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  • Optional
    Moderator
    • 06-10-10
    • 64423

    #1
    Free Money
    Or so he says...


  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 39664

    #2
    Oops.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 67682

      #3
      I just caught wind of this.
      What did he lay, like 12:1?
      I've been saying this for years about laying heavy lumber,
      "If you have the twelve, why do you need the one?
      Makes no sense to me.
      Comment
      • slayer14
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-12-13
        • 22329

        #4
        Millions of dollars lost on Spain today
        Comment
        • Optional
          Moderator
          • 06-10-10
          • 64423

          #5
          Another punter bet $100 on all four games today to end in Draws @ 450/1 and collected $45k

          0.001% of the risk to win more than 50% of the upside.

          I like that strategy more myself
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 39664

            #6
            Will give one more comment on this:

            1) Won't take a stance on the EV going into the game. Different opinions on that.
            2) Note his framing of "Spain won't lose." Sure, but that wasn't the bet. It was a 3-way line.
            3) On Big Favs like this, I have found that the DRAW is way more likely than the DOG winning outright. IE, Dog winning might be remote. If the Fav drops points, it's much more likely to be the Draw coming in.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30108

              #7
              omg this is the most searing example of why Draw No Bet is so important

              Comment
              • slayer14
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-12-13
                • 22329

                #8
                Draw no bet , Spain odds would have been 1/100
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Moderator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 64423

                  #9
                  Originally posted by slayer14
                  Draw no bet , Spain odds would have been 1/100
                  And still would have "paid" almost 1 million dollars more than this bet did
                  Comment
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