:37 PM

What are the odds on a Dem to yell out "you lie"? a lot of new Donnie haters in that Dem house....

JohnGalt2341 · 02-05-19, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by Turd Ferguson

Is there an over on the number of demonstrable lies that he tells?

If he goes for an hour it would have to be set somewhere around 50. Remember he just spoke for 10 minutes and crushed the 3.5

I was REALLY hoping to find a line for that but I couldn't find one. My guess is, the Sportsbooks probably don't want to deal with the headache of what is a lie and what is an exaggeration. Not to mention when he says things like... "The wall is already being built." Dems would consider that a lie and Trumpers would consider it the truth. Trump makes thousands of exaggerated/vague statements like this all the time just in hopes of impressing his followers. Amazingly... it ALWAYS works. Another example... "I only hire the BEST PEOPLE". We all know this is a lie... but Trumpers would say it was the truth. We could then ask Trumpers "Did Trump hire Michael Cohen?" Answer is Yes. Is he considered "The Best People?" Answer is definitely No. It's an easily provable LIE but Trumpers would still say Trump was telling the truth. There's thousands of examples like this. Trump could say he was the first man to walk on the moon in a space shuttle that he built himself since he became President and Trumpers would still consider that the truth. If you showed them the evidence for the lie they would just say FAKE NEWS! or TDS! Trump supporters can't be reasoned with. I'm sure the Sportsbooks realize this... no matter how many lies Trump tells tonight Trump supporters will say it was Zero.

khicks26 · 02-05-19, 08:28 PM

2019 State of the Union Address - Propositions
"Russian" also applies, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1051 POTUS says: "Russia"	-160
8:00PM	1052 POTUS does not say "Russia"	+120
"Caravans" also applies, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1053 POTUS says: "Caravan"	-260
8:00PM	1054 POTUS does not say "Caravan"	+180
must be exact word "Racism", SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1055 POTUS says: "Racism"	+400
8:00PM	1056 POTUS does not say "Racism"	-600
must be complete phrase "Fake News", variations of the phrase will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1057 POTUS says: "Fake News"	+350
8:00PM	1058 POTUS does not say "Fake News"	-530
must be complete phrase "Crime Will Fall", any variation of the phrase will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1059 POTUS says: "Crime Will Fall"	+260
8:00PM	1060 POTUS does not say "Crime Will Fall"	-380
must be complete phrase "National Emergency" any variation of the phrase will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1061 POTUS says: "National Emergency"	+145
8:00PM	1062 POTUS does not say "National Emergency"	-185
"Abortions" also applies, any variation of the word will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1063 POTUS says: "Abortion"	+300
8:00PM	1064 POTUS does not say "Abortion"	-420
must be complete phrase "Make America Great Again" "MAGA" or any variation of the phrase will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1065 POTUS says: "Make America Great Again"	+280
8:00PM	1066 Does not say "Make America Great Again"	-400
must be exact word "Transgender", any variation of the word will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1067 POTUS says: "Transgender"	+475
8:00PM	1068 POTUS does not say "Transgender"	-825
"Shutdowns" also applies, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1069 POTUS says: "Shutdown" over 3½ times	-160
8:00PM	1070 POTUS says: "Shutdown" under 3½ times	+120
"Walls" also applies, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1071 POTUS says: "Wall" over 3½ times	-180
8:00PM	1072 POTUS says: "Wall" under 3½ times	+140
must be exact word "DACA", "Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals" or any variation of the word will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1073 POTUS says: "DACA" over 1½ times	-120
8:00PM	1074 POTUS says: "DACA" under 1½ times	-120
must be exact word "Immigration", any variation of the word will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1075 POTUS says: "Immigration" over 8½ times	-155
8:00PM	1076 POTUS says: "Immigration" under 8½ times	+115
must be complete phrase "Health Care", any variation of the phrase will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1077 POTUS says: "Health Care" over 1½ times	-120
8:00PM	1078 POTUS says: "Health Care" under 1½ times	-120
must be exact word "Socialism", any variation of the word will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1079 POTUS says: "Socialism" over 1½ times	+140
8:00PM	1080 POTUS says: "Socialism" under 1½ times	-180
"Wars" also applies, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1081 POTUS says: "War" over 2½ times	-175
8:00PM	1082 POTUS says: "War" under 2½ times	+135
"Venezuelan" or "Venezuelans" also applies, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1083 POTUS says: "Venezuela" over 1½ times	+105
8:00PM	1084 POTUS says: "Venezuela" under 1½ times	-145
"Tax Cut" also applies, any variation of the phrase will not count towards grading, SOTU Address must be delivered on 02/05/2019 for action
Tue 2/5	1085 POTUS says: "Tax Cuts" over 4½ times	-120
8:00PM	1086 POTUS says: "Tax Cuts" under 4½ times	-120