1. #141
    jjgold
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    Johnny football playing?

  2. #142
    KVB
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    He will not start, they say, but he will get snaps.

    Vernon Adams the starter.

    Heritage back -8, crazy movement on this issue.

    I use multiple services and connections, Gold, because in the end this becomes a race for information. Not only am I trying to act on the information, I'm also trying to post it.

    It takes time.

    Remember that...in the end this becomes a race for information.


  3. #143
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Three calls...

    Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/10/18 64.00 @ 1.21.

    Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/17/18 65.00 @ 1.13.

    Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/24/18 66.00 @ 1.04.

    Earnings are announced August 9th, we are betting on LNG here...
    It's been a little over a week, and got a decent pop in the stock today and also in after hours.

    The hangover of the Icahn liquidation, fukker took some profits at the top but still holds a shitload, appears to be over.

    Earnings coming.

    We are winning.

  4. #144
    jjgold
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    Buying calls and puts are terrible plays
    The time decay is too great and rapid

    Let me teach you son

    HI IV only, liquid options and sell premium

  5. #145
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Buying calls and puts are terrible plays
    The time decay is too great and rapid

    Let me teach you son

    HI IV only, liquid options and sell premium
    Yes, I like this. I knew the direction of the stock and was trying to make a buck. I was thinking I should have bought more contracts.

    I'm not looking to stay too long in these, I tiered them upward. We are right on the bet, so far, but maybe with knowing it was going to rise, I should have sold the puts for premium.

    We will discuss this, and other trades soon.

  6. #146
    KVB
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    Generating a ton of winning MLB plays, should have bought into the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund, that side of the market is winning right now.

  7. #147
    jjgold
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    Best of luck

    See you in Vegas


    I will be there Not part of the festivities

  8. #148
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Generating a ton of winning MLB plays, should have bought into the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund, that side of the market is winning right now.
    I'm a big believer in contrarian logic. We could start a stock/sports fund based purely on contarian thinking.

  9. #149
    KVB
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    Yes Chucky, it's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund.

    It's been running since All Star break and posted in the Forum, but not under the name.

    I mentioned in this thread that I might rotate into another sports fund but I fear we've missed the small run.

    Just like stocks, it's tough to buy in after the runs, the problem is, as always, timing.

    After all, this fund will profit this year, but it had a nasty run I posted before the all star break. It might still have legs in this positive run yet.

    If Texas and Colorado both get redemption tonight, it will have been one nice run since the break. I'll update it later.

  10. #150
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Edmonton Eskimos +9 (-109) over Montreal Alouettes....
    So busy with MLB that I forgot about this.

    This bet is cancelled. I knew I was missing something. That something was a huge market error. I just acted so fast that, well, no shot taken.

    The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Edmonton Eskimos -8 (-110) over Montreal Alouettes.

    Fortunately, not reporting this didn't change much as you can get 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, even 7.5 juiced a bit at a couple of places, if that's your pleasure.

    The CFL sharp forecast, it should be disclosed, would not be a buyer at -9 because it has Edmonton winning by 9 or 10 points, with equal probability. It would be a buyer at -8.5 and a buyer at Montreal +10.5.

    Good Luck.


  11. #151
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Buying calls and puts are terrible plays
    The time decay is too great and rapid

    Let me teach you son

    HI IV only, liquid options and sell premium
    What do you think Gold, just sell those options for a small profit on the bounce, or stick to my plan through earnings?

    I know it's not much, but you're right, going forward I'm only buying calls as a potential entry point into a stock, at least at these prices; or maybe the multiple calls, with multiple contracts on bumps like these aren't a bad way to generate cash.

    Timing is hard, but we give ourselves weeks for it to get right.

    Working here...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Three calls...

    Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/10/18 64.00 @ 1.21.

    Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/17/18 65.00 @ 1.13.

    Bought 1 Call to Open LNG 8/24/18 66.00 @ 1.04.

    Earnings are announced August 9th, we are betting on LNG here...

  12. #152
    jjgold
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    Low IV Rank right now and not much volume action

    I would not touch them, stock not liquid enough for me

  13. #153
    KVB
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    Either way, I'm ahead on this trade, already.

