CanuckG and No Coincidences plays thread

**Br0nxer** · 12-28-11, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I was on that too Pauly, but Cal played really well down the stretch of the season.

I've seen Texas play quite a few times. Actually, I've seen both of these teams play quite a few times. I'd take the +4 again if I could. You can't turn the ball over 4 times and expect to cover. Texas' defense deserves credit no doubt, but a lot of the mistakes Cal made were self-inflicted.

spot on

i took cal too

they shot themselves in the foot

they played great down the stretch this season

longhorn d was too much but for the most part it was self inflicted mistakes

**No coincidences** · 12-28-11, 11:49 PM

Originally posted by Br0nxer

spot on

i took cal too

they shot themselves in the foot

they played great down the stretch this season

longhorn d was too much but for the most part it was self inflicted mistakes

I don't want to sound like a sore loser -- the bottom line is the play lost. I'm just saying I don't think it was a bad play in theory or retrospect.

**Holtgetsback** · 12-29-11, 01:02 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't want to sound like a sore loser -- the bottom line is the play lost. I'm just saying I don't think it was a bad play in theory or retrospect.

What about in hindsight?

**Holtgetsback** · 12-29-11, 01:02 AM

Florida State looks solid tomorrow, along with the over.

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 01:03 AM

Originally posted by Holtgetsback

What about in hindsight?

In hindsight? It was awful.

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 01:20 AM

Don't really see myself playing either bowl game, which is probably good given the way things have gone in the last few for me after such a hot start.

One college hoops game that's staring me in the face, begging for a play.

I see two NBA games I might be interested in.

Need to get something going here.

2-2, -4.6U today
4-9, -13.7U since I started burying myself with a PT thread

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 01:31 AM

Hey Canuck -- any chance Washington covers vs. Baylor?

Sitting at that mysterious no-man's land number of +9 right now....

**CanuckG** · 12-29-11, 01:40 AM

Tough one. Huskies have absolutely no D and I'm not familiar with Baylor. Thing is Huskies can put up points too....and Baylor comes off to me as someone who is just a one man team.

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 01:51 AM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Tough one. Huskies have absolutely no D and I'm not familiar with Baylor. Thing is Huskies can put up points too....and Baylor comes off to me as someone who is just a one man team.

I really like Washington's skill kids.

Baylor's not necessarily just a one-man team, but they aren't world beaters either.

It's always been said that you fade the team of the Heisman winner in the bowl game, but I'm not sure I can do it here. This might be one of those 45-35 finals where it looks like you'll get the cover all night long until the very end.

**PAULYPOKER** · 12-29-11, 01:55 AM

Study Washington hard for tomorrow night coin...............

**PAYTON20** · 12-29-11, 02:00 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Hey Canuck -- any chance Washington covers vs. Baylor?

Sitting at that mysterious no-man's land number of +9 right now....

Washington FTW!

Ha, just a hopeful fan. But I honestly think UW can cover. Canuck is right that the Washington defense is bad but Baylor's defense is even worse. Chris Polk should be able to run all over them

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 02:01 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Study Washington hard for tomorrow night coin...............

I just can't seem to fully back a team that, like Canuck said, plays zero D.

I do think Washington is a play on paper, but only at +10 or better. Even then, I think you'll have to sweat your balls out until the end. Just isn't worth it.

**PAULYPOKER** · 12-29-11, 02:08 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I just can't seem to fully back a team that, like Canuck said, plays zero D. I do think Washington is a play on paper, but only at +10 or better. Even then, I think you'll have to sweat your balls out until the end. Just isn't worth it.

I say this coin because Baylor will be and already is the largest public play to date...................

the line should of already moved to at least -13 to 14,

opening line in Vegas was -9,off shore -10''''''''''''''''

**CanuckG** · 12-29-11, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

Washington FTW!

Ha, just a hopeful fan. But I honestly think UW can cover. Canuck is right that the Washington defense is bad but Baylor's defense is even worse. Chris Polk should be able to run all over them

Yeah Polk should have a huge game tomorrow. Can't see another UW upset in a bowl like last year vs Nebraska but wouldn't be suprised if it's a close high scoring affair.

**PAYTON20** · 12-29-11, 02:16 AM

Huskies defense was shitty last year too but then somehow it looked like one of the best defenses in the country against Taylor Martinez and Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl- holding em to only 7 points

If the Washington D can figure it out, they can win this game SU. But that's a huge IF

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 02:18 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

I say this coin because Baylor will be and already is the largest public play to date...................

the line should of already moved to at least -13 to 14,

opening line in Vegas was -9,off shore -10''''''''''''''''

Seems like +9 has been money this year in football, so I'll probably make a small play on it (+10 at a rec. book).

**lyon804** · 12-29-11, 02:19 AM

I like Washington but probably not enough to bet it.

