Tie at Half- Denver Full Time +3000

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #1
    Tie at Half- Denver Full Time +3000
    This game is gonna be a battle, but I think Denver pulls it out. I believe it'll be extremely competitive throughout. Too lazy for an analysis, but think this has a better shot of hitting than the odds imply.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
  • shocka1212
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-12
    • 16788

    #2
    bol
    Comment
    • RudyRuetigger
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-24-10
      • 65086

      #3
      holy fukk

      so you are capping an exact tie and a denver win

      do people actually believe this shit?
      Comment
      • Booya711
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-20-11
        • 27329

        #4
        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
        holy fukk

        so you are capping an exact tie and a denver win

        do people actually believe this shit?
        Goat is a clown show Rudy....
        Comment
        • leetreaper
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-23-10
          • 34841

          #5
          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
          holy fukk

          so you are capping an exact tie and a denver win

          do people actually believe this shit?
          I think he might
          Comment
          • eaglesfan371
            SBR MVP
            • 01-08-19
            • 4079

            #6
            Normally like your plays but strongly dislike this one.

            Denver if tied at halftime would be roughly +125 or slightly greater dog. Implying an odds of 31/2.25 = 13.777. I do not think this game is tied more often than 1 in 13.777, which would imply +EV. Probably 1 in 20 or 1 in 30 of tie at halftime (anyone have stats on how often ties happen in NBA?).
            Comment
            • Cuse0323
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-09-09
              • 30169

              #7
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388189

                #8


                play money
                Comment
                • Thrilla
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-10-15
                  • 13809

                  #9
                  51-51 1:30 left

                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94365

                    #10
                    Rooting for you
                    Comment
                    • leetreaper
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-23-10
                      • 34841

                      #11
                      Goater might win a 1000:1 dart here
                      Comment
                      • leetreaper
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-23-10
                        • 34841

                        #12
                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                        Rooting for you
                        Comment
                        • Cuse0323
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 30169

                          #13
                          Bang!
                          Comment
                          • bballs84
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 5461

                            #14
                            Wow.. Nice
                            Comment
                            • Vesuvius
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-19-08
                              • 3886

                              #15
                              Hit the tie! The hard part is out of the way...
                              Comment
                              • SamsNCharge99
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-22-08
                                • 41242

                                #16
                                Ummmm holy cow!!!

                                This has a real chance
                                Comment
                                • Thrilla
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-10-15
                                  • 13809

                                  #17
                                  HT 54-54


                                  Allaaaaaaaaaaaah Hu Akbar!!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94365

                                    #18
                                    Go goat
                                    Comment
                                    • ArunSh
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-24-07
                                      • 6801

                                      #19
                                      Wow, amazing. Time to hedge a bit?
                                      Comment
                                      • Cuse0323
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-09-09
                                        • 30169

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by eaglesfan371
                                        Normally like your plays but strongly dislike this one.

                                        Denver if tied at halftime would be roughly +125 or slightly greater dog. Implying an odds of 31/2.25 = 13.777. I do not think this game is tied more often than 1 in 13.777, which would imply +EV. Probably 1 in 20 or 1 in 30 of tie at halftime (anyone have stats on how often ties happen in NBA?).
                                        This is why math can fck off. Goat had a feeling and hit the hard part.
                                        Comment
                                        • SamsNCharge99
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-22-08
                                          • 41242

                                          #21
                                          Im on denver ML as well.

                                          Lets get it!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • bballs84
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 5461

                                            #22
                                            Depending on bet size would def hedge some here
                                            Comment
                                            • eaglesfan371
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-19
                                              • 4079

                                              #23
                                              Insane, good luck man!!
                                              Comment
                                              • leetreaper
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-23-10
                                                • 34841

                                                #24
                                                Goater is a new LakerBoy( no offence LB you still the best but he just stole you thunder)

                                                Comment
                                                • leetreaper
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                  • 34841

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm not a negative person but imagine he didnt bet that and just posted
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TheMoneyShot
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-14-07
                                                    • 28672

                                                    #26
                                                    Rooting for you Goat!! Get Em!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Thrilla
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-10-15
                                                      • 13809

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by bballs84
                                                      Depending on bet size would def hedge some here
                                                      And make the books happy by turning in some of the value? Hedging bad if he just wants to secure some of the potential profit.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TonyPhizzle
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 08-30-17
                                                        • 410

                                                        #28
                                                        You better hedge. We all know how this turns out if you don’t buddy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RudyRuetigger
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 08-24-10
                                                          • 65086

                                                          #29
                                                          Ho

                                                          Lee

                                                          Fukk

                                                          It's tied at half and I thought Denver would win





                                                          This guy might pull it off


                                                          Would kill me
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Thrilla
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-10-15
                                                            • 13809

                                                            #30
                                                            Don't hedge without a legit in-game reason. If it loses it loses suck it and on to the next bet. Lot of posters here going all in every bet they make it seems.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cuse0323
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 30169

                                                              #31
                                                              I wouldn’t hedge. He had the right read so why back off now? Denver looks like they got their shit together and playing their game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65086

                                                                #32
                                                                Could be best call I've seen in 4 years
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                                  • 65086

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                                  I wouldn’t hedge. He had the right read so why back off now? Denver looks like they got their shit together and playing their game.
                                                                  You don't "read" a tie game at half in nba
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Wow bro. Time to hedge?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jtoler
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-17-13
                                                                      • 30967

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I used to do these all the time too sometimes they hit, hard to pass up the odds either way

                                                                      ONLINE
                                                                      04/20/2019
                                                                      03:14 PM
                                                                      [Ticket #: 402430744] STRAIGHT BET
                                                                      04/20/2019 @ 04:40 PM TNT Denver Nuggets vrs San Antonio Spurs: Half Time / Full Time Result+OT
                                                                      [951982] TIE / San Antonio Spurs +3000
                                                                      5.00 150.00
                                                                      Comment
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