    I think you're saying get out, screw the earnings play. I see.

    Maybe pick up an earnings play closer to the 9th.

  14. #154
    jjgold
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    Just did a short call spread CAT Aug 17 144-146

  15. #155
    KVB
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    I see, not bad. Sold the 144 and bought the 146 for vertical spread.

    How many contracts? I see about .80 credit right now at the worst prices for each.

    Good Luck.

    Thanks for the input.

  16. #156
    jjgold
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    1 I am broke man


    Safe way to trade and a 62% chance of 50% profit

    That is an edge

  17. #157
    KVB
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  18. #158
    jjgold
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    Did a Short Put Spread out of the money gold (GLD)

    Basically lottery play

    $20-$80 per 1 lot

    40% Chance of lets say breaking even

  19. #159
    KVB
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    CAT announcing earnings on Monday.

    They make sure to do it before the open, to set up the market sentiment.

    This shit is just like sports.

    The account also received $24.00 dividend GE.


  20. #160
    jjgold
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    /NQ should bounce back some next week

  21. #161
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    CAT announcing earnings on Monday.

    They make sure to do it before the open, to set up the market sentiment.

    This shit is just like sports.


    The account also received $24.00 dividend GE.

    Good stuff
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave pimike 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  22. #162
    jjgold
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    NEW TRADE

    SHORT STRANGLE Aug 17th

    X


    32.5/ Put
    40.5 Call

    Looking to pick up $100 FULL CREDIT or 80% chance of $50 Profit

  23. #163
    KVB
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    Am studying your plays Gold, also have to up the option approval in this account, when I set up there was lower approval.

    Getting that fixed now.

  24. #164
    jjgold
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    KVB your a square

    lol option approval

    Tastyworks everything...FULL OPTIONS, FULL FUTURES APPROVAL INSTANT with a few clicks

    They are very different, owner guy who created thinkorswim and says fuk you to the industry with all the silly rules other brokers have

    Cheapest by far options commissions............ZERO commissions on closes too

    Go look it up and also free live 8 hours a day financial education 5 days a week, BIG MONEY OPERATION geared to option trading and futures trading

    We are still waiting on futures options to be added..maybe a week away very geared to managing delta and thetas and very big on rolling positions 20 days left and getting out 50% profit on a trade..all their research backs it up

    GO STUDY MAN

    Will be adding yield curve trade spreads soon and future options plays

    ZERO UP SELL...guy a legend Tom Sosnoff owner

    I became sharp because of that network (tastytrade)and broker spinoff tastyworks same owners
    Last edited by jjgold; 07-27-18 at 01:34 PM.

  25. #165
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    KVB your a square

    lol option approval

    Tastyworks everything...FULL OPTIONS, FULL FUTURES APPROVAL INSTANT with a few clicks

    They are very different, owner guy who created thinkorswim and says fuk you to the industry with all the silly rules other brokers have

    Cheapest by far options commissions............ZERO commissions on closes too

    Go look it up and also free live 8 hours a day financial education 5 days a week, BIG MONEY OPERATION geared to option trading and futures trading

    We are still waiting on futures options to be added..maybe a week away very geared to managing delta and thetas and very big on rolling positions 20 days left and getting put 50% profit on a trade..all their research backs it up

    GO STUDY MAN

    ZERO UP SELL...guy a legend Tom Sosnoff owner

    I became sharp because of that network (tastytrade)and broker spinoff tastyworks same owners


    Yes Gold, I have plenty to learn, and it's been a while for some of this. Been immersed in sports almost exclusively until recently moving some sports money to stocks, that's when I opened discretionary account, literally for this thread and to track.

    I wasn't sure exactly what kind of trading I was going to do here.

    Starting to wish I had bought into the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund here, it has been a good play and we are making money outside of this thread.

    Gold, we will work through trades together, the Schwab trade and prob calculator will suffice.

  26. #166
    jjgold
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  27. #167
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    A lot of chalk there
    3-1 on that chalk Gold...

    Here are the current KVB CFL Sharp Forecast Fund results...

