1. #1
    Snowball
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    ATP Umag: Richard Gasquet +260

    2pm est Croatia ATP Umag

    This line was +275 about 15 mins ago. After analyzing the situation I checked it again at +260
    so it might even fall more. I got +260.

    Alcaraz is a young player without much history. He's beaten Pouille (2-1), Martin (2-0), Krajinovic (2-1),
    and Ramos-Vinolas (2-0) to reach the Finals in his side of the draw. At 18 this is his first year on ATP level
    where he is 15-11. His rank is 73.
    Gasquet is an aging star at 35, but he's been having a good clay season in Europe. Ranks 59. Having a quicker draw at Umag, he's beaten Gianessi (2-0), Dzumhur (2-0), and Altamier (2-1) to reach the Final.

    I don't know what the linesmen are thinking here, except that they want to fade Gasquet due to his age, or the bettors are taking Alcaraz on excitement over his future star prospects. The only other possibility is with Gasquet's 2-1 victory yesterday going 3 sets, and Alcaraz only 2 sets, he'll be more fresh.

    There is value in Gas Can. Alcaraz is overbought. Alcaraz has lost to the players with histories like Gasquet's, and beaten only the more middling guys, unless you count Lopez who is like ancient now (will be 40 in Sept)

    Of course there is risk that Gasquet will tire later on. But this is a Finals and a Night Match (8 pm local).
    Another plus for us bettors is that with the odds on Gas Can so high, we are likely to have a live arb out at profit.

  2. #2
    Darkside Magick
    All Spirit is guarded by Rituals
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    It goes three sets and Gasquet lose

  3. #3
    Darkside Magick
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    Richard Gasquet +213 vs Carlos Alcaraz​(First Set Winner)

  4. #4
    theboss4018
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    No disrespect to you! Someone didnít come to play today.

  5. #5
    jjgold
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  6. #6
    Conqueror
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    Quote Originally Posted by theboss4018 View Post
    No disrespect to you! Someone didn’t come to play today.
    Exactly!

  7. #7
    jjgold
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    Tennis is like Russian roulette

    No consistency out of most players

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