**PAYTON20** · 12-29-11, 02:24 AM

Food for thought: Last time Washington was a 10pt dog they won SU @ Utah

Go Dawgs

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 02:27 AM

Alright, I'll bite:

Washington +10 (-115 at SIA) (1U)

**2daBank** · 12-29-11, 03:34 AM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

Huskies defense was shitty last year too but then somehow it looked like one of the best defenses in the country against Taylor Martinez and Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl- holding em to only 7 points

If the Washington D can figure it out, they can win this game SU. But that's a huge IF

think it quite a stretch comparing a one dimensional disinterested Neb team in a rematch they clearly didnt want to be in to this gm against a high powered baylor team who is excited to be in any bowl gm... Baylor gonna put up points on udub in this one, of coarse UW will have no problem scoring on Baylor shit d either..should be a fun gm just cant buy comparing it to last years game..

**paco** · 12-29-11, 07:03 AM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

Food for thought: Last time Washington was a 10pt dog they won SU @ Utah

Go Dawgs

Payton. U are from Washington. U prolly will take alternative line Wash -3

Still my boy,

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 09:57 AM

A tease of Washington +17/over 72 doesn't look too shabby either.

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 10:12 AM

Here are my college hoop leans; like quite a few of these, but not sure if I'll play more than one or two:

Illinois State +2 vs. UNI
Illinois State/UNI under 121.5
UW-Milwaukee +1.5 at Valpo
Louisiana-Monroe -1 vs. Western Kentucky
Arkansas State +3 vs. Kent State
Evansville -5.5 vs. Southern Illinois
Oklahoma +4.5 vs. Cincinnati (N)
Troy +13.5 at Denver

**PAULYPOKER** · 12-29-11, 10:25 AM

Coin I looked at this game on paper(sumthin I shoulda never done)Baylor should be laying 14-17 easily here (opening line)................

taking Wash. in this one will be pure belief in the rig factor..............

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Coin I looked at this game on paper(sumthin I shoulda never done)Baylor should be laying 14-17 easily here (opening line)................

taking Wash. in this one will be pure belief in the rig factor..............

Meh -- you think? I say the line's about right. I definitely see the fact that it's under 10 as an indicator, though.

Probably one of those games where the Bears are up 17-20 most of the night and then win by 7 or 8.

45-37 I'll say.

**sjm5122** · 12-29-11, 11:13 AM

Isn't the over the easiest play on the Wash/Baylor game? It is set so high for a reason. The percentages I'm looking at show the public slightly backing the under as well. I think this game will hit 100, only thing that will stop either team is turnovers.

**PAULYPOKER** · 12-29-11, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Meh -- you think? I say the line's about right. I definitely see the fact that it's under 10 as an indicator, though. Probably one of those games where the Bears are up 17-20 most of the night and then win by 7 or 8. 45-37 I'll say.

Coin you just admitted what I was saying in your own words,Translation late back door cover = point shaving 9 outta 10 times.........

**hydrosmak** · 12-29-11, 12:04 PM

Lang on Washington but in a teaser. His curse doesn't include teasers really.

**Kadinni** · 12-29-11, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Here are my college hoop leans; like quite a few of these, but not sure if I'll play more than one or two:

Illinois State +2 vs. UNI
Illinois State/UNI under 121.5
UW-Milwaukee +1.5 at Valpo
Louisiana-Monroe -1 vs. Western Kentucky
Arkansas State +3 vs. Kent State
Evansville -5.5 vs. Southern Illinois
Oklahoma +4.5 vs. Cincinnati (N)
Troy +13.5 at Denver

yo NC, thoughts on this Evansville game?? I locked it up at 5.5, can see it getting up to 6.

**CanuckG** · 12-29-11, 02:26 PM

NY Islanders +114 (1U)
Anaheim Ducks +131 (1U)
Montreal Canadiens -101 (1U)

**PAYTON20** · 12-29-11, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by paco

Payton. U are from Washington. U prolly will take alternative line Wash -3

Still my boy,

ALL IN WASH ML

Homer. I got faith though... Baylor is a bit overrated IMO. We'll see

**hydrosmak** · 12-29-11, 02:43 PM

On the Islanders as well!

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 03:05 PM

Illinois State +2 (2U)
Dallas Mavericks +5.5 (1U)

Still looking hard at Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe.

**No coincidences** · 12-29-11, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by Kadinni

yo NC, thoughts on this Evansville game?? I locked it up at 5.5, can see it getting up to 6.

Worried about getting a bad number, but Evansville should still cover. I watched SIU a few times in the Hawaii tourney and wasn't impressed. First game back on the mainland for them.

**hydrosmak** · 12-29-11, 03:14 PM

Good thing I waited on FSU, all the books dropped the hook....