    Risk 3.5% Beat
    Record Week Issue $10,000 Close Closer?
    1-0 6 SSK +11 (-110) 318.18 10.5 Y
    1-1 OTT -6.5 (-102) -350 -7 Y
    2-1 WIN -108 324.07 -3.5 Y
    2-2 CAL -19.5 (-106) -350 -19.5 -
    3-2 7 WIN -9.5 (-106) 330.19 -10 Y
    3-3 HAM -4 (-107) -350 -6 Y
    4-3 CAL -7 (-106) 330.19 -7.5 Y
    5-3 EDM -8 (-110) 318.18 -10.5 Y
    5-3 Total $10,571

    Links to the original posts are there.

    The CFL Sharp Forecast has beaten the closing spread in every game, with a push in Calgary.

    That Calgary -19.5 line shot up, just like the others, but then made it's way back down to close where it opened.


  28. #168
    KVB
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    The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up the following plays...

    Ottawa Redblacks –3.5 (-110) over Toronto Argonauts

    Saskatchewan Roughriders +9 (-110) over Edmonton Eskimos

    Calgary Stampeders –11 (-110) over British Columbia Lions

    Hamilton has opened a 6 point favorite over Montreal but the CFL Sharp Forecast shows Hamilton winning by 3, 4, 5, or 6 points, all with equal probability.

    Montreal will trigger if we see +6.5.

    These are very early openers and I wouldn’t be surprise, this week, to see a line move against the forecast as it has beaten the closing line the last two weeks, but we will have to wait and see.

    Good Luck


  29. #169
    KVB
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    This CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Montreal Alouettes +7 (-107) over Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

    This is the line that moves against the forecast this week, something I was looking for when the week began; let's see if it comes back down.

    Good Luck.


  30. #170
    KVB
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    This account has received $100 dividend HIMX.



    HIMX has recently been the weakest position in this fund for a while. It is reaching levels where I am going to need to make a decision and I have been bearish of late on this stock, despite sitting on 1000 shares.

    One of only a couple of positions down in this Fund, GE being the other.

    I have been busy with the MLB Contrarian fund and have held off trading stocks recently, it's hard to do both.

    I was supposed to rotate into the MLB Fund with available cash, too bad I didn't it has been on a good run.

    There are two CFL games in play tonight.


  31. #171
    KVB
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    The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up Edmonton Eskimos -6 (-110) over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

    The Fund also holds Saskatchewan +9 (-110) over Edmonton, bought at the open, and is required to buy at the current market agreement.

    The CFL rarely, if ever, middles, but it does push an opener or closer at times.

    Good Luck.


  32. #172
    TTA_President
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    Wow

  33. #173
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The CFL Sharp Forecast Fund has picked up the following plays...

    Ottawa Redblacks –3.5 (-110) over Toronto Argonauts

    Saskatchewan Roughriders +9 (-110) over Edmonton Eskimos

    Calgary Stampeders –11 (-110) over British Columbia Lions

    Hamilton has opened a 6 point favorite over Montreal but the CFL Sharp Forecast shows Hamilton winning by 3, 4, 5, or 6 points, all with equal probability.

    Montreal will trigger if we see +6.5.

    These are very early openers and I wouldn’t be surprise, this week, to see a line move against the forecast as it has beaten the closing line the last two weeks, but we will have to wait and see.

    Good Luck

    Valuable skill to know which way # is gonna move. Wish I was better at it.

  34. #174
    TheLock
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    I just found this thread. Love it. The back and forths with KVB and Coach are excellent. One or two ultra-needy trolls who despise themselves popped in but beyond.....that good stuff!

    So I can add something to the thread, I opened a Major Purchase account on Betterment recently with the sole purpose of having around $4K for the 2026 World Cup. $18.00 bi-weekly. Crumbs.

  35. #175
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    I just found this thread. Love it. The back and forths with KVB and Coach are excellent. One or two ultra-needy trolls who despise themselves popped in but beyond.....that good stuff!

    So I can add something to the thread, I opened a Major Purchase account on Betterment recently with the sole purpose of having around $4K for the 2026 World Cup. $18.00 bi-weekly. Crumbs.

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