Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Picks & Predictions

[SBR Andy]

Jake Paul squares off against former heavyweight champ Anthony Joshua Friday, December 19th on Netflix.

Let's breakdown the Paul vs Joshua betting odds:

Moneyline Odds:

Fighter	Odds to Win
Jake Paul	+700
Anthony Joshua	-1200

Method of Victory:

Fight Outcome	Odds
Anthony Joshua by KO/TKO/DQ	-400
Anthony Joshua by decision or technical decision	+450
Jake Paul by KO/TKO/DQ	+1200
Jake Paul by decision or technical decision	+1600
Draw	+2200

Total Rounds:

Over 2.5 Rounds	Under 2.5 Rounds
-140	+105

Round Betting:

Round for Fight to be Won	Paul to Win	Joshua to Win
1	+5000	+280
2	+5000	+350
3	+6500	+450
4	+6500	+700
5	+8000	+1100
6	+10000	+1800
7	+10000	+2800
8	+10000	+4000
Decision	+1600	+450
Draw	+1800	+1800

Knockdowns:

Total Knockdowns	Over	Under
1.5	-115	-115

	Jake Paul	Anthony Joshua
To be knocked down	Yes: -500 | No: +340	Yes: +550 | No: -1000
To be knocked down and win	+3000	+1000

Tale of the Tape:

Jake Paul		Anthony Joshua
28	Age	36
12-1	Record	28-4
6-foot-1	Height	6-foot-6
76 inches	Reach	82 inches
199.4 pounds	Last weigh-in	252.7 pounds

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Ethan Diamandas shares his Paul vs Joshua prediction:

Pick to win: Anthony Joshua to win fight (-1200)

"The physical advantages here border on absurd.

Joshua will enjoy a five-inch height edge, six inches of reach, and approximately 45 pounds at fight time despite the contractual 245-pound weigh-in limit. More importantly, he brings a championship pedigree and a devastating right hand that former Great Britain coach Richie Woodhall called the hardest he's ever felt on pads.

Paul has never faced anyone remotely close to this caliber. His resume includes a 58-year-old Mike Tyson and former UFC fighters with minimal boxing experience. Joshua's recent knockout of Francis Ngannou in two rounds demonstrated his ability to dismantle powerful athletes transitioning to boxing.

Expect Joshua to establish his jab early, walk Paul down behind a tight guard, and unload combinations once he closes distance. Paul's only path to victory involves landing a miracle shot before Joshua finds his range. That scenario seems highly unlikely given the vast experience gap. Joshua finishes this, very likely inside six rounds.

However, there's simply no value to be found in a -1200 betting line. We've broken down the full Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting odds and have come to our best bet below."


Best bet: Anthony Joshua to win by KO/TKO/DQ + Over 2.5 Rounds (+180)

"This is where the real value lives.

Paul's durability shouldn't be underestimated. He's never been stopped and possesses enough defensive awareness to survive the early rounds while Joshua finds his rhythm. The British champion typically starts cautiously before overwhelming opponents once he establishes control. Joshua's last three stoppages came in rounds 2, 5, and 7, showing he doesn't always rush for the early finish.

You can catch this +180 at bet365. Paul survives the initial onslaught but can't escape Joshua's power deep into the fight."

[Headsterx]

This social influencer is actually fighting a real professional boxer!?

[Headsterx]

WTF!? Undercard fight:

Cruiserweight: Anderson Silva (-225) vs. Tyron Woodley (+225)

These ex-MMA fighters must not get paid enough in MMA as they keep fighting in any combat sports they can.

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Gary Pearson shares his Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua best bet:

Over 2.5 rounds (-115)

"There are a few ways you can go here. In our Paul vs. Joshua betting odds, Esten McLaren recommends backing Joshua by decision or technical decision. DraftKings has the odds for that pick at +450, implying a 18.18% probability.

I'm going another route, one that carries a higher probability. I'm backing the fight to at least reach the third round. No matter how anyone slices it, this event is meant for a massive audience. Its principal purpose, aside from boosting Paul's ego, is to entertain.

I'd be surprised, even with the obvious disparity on display, to see the fight end in Round 1 or 2."

[SBR Andy]

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua betting data from BetMGM:

Most bet props for full card (tickets)
1. Jake Paul (USA) by KO/TKO or DQ +1200
2. Anthony Joshua (ENG) on points/Technical Decision +450
3. Jake Paul (USA) on points/Technical Decision +1200
4. Anthony Joshua (ENG) by Unanimous Decision +650
5. Jake Paul (USA) by Split Decision +2800

[Mac4Lyfe]

SBR's Ethan Diamandas shares his Paul vs Joshua prediction:

Pick to win: Anthony Joshua to win fight (-1200)

"The physical advantages here border on absurd.

Joshua will enjoy a five-inch height edge, six inches of reach, and approximately 45 pounds at fight time despite the contractual 245-pound weigh-in limit. More importantly, he brings a championship pedigree and a devastating right hand that former Great Britain coach Richie Woodhall called the hardest he's ever felt on pads.

Paul has never faced anyone remotely close to this caliber. His resume includes a 58-year-old Mike Tyson and former UFC fighters with minimal boxing experience. Joshua's recent knockout of Francis Ngannou in two rounds demonstrated his ability to dismantle powerful athletes transitioning to boxing.

Expect Joshua to establish his jab early, walk Paul down behind a tight guard, and unload combinations once he closes distance. Paul's only path to victory involves landing a miracle shot before Joshua finds his range. That scenario seems highly unlikely given the vast experience gap. Joshua finishes this, very likely inside six rounds.

However, there's simply no value to be found in a -1200 betting line. We've broken down the full Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting odds and have come to our best bet below."


Best bet: Anthony Joshua to win by KO/TKO/DQ + Over 2.5 Rounds (+180)

"This is where the real value lives.

Paul's durability shouldn't be underestimated. He's never been stopped and possesses enough defensive awareness to survive the early rounds while Joshua finds his rhythm. The British champion typically starts cautiously before overwhelming opponents once he establishes control. Joshua's last three stoppages came in rounds 2, 5, and 7, showing he doesn't always rush for the early finish.

You can catch this +180 at bet365. Paul survives the initial onslaught but can't escape Joshua's power deep into the fight."

This was spot on Ethan. Well done.