superbowl prop bets

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  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #1
    superbowl prop bets
    what do you feel is the best way to cap these things ?
  • onlooker
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-10-05
    • 36572

    #2
    There isnt a way. I dont bet props. So I cant help on this one.
    Comment
    • rm18
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-20-05
      • 22291

      #3
      One to make sure is that you don't pick too many bets that are related too each other, like if you Bet on Hasselbeck, against Alexander, on Parker and against Roethlisberger and the Seahawaks get a two score lead you will probably lose all of your bets.

      You also could try for some middles like you bet Darrell Jackson under 5.5 catches but over 65.5 yards if you think you have a much better chance of winning two than losing two.

      You can preview what alot of the prop lines will look like at BOS even if you wouldn't consider playing there
      Comment
      • bigboydan
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-10-05
        • 55420

        #4
        Rm, Whats your take about on the defensive side of the ball with takles and sacks ?
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #5
          I'm amazed they have some many of these damn props...
          Comment
          • rm18
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-20-05
            • 22291

            #6
            I would think a Seattle player Tatupu maybe will have the most tackles, since the Steelers will run more probably and they run a 3-4 defensively they have more linebackers to split the tackles. Seattle also runs to the edges more than most teams so outside linebackers/corners will make more tackles instead of the middle linebackers who will usually be the leading tackers

            Don't know who would get more sacks, I guess Pittsburgh, but I like them for the game so I will mostly like the props that favor them

            I would think also betting against every running back in the game should be profitable especially Alexander and Bettis
            Comment
            • bigboydan
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-10-05
              • 55420

              #7
              rm, i'm not sold on betting against alexander at all though. i feel it could be alexander left, alexander right.

              alexander will be a big part of there offense in this game. plus, the way points are scored in the superbowl games. you have to take that into consideration as well.
              Comment
              • pags11
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-18-05
                • 12264

                #8
                who's betting tails on the coin flip?...
                Comment
                • bigboydan
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 55420

                  #9
                  Originally posted by pags11
                  who's betting tails on the coin flip?...

                  pags, you plan on betting the coin flip ?
                  Comment
                  • Patrick McIrish
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-15-05
                    • 2864

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bigboydan
                    what do you feel is the best way to cap these things ?

                    Starts with basic Math....


                    - Algebra, applications in calculating return on risk, value of half-points, and which line is better: Pittsburg +3 -115, or +2 +110.

                    - Basic probability/stats, how many pizzas can you make with exactly 2 toppings if your store offers 8 possible toppings? The main things to know are permutations and selections - how to calculate, and when to use them.

                    - Poisson distributions. If I flip a fair coin 100 times, what are the odds that I hit at least 57 heads?


                    If you can do #2 and #3 props are very beatable. Once I am done I will post my prop bets and compare them to posters like Fezzik who are much wiser than I. My guess is we will have played many of the same bets, I hope so.
                    Comment
                    • tacomax
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 9619

                      #11
                      Originally posted by bigboydan
                      pags, you plan on betting the coin flip ?
                      Intertops have +100/+100 on the coin flip - max. $110 bet.
                      Originally posted by pags11
                      SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                      Originally posted by BuddyBear
                      I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                      Originally posted by curious
                      taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                      Comment
                      • imgv94
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-16-05
                        • 17192

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tacomax
                        Intertops have +100/+100 on the coin flip - max. $110 bet. I will make my first bet
                        Really good luck Taco
                        Last edited by imgv94; 01-25-06, 08:40 AM.
                        Comment
                        • pags11
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-18-05
                          • 12264

                          #13
                          and on whether or not we will see a boob at halftime...
                          Comment
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