[JIBBBY]

The odds are crap usually at -300 to -350 mostly but if you do the teams research and math trends you can weed out which teams don't typically go into over time at home and or away. Thoughts?

Just branching out betting strategies.. I do not like picking up chump change in front of steam roller but these bets are very easy and do cash with regularity. Some teams go 5+ games without going into over time.. Those are the team I focus on when they are matched up..

My suggestion is to go back 5 games with each team tonight.. Find both teams that didn't go into OT to win or lose games and that should be your bet. Put in the capping work and you win..

Most HNL games don't go into OT just for the record.


That's my play below.. I started the thread I need to deliver...

[JIBBBY]

$340.00

$100.00

Pending

2/19/19 8:35pm NHL Hockey 64 NAS/DAL no overtime -340* vs NAS/DAL goes to overtime

https://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/nashvil...rs-2019021909/

[ikid2groove415]

I think hockey has a better chance going into overtime then Basketball

[JIBBBY]

I think hockey has a better chance going into overtime then Basketball

It does Kidgroove compared to the NBA, but some teams just don't see over time often.. At -350 odds you can nail 10 in row if you know what you are doing and looking for.. It will become profitable..

[ikid2groove415]

It does Kidgroove compared to the NBA, but some teams just don't see over time often.. At -350 odds you can nail 10 in row if you know what you are doing and looking for.. It will become profitable..

Harder 2 score in hockey

[Chi_archie]

no I just pick the best players and then just auto bet the over props when they are on a hot streak!!!!!!!



hamburger central

[Razorbacks1]

Damn Jibbby way too much juice. Once in a blue moon I might play “will both teams score over 1 1/2”. That’s juicy also, but usually in the -170 -200 range.

[JIBBBY]

Damn Jibbby way too much juice. Once in a blue moon I might play “will both teams score over 1 1/2”. That’s juicy also, but usually in the -170 -200 range.

Alot of juice you are right but I'll hit 10 in a row with these.. Teams likely to go into OT are the ones with the lower odds like you suggest..

Odds makers do see what we are seeing when capping.. Odds adjust accordingly but not always to what they should be.

[ikid2groove415]

Hockey have the best overtime - case closed - NFL should take notes

[danshan11]

it happens about 25% of the time

[Razorbacks1]

Alot of juice you are right but I'll hit 10 in a row with these.. Teams likely to go into OT are the ones with the lower odds like you suggest..

Odds makers do see what we are seeing when capping.. Odds adjust accordingly but not always to what they should be.

Still not my cup of tea, but I wish you the best

[eaglesfan371]

-340 way too high of juice imo. This implies 77.3% of time it does not go to OT. I would say it go to OT 25-30% thus, -EV. These are two low scoring teams with solid 2.5 GAA goalies. This is not like the lightning that could easily win by 3+.

[eaglesfan371]

According to STATS, 23.6 percent of games since the 2005-06 season have gone to overtime, but in the last few seasons games are going beyond regulation at an even higher rate.Feb 15, 2017

[JIBBBY]

it happens about 25% of the time

Not with the teams that typically don't go into OT games.. That's my point of this thread.. Look for trends that's all.. It's a grind and a lot of juice to play with each game.. Gotta know your stuff. Just over time and grind..

[stevex]

Or what are the odds of the same team going in to over time twice or three times in a row? Do the A,B,C bet scenario.

[TheMoneyShot]

I liked it back in the day for example the 98-99 season.... ties meant something for both teams (getting that point.) +0.5 and -0.5 was a great wager.... didn't have to worry about crazy ass OT 3 on 3 sh#$.

The entire OT procedure is a joke from a wagering standpoint. To a fans standpoint... of course you'd love it.

[danshan11]

3700 out of 16000 games 23% of the time

[JIBBBY]

^^Some teams are prone to selling out on winning or losing in regulation. Those are the stats you should look for!!

They pull the goal tending early at the end or just are strong at home.. Gotta know your stuff when playing these juiced odds..

These over all numbers you can throw out the door IMO.. Every team is different and some sell out to win or lose in regulation. NO OT!!!

[mdunlap3]

Every time I try to wager on NHL I lose lol. College hoops and football for me. I know my lane.

[jjgold]

Any gimmick bet you’re just better off not playing and I think that’s a gimmick bet

[JIBBBY]

$340.00

$100.00

Pending

2/19/19 8:35pm NHL Hockey 64 NAS/DAL no overtime -340* vs NAS/DAL goes to overtime

https://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/nashvil...rs-2019021909/

Nothing to brag about but cash it.. Like I said I can hit ten of these in a row and usually do.

$340.00

$100.00

Win

2/19/19 8:35pm NHL Hockey 64 NAS/DAL no overtime -340* vs NAS/DAL goes to overtime

[magpie878]

I've never done one of those, but I often take a team (when the ML is too high to me) in a 60-minutes bet.

Once in awhile, it backfires, like taking the Blues 60-minutes last night, but that was one of multiple Blues wagers for me.

[ikid2groove415]

Nothing to brag about but cash it.. Like I said I can hit ten of these in a row and usually do.

$340.00

$100.00

Win

2/19/19 8:35pm NHL Hockey 64 NAS/DAL no overtime -340* <small>vs</small> NAS/DAL goes to overtime

Jibbs it’s not that easy

[Deep_Rest]

There's probably a bit of statistical correlation between OT rates, the O/U, and team average points scored. I wouldn't run a regression on this though since O/U is hugely correlated with average points scored (multicollinearity). Just spitballin but I think your best chance would be to bet on two bad teams with a low O/U...use your 5-game buffer and slap a chase system on top of it. GL if you go through with this...I'll be interested to see if is profitable

[jjgold]

Jibby do not try and outsmart the book

Bet your guy

[The Kraken]

This guy is a fukking Double Meat Whopper

[importmoon]

reminds me of people try to beat casino... it's not gonna happen.. the only way to win is DON'T BET... I remember Steve Wynn always ask how many people walks in the floor the more people the more surplus...he never wants to look at the ledger or balance sheet...

[swordsandtequila]

Much better odds on 1st period overs. There's a handful of teams that have been pure gold this year. Been a few threads posted.

[eaglesfan371]

If you’re reading this please do not do this.

This is not going to end well.

Also, his bet came extremely close to losing last night.

If you’ve won 10 in row apparently let’s see your wager history.

[JIBBBY]

^^^Well fellas let's see if I can do 10 in a row in this thread? I'll post my play pending every day til I fail...

Here is #2 play tonight. Let's see if this hits?

Pending2/20/19 8:35pm NHL Hockey 70 WPG/COL no overtime -355* vs WPG/COL goes to overtime



Winnipeg is basically allergic to over time games in recent days.. They either lose or win in regulation lately.. Colorado is basically the same at home.. Win or lose in regulation.. Last time these 2 clubs played each other there was a 3 goal difference in scoring at the end.

Highly doubt this game goes into over time.https://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/winnipe...he-2019022017/

[Chi_archie]

You need to study and understand variance

[danshan11]

lots to study for science project overtime
variance
regression to the mean
juice
and more....

[JIBBBY]

You need to study and understand variance

I understand variance Arch.. I don't bet like this in any other sport. I prefer + odd prop betting myself in Boxing and MMA actually. I'm up money on the year betting these types of NO OT bets. Just very confident with NO OT bets after team capping trends..

Soccer you can do the same but it's easier to win NO OT bets in Hockey then Soccer I believe.

Just my take..

[ikid2groove415]

Jibbs u will go broke -

[Watergate]

I have on occasion with little success.