1. #1
    arie1985
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    WNBA LA Sparks @ Atlanta Dream In-Live Discussion / Betting

    No NBA until Thursday? (Friday for me)
    No worries, we got the WNBA tonight.

    Opening Lines:

    Over/Under: 163.5
    Spread: LA Sparks -6.5 Points


    Waiting as always for the end of one quarter or half time to see if there are any opportunities to grab.
    Game starts in approx. 15 minutes.

    Last attempt to "buy low sell high" has failed - here's a reminder:
    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...n-betting.html

    Good luck!

  2. #2
    jjgold
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    Hate the sport

    we are underway though

  3. #3
    arie1985
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    End of 1st-Q:

    ATL leads 20-18 (38 pts in total).

    Over/Under: 160.5 pts
    Spread: LA Sparks -4.5 pts

    No bet for me yet, waiting for half time.

  4. #4
    arie1985
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    Halftime:

    LA leads 32-29 (only 23 pts scored in the 2nd quarter).

    Over/Under: 142.5 pts
    Spread: LA Sparks -6.5 pts

    Got 15 minutes to make a decision here, help me out guys ... would you bet on the "over" here considering the original line is 163.5 and we got it for 21 pts less?

    I have a feeling it would either bounce back to the 150ish territory or we might get another slow 3rd Q and get a live line of 125.5ish and then it would be a good spot to hit the over....

    If anyone has an opinion or thought please shoot it out.

  5. #5
    arie1985
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    Quote Originally Posted by arie1985 View Post
    Halftime:

    LA leads 32-29 (only 23 pts scored in the 2nd quarter).

    Over/Under: 142.5 pts
    Line is now 144.5 in Pinnacle and 143.5 in Bet365, so just slight adjustment.

    My judgement: No bet until the end of 3rd.

  6. #6
    arie1985
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    Basically, if this needs to go from 61 pts in the 1st half to 145 pts (or more) in the 2nd half - we need to see a very intensive scoring in the 3rd quarter.

    So my plan of action is simple:

    • If they score 60 points or so in the 3rd we should go back to the 160ish line - then I will pick the "under" in such scenario as I will expect the 4th quarter to slow down.
    • If they score 20-30 points in the 3rd then I will pick the "over" as I would expect a better one in the 4th.
    • If they score around 40 points then I would probably leave this one out with no bets whatsoever.


    Good luck!

  7. #7
    arie1985
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    ATL leads 51-44 in the end of the 3rd (34 pts in the 3rd quarter).

    I have to say from following on this match it looks like the refs want Atlanta to win by a blowout against LA Sparks, they called most fouls only in favor of Atlanta so it does seem like the right line should have been LA Sparks +6.5 and ATL Dream -6.5

    The spread in the end of the 3rd was ATL -3 pts (and LA Sparks +3 pts) ... I was thinking of picking ATL -3 pts but then I rolled with the over/under that I initially planned:



    I think this should at least touch the 139-140 pts and we should have 40+ pts in this quarter, so let's see if I was right or not (if I had more balls I would have simply picked ATL -3 but it's so difficult to take such bets).

  8. #8
    arie1985
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    ATL leads 61-59 (120 pts so far) with 4:32 to go.

    Need 18 points to get this.
    TIME OUT now.

    The refs do call lots of fouls so I hope they can foul each other on the way to the 140ish or so.

  9. #9
    arie1985
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    75-73 (148 pts in total).

    My bet won this time.

  10. #10
    jjgold
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    Good call!

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