Ganchrow?

**Ganchrow** · 03-21-06, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by BigDaddy

could your sytesm figure out my chances with this? Thank you for any help! I would have to belive my chances are good as you recieve points for every game and I have the high #'s left i cant see anyone having bradly,gmason,wichita with a high # value

These are the top 10 i am currently in 1st place it doesnt let you see all contestants. This is a points based contest before contest you assigned #'s to each team 1-64 so for example in rd 1 i had Duke 64 Southern 1 Duke wins i get 64 points Southern wins i get 1 point, so you recieve points for every game played.

Interesting contest. Certainly a program could be written to calculate the number of winning scenarios for any given player. As a prerequisite to this of course, you'd need to assemble the "picks" (numerical assignments in this case) of all other contestants. Indeed this would be the prerequisite for doing any scenario analysis or enumeration for any parimutuel type betting tournament.

Taking this to the next level and using it to estimate winning probabilities would require estimates of all potential future money lines. (For example, what would the money line be were George Mason to play Bradley in the finals?) There are many different ways to come up with these estimates, with the degree of accuracy typically inversely proportional to the amount of effort expended in deriving them.

**BigDaddy** · 03-21-06, 12:56 AM

Thank you for the Reply i figured it would be hard without knowing the other picks.

**Ganchrow** · 03-21-06, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by BigDaddy

Thank you for the Reply i figured it would be hard without knowing the other picks.

It's not just "hard". It's impossible.

**BigDaddy** · 03-21-06, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by ganchrow

It's not just "hard". It's impossible.

Yes i meant impossible sorry! theres no way of knowing the outcome.

**imgv94** · 03-21-06, 01:57 AM

Ganchrow you are a genius man!

Sir may I please ask you, Is there
a possibility that marijuana can assist in making someone a
better handicapper? I would like your opinion on this.

Thank you sir.

**Ganchrow** · 03-21-06, 03:11 AM

Originally posted by imgv94

Is there a possibility that marijuana can assist in making someone a better handicapper?

Uhh ... maybe?

But then again probably not.

Just a thought, but perhaps this theory might be posited to better effect on a psychopharmacology forum?

But anyway, IMHO, the path to better handicapping is probably better lit by the fire of the midnight oil rather than that of the afternoon bong hit. That being said, if you happen to find that potrelaxes you without overly hampering your ability to concentrate and form lucid thoughts, well then by all means go on ahead ... I'm certainly not going to be the one to stop you.

**isetcap** · 03-21-06, 03:13 AM

When I'm threatened with having my legs broken, I have always done very well. Hopefully that continues...

**JoshW** · 03-21-06, 07:57 AM

Originally posted by imgv94

Is there
a possibility that marijuana can assist in making someone a
better handicapper?

Certainly can allow you to look at situations in a new way, but with that said, if you are doing it all the time you are likely opening yourself up to overbetting and making mistakes in handicapping judgement. But to each his own.

**clonecat** · 03-21-06, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by imgv94

Sir may I please ask you, Is there
a possibility that marijuana can assist in making someone a
better handicapper? I would like your opinion on this.

Thank you sir.

One must always remember that if you do your statistical analysis drunk, high, etc. You must also place your picks while you are drunk, high, etc. as you would not be in the same mindset otherwise.

**Illusion** · 03-21-06, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by clonecat

One must always remember that if you do your statistical analysis drunk, high, etc. You must also place your picks while you are drunk, high, etc. as you would not be in the same mindset otherwise.

You got that right. I have made some crazy bets while drunk. I would probablly not have made half of those bets sobar.

**JoshW** · 03-21-06, 04:27 PM

I can't imagine betting when drinking am sure it wouldn't be good, I do a lot of stupid things drunk, as for img drug of choice, no comment. :|

**MrX** · 03-21-06, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by clonecat

One must always remember that if you do your statistical analysis drunk, high, etc. You must also place your picks while you are drunk, high, etc. as you would not be in the same mindset otherwise.

If I remember my psychology classes correctly, I believe this is called 'state-dependant gambling'.