1. #1
    PAULYPOKER
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    New Years Day playoffs>NCAAF

    Who's going to win?

    Here is my take without the SOS figured in and reading the line movement
    from now until then.......


    They say Defense wins Championships which for the most part is true..



    As far as I'm concerned the only thing that matters are how many
    PPG the defense gives up........

    #1..Alabama 11.5 PPG


    #2.. Clemson 12.8 PPG


    #4..Georgia 13.2 PPG

    #22.. Ohio State 19.9 PPG
    (making case for OSU)

    #52.. Oklahoma 25.0 PPG



    Oklahoma looking like they should not be in playoffs with that defense..


    The points offenses put on the board is all that matters as well.......


    #4.. Oklahoma 44.9 PPG


    #5.. Ohio State 42.5 PPG
    (making case for OSU)


    #12.. Alabama 39.9 PPG


    #21.. Clemson 35.4 PPG


    #23.. Georgia 34.9 PPG





    Strength of Schedule Rank & Rating......

    #2.. Ohio State 12.2 (making case for OSU) Auburn was #1

    #3.. Oklahoma 11.5

    #5.. Clemson 10.1

    #6.. Georgia 10.0

    #10.. Alabama 9.2

    How is the SOS factored into the ATS??

    Without the SOS included...

    Alabama's odds to win championship are the best..
    Now I see why Alabama should be in the playoffs as they clearly are
    still the best team in the nation........

    Alabama -6 over Clemson..

    Alabama -8.5 over Oklahoma..

    Alabama -7 over Georgia.....

    In the Georgia/Oklahoma match up, Georgia has the best odds
    of winning..

    Georgia -3
    over Oklahoma.......


  2. #2
    jjgold
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    Too early

    We are worried about tonight

  3. #3
    PAULYPOKER
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    Hey Goldielocks

    The lines will only grow for the favorites.........

    Stick with me, kid, and you'll be farting through silk...........

    You all didn't believe me when I told you Bitcoin would rise from low $200's to $1,000 by years end
    in 2013.......

    Stick with me, son. I'll make you a star..................

  4. #4
    tony_come
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    Who's in the playoffs?

  5. #5
    PAULYPOKER
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    Who's on 1st.........

  6. #6
    Renegades
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    Dont be fooled by bama ppg on offense. They get pts from their defense via field position and turnovers. Their offense is avg at best particularly if they are playing a team that stuffs the run

  7. #7
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Hey Goldielocks

    The lines will only grow for the favorites.........

    Stick with me, kid, and you'll be farting through silk...........

    You all didn't believe me when I told you Bitcoin would rise from low $200's to $1,000 by years end
    in 2013.......

    Stick with me, son. I'll make you a star..................
    Arn't you the same dumb arse that decided that Auburn was the #1 team in the nation? How did that work out for you? Another loser mouthing off.

  8. #8
    PAULYPOKER
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    Stay tuned as I'll be releasing my New Years day plays in the very near future!

    All 5 games!

  9. #9
    PAULYPOKER
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    Banged out this +668 parlay yesterday..........


    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post

    GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Payout
    Ticket#:3709643
    Dec 30 12:00 PM
    Dec 30 04:00 PM
    Dec 30 08:00 PM
    Dec 30 01:23 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
    [258] MISSISSIPPI STATE +215
    [262] PENN STATE -141
    [263] WISCONSIN -235
    +668




    GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Payout...

  10. #10
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Oklahoma and Mayfield have shown that they can put up points against good defenses.

    Georgia defense has not shown that they can stop good QBs from putting up points on them. The 2 best QBs they have played this season have put up 40 and 28 on them. Mayfield will put at least 30 on the board.

  11. #11
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    Oklahoma and Mayfield have shown that they can put up points against good defenses.

    Georgia defense has not shown that they can stop good QBs from putting up points on them. The 2 best QBs they have played this season have put up 40 and 28 on them. Mayfield will put at least 30 on the board.
    Did you see his interview?

    Reporter asked how he felt about being an underdog......

    He said (with very irritated facial expression) "were not an underdog"

  12. #12
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post

    In the Georgia/Oklahoma match up, Georgia has the best odds
    of winning..

    Georgia -3
    over Oklahoma.......


    When I posted my Line for this game Oklahoma was -1.5....

    Line is now Georgia -2.5 to -3 depending on what book you use......

  13. #13
    jjgold
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    Georgia rolls
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  14. #14
    firedawg
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    Oklahoma and Mayfield have shown that they can put up points against good defenses.

