1. #1
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Cowboys/Jets game

    Boys are only -9 1/2 after dominating the Giants on primetime and the Jets losing Aaron Rodgers??? That line should be 14 1/2 min.

    Is it a trap or am I overthinking it??


  2. #2
    actiondan
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    dont shoot yourself in the head

  3. #3
    agendaman
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    no bet.

  4. #4
    Eddy Munny
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    Please start a sportsbook and make your own lines. I promise I'll be your first customer.

  5. #5
    YorkHunt
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    You think it should be -14.... GEEZ lol

    I think its right where it should be. If AR was playing it would probably be -5 to -6 so -9 to -10 seems right with that defense.

    No play for me but might be on the Over as everyone is on that defense hype

  6. #6
    lakerboy
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    What you mean only? Jets d is legit.

  7. #7
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    What you mean only? Jets d is legit.
    So is the Cowboys' defense and who is the Jets QB???
    Last edited by Bluehorseshoe; 09-14-23 at 08:27 PM.

  8. #8
    trobin31
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    I have this circled as a big stay away game. Maybe if 1st half goes over I would play a live under. Itís kind of funny bc you saw the cowboys in a very similar situation last year winning games with Cooper Rush because the team changed their identity and just played nasty defense. Better games to bet imo

  9. #9
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    I have this circled as a big stay away game. Maybe if 1st half goes over I would play a live under. It’s kind of funny bc you saw the cowboys in a very similar situation last year winning games with Cooper Rush because the team changed their identity and just played nasty defense. Better games to bet imo
    I agree. There are three other games that look really good.

    Btw.....I actually like Zach Wilson to turn it around this year.

  10. #10
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
    So is the Cowboys' defense and who is the Jets QB???
    Jets QB won on Monday. Jets should stay within the number if they can score ten points. Dak might help them get that.

  11. #11
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Jets QB won on Monday. Jets should stay within the number if they can score ten points. Dak might help them get that.
    But this week, Zach Wilson is -160 to throw at least one TD. It's not the Bills defense.

  12. #12
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Valid point. It's a matter of perception.

    1) Think about it this way. Other than his mom...how many bettors are confident in Wilson?
    2) I listened to the Saleh pressers last year. He did everything to NOT destroy Wilson.
    3) The real Q: What is the difference btw Wilson and a 39-y/o Rodgers?
    ...IMHO, Rodgers was in decline. The difference might not be as much as people think.

    Also, the Cowboys got a gift-wrapped win in Week One. Couldn't have been easier.

  13. #13
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Valid point. It's a matter of perception.

    1) Think about it this way. Other than his mom...how many bettors are confident in Wilson?
    2) I listened to the Saleh pressers last year. He did everything to NOT destroy Wilson.
    3) The real Q: What is the difference btw Wilson and a 39-y/o Rodgers?
    ...IMHO, Rodgers was in decline. The difference might not be as much as people think.

    Also, the Cowboys got a gift-wrapped win in Week One. Couldn't have been easier.
    Rodgers was still light years ahead of Wilson. He has to deal with Parsons and Lawerence in his face this week.

  14. #14
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
    Rodgers was still light years ahead of Wilson. He has to deal with Parsons and Lawerence in his face this week.
    That's why they play the games. Everyone has their opinion.

    The line change from Rodgers to Wilson was about five points. That's a lot.

  15. #15
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Tough call but gun to head, it's the Jets and the points.

  16. #16
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Tough call but gun to head, it's the Jets and the points.
    Salud, Drunk. These numbers are mostly designed to generate two-way action.

  17. #17
    Slurry Pumper
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    I was leaning towards taking the Jets if this number went to 10. This is Dallas after all. They aren't as good as the score last week indicates. Plus New York has the injured star player theory going for them this week.

  18. #18
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slurry Pumper View Post
    I was leaning towards taking the Jets if this number went to 10. This is Dallas after all. They aren't as good as the score last week indicates. Plus New York has the injured star player theory going for them this week.
    Exactly, Slurry. NFL lines are great for generating 2-way action:

    1) It's ez to rationalize that the Oddsmaker whiffed. If ZWilson is a joke, line is short.
    2) Counter is that Jets are a solid team except for QB. If ARod to ZWilson = only 3-pt swing, then the Jets are value.

  19. #19
    asiagambler
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    Well what was the line before the injury? Wasn't it -3.5 ?

    How many points do you think Rodgers is worth ?

    At his very peak... with Brett Hundley backing him up, I believe it was like 10 points. So is he worth more now? Doubtful

    With that said, Jets OL is... atrocious. I do believe 3.5 was a bit light and was likely headed to 4/4.5 so I'm somewhat in agreement with you here. But not to 14.5. Maybe more like 11.5. Matchup seems to favour them heavily

    I was tempted more by the under but that got hit hard already so... Dallas looks more and more attractive to me as the line keeps creeping down

  20. #20
    Enkhbat
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    The only bet I am considering is the under

  21. #21
    DwightShrute
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    Week one of the NFL season doesn't really tell us much about a team. Not every team anyways. Especially since they went to 3 preseason games. Many starters hardly played in the preseason and if they did, it was very little.

    Are the Cowboys really that good? Is the Jets' defense really that good? Is Cincinnati's offense that bad? Did Toney forget how to catch? Is Lamar Jackson only gonna get you 7 points in your fantasy league every week? Probably not.

    Injuries are almost always the determining factor as to how far a team will go. We all know this. Austin Ekeler is doubtful for Sunday and the Chargers are in Tennessee and could start the season 0-2. DeAndre Hopkins didn't practice all week and is questionable. One of them will be 0-2 after Sunday.

    Are my Dolphins gonna score 36 points every game? Will Tua pass for 400+ yards a game? Will Tyreek get 2000+ years this season and the MVP? Hard to say but ... Yes!

    It does make for some interesting football discussion though.




  22. #22
    blackHIPPY
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    Horrible spot for jets

  23. #23
    pavyracer
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    A lot of people get burned in the NFL because they believe the coaches design the game plan to cover the spread when the goal is to win the game.

  24. #24
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Haha. Nice picture.

  25. #25
    GunShard
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    Cowboys in a teaser seems like the correct play.

  26. #26
    ThaTopMoron
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    only way to keep jets capable of a late game cover is in low scoring games so bet the under

  27. #27
    raiders72001
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    Cowboys in a teaser seems like the correct play.
    did the same.

  28. #28
    klemopixx
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    It's down to 8.5

    What does that tell you?

  29. #29
    klemopixx
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    For me the correct play is under 38.5 but that's just me.

  30. #30
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by klemopixx View Post
    It's down to 8.5

    What does that tell you?
    More bets on Jets than Cowboys?

  31. #31
    raiders72001
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    Buf/Dal teaser

  32. #32
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Side to total is a great teaser. 38 1/2 is a good number.

  33. #33
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    A lot of people get burned in the NFL because they believe the coaches design the game plan to cover the spread when the goal is to win the game.
    They lose because they watched last week.

  34. #34
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    Please start a sportsbook and make your own lines. I promise I'll be your first customer.
    Does a 30% deposit bonus work? lol

  35. #35
    Booya711
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    A lot of people get burned in the NFL because they believe the coaches design the game plan to cover the spread when the goal is to win the game.
    Sean Mcvay played to cover the spreadÖ.kicked a meaningless FG as time expired to cover the 7.5

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