    Georgia defense has not shown that they can stop good QBs from putting up points on them. The 2 best QBs they have played this season have put up 40 and 28 on them. Mayfield will put at least 30 on the board.
    this guy has zero clue

  15. #15
    PAULYPOKER
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    GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Payout
    Ticket#:3711360
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 01:00 PM
    Jan 01 05:00 PM
    Jan 01 08:45 PM
    Dec 31 01:54 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
    [265] SOUTH CAROLINA +230
    [268] AUBURN -400
    [270] NOTRE DAME +148
    [271] GEORGIA -150
    [273] ALABAMA -150
    +2742



    Parlay.........1 unit

    Straight......3 units each


    NOTRE DAME +148

    GEORGIA -2.5 - 115

    ALABAMA -3 -110

    .
    I just noticed lines went full retard on Auburn!!!



  16. #16
    PAULYPOKER
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    Adding 5 team teaser for 1 unit..........


    Ticket#:3713111
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 01:00 PM
    Jan 01 05:00 PM
    Jan 01 08:45 PM
    Jan 01 11:01 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    5 team teaser
    [265] SOUTH CAROLINA +15-110 (B+6)
    [268] AUBURN -6-110 (B+6)
    [270] NOTRE DAME +9½-115 (B+6)
    [271] GEORGIA +3-105 (B+6)
    [273] ALABAMA +3-115 (B+6)
    Payout
    +440/1

  17. #17
    PAULYPOKER
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    Lang is on Clemson

  18. #18
    PAULYPOKER
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    Landers is on Okla........

  19. #19
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21
    Oklahoma and Mayfield have shown that they can put up points against good defenses.

    Georgia defense has not shown that they can stop good QBs from putting up points on them. The 2 best QBs they have played this season have put up 40 and 28 on them. Mayfield will put at least 30 on the board.


    Quote Originally Posted by firedawg View Post
    this guy has zero clue
    you're right, I was way off...

    50+ would've been more accurate as Oklahoma has 30+ at halftime

  20. #20
    PAULYPOKER
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    Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER
    GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Payout
    Ticket#:3711360
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 01:00 PM
    Jan 01 05:00 PM
    Jan 01 08:45 PM
    Dec 31 01:54 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
    [265] SOUTH CAROLINA +230
    [268] AUBURN -400
    [270] NOTRE DAME +148
    [271] GEORGIA -150
    [273] ALABAMA -150
    +2742




    Parlay.........1 unit

    Straight......3 units each


    NOTRE DAME +148 +4.4 units

    GEORGIA -2.5 - 115 +3 units

    ALABAMA -3 -110 +3 units








    Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER

    GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Payout
    Ticket#:3709643
    Dec 30 12:00 PM
    Dec 30 04:00 PM
    Dec 30 08:00 PM
    Dec 30 01:23 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
    [258] MISSISSIPPI STATE +215
    [262] PENN STATE -141
    [263] WISCONSIN -235
    +668







    GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Payout...





    Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER
    Adding 5 team teaser for 1 unit..........


    Ticket#:3713111
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 01:00 PM
    Jan 01 05:00 PM
    Jan 01 08:45 PM
    Jan 01 11:01 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    5 team teaser
    [265] SOUTH CAROLINA +15-110 (B+6)
    [268] AUBURN -6-110 (B+6)
    [270] NOTRE DAME +9½-115 (B+6)
    [271] GEORGIA +3-105 (B+6)
    [273] ALABAMA +3-115 (B+6)
    Payout
    +440/1

    I was 80% correct with LSU picked as the lone loser............
    Thread: SEC will go 4-1 tomorrow.........
    This is the last time I will believe after them fat elite fukks on the bowl/playoff
    committee misjudging UCF by a landslide...........

    Just missed my 27.42 units 5 team parlay and 4.4 units 5 team teaser
    because of that despicable Auburn train wreck........I'll bet NOBODY thought UCF could beat Auburn straight up and
    if anyone claims they did, they would be full of SHIT to the brain as well.........I'm 7-1 on posted bowl"picks"

    3-0 on posted bowl straight plays........+10.44 units

    1-2 on posted bowl parlays/teaser...........+4.68 units
    Total = +15.12 units
    Last edited by PAULYPOKER; 01-02-18 at 09:53 AM.

  21. #21
    ELNATURAL
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    Thread of year right here.

    Well done.
    Nomination(s):
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  22. #22
    PAULYPOKER
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  23. #23
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Who's going to win?

    They say Defense wins Championships which for the most part is true..



    As far as I'm concerned the only thing that matters are how many
    PPG the defense gives up........

    #1..Alabama 11.5 PPG


    #4..Georgia 13.2 PPG

    Alabama -6 over Clemson..


    Alabama -8.5 over Oklahoma..

    Alabama -7 over Georgia.....


    Bama #1 Defense = Championship winner

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