Michigan to win the NCAA Men's Basketball +1600

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  • 2Sweeet
    SBR MVP
    • 08-31-22
    • 1546

    #1
    Michigan to win the NCAA Men's Basketball +1600
    Get in now if u no. I just made a substantial wager on this. It will be +500 in a few weeks. Shhhh
  • 2Sweeet
    SBR MVP
    • 08-31-22
    • 1546

    #2
    See ya all in March
    Comment
    • blankoblanco
      SBR MVP
      • 11-18-11
      • 3478

      #3
      All you need to know to know that you shouldn't bet early futures is that books make easily their highest returns on futures. It's basically impossible to find a true edge this early in the season based on the odds they give. Once in a blue moon you look like a genius, every other time you're a sucker.

      Good luck though.
      Comment
      • 2Sweeet
        SBR MVP
        • 08-31-22
        • 1546

        #4
        I agree but I'm not trying to look like a Genius I think this has a way better than a 16/1 shot to cash in the end.. They pass my eye test. This team is stacked but anything can happen especially in hoops. Dusty got Florida Atlantic to the Final 4. He's a great coach.
        Comment
        • 2Sweeet
          SBR MVP
          • 08-31-22
          • 1546

          #5
          Originally posted by blankoblanco
          All you need to know to know that you shouldn't bet early futures is that books make easily their highest returns on futures. It's basically impossible to find a true edge this early in the season based on the odds they give. Once in a blue moon you look like a genius, every other time you're a sucker.

          Good luck though.
          The time has come
          Comment
          • Easy-Rider 66
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-14-12
            • 37305

            #6
            when I saw the title of the thread 2S I thought it was a JV fade thread. LOL. Good Luck. UCONN will be tough.
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82894

              #7
              You are good for now. Hedge if JV picks Michigan to win next round.
              Comment
              • Headsterx
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-03-16
                • 24977

                #8
                Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                when I saw the title of the thread 2S I thought it was a JV fade thread. LOL. Good Luck. UCONN will be tough.
                Yup, I was thinking here we go with his multiple picks to win it.
                Comment
                • johnnyvegas13
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 05-21-15
                  • 28038

                  #9
                  Hey now don’t b trash talking me behind my back in here fellas
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48902

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 2Sweeet

                    The time has come
                    Michigan looks great. They’re my favorite now but you just never know. Any given Sunday. A team could have a shooting slump while another teams has a player go goat. BOL.
                    Comment
                    • 2Sweeet
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-31-22
                      • 1546

                      #11
                      I won't hedge before the Final 4. Hopefully I get the chance. Click image for larger version

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                      Comment
                      • 2Sweeet
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-31-22
                        • 1546

                        #12
                        Good 1st Half. LFG Michigan.
                        Comment
                        • unde0087
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-27-08
                          • 29058

                          #13
                          Cash out now, they aren't beating Arizona. No one is.
                          Comment
                          • 2Sweeet
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-31-22
                            • 1546

                            #14
                            I am hedging to lock in a profit. I still need Michigan huge. This is a high 5 figure score if they do it.
                            Comment
                            • 2Sweeet
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-31-22
                              • 1546

                              #15
                              I may hit some brackets I'm in also if its Uconn vs Mich Final. I'm gonna be sweating it all out come Saturday.
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82894

                                #16
                                2Sweet, if Mich and UConn make the final would you hedge with JV instead of the book?
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 67094

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2Sweeet
                                  I am hedging to lock in a profit. I still need Michigan huge. This is a high 5 figure score if they do it.
                                  Sharp.

                                  As a rule, I don't like to hedge, but when you're looking at a 60 dime payout, hedging is the sharp, business play.
                                  The tricky part is figuring out what percentage you want to lay.

                                  Great call by the way, dude.
                                  Comment
                                  • 2Sweeet
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-31-22
                                    • 1546

                                    #18
                                    Thanks Nasher. I'm still figuring out how I want to do this.
                                    Comment
                                    • 2Sweeet
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-31-22
                                      • 1546

                                      #19
                                      If JV wanted to and we put the money up front yes I would. Tomorrow is game I'm worried about the most.
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 67094

                                        #20
                                        I don't have skin in that game, so I'm rooting you home.
                                        I'm worried about Illinois myself.
                                        Comment
                                        • unde0087
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-27-08
                                          • 29058

                                          #21
                                          Good luck today, I would root you in like Nasher but I am large on Arizona again . I just think they are on another level than everyone else. Imo whoever wins that game will win the championship. Those two teams will be a heavy favorite to whoever wins the other game.
                                          Comment
                                          • unde0087
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-27-08
                                            • 29058

                                            #22
                                            It was a great position for you for Michigan to face Arizona though getting even money on the ml for a hedge
                                            Comment
                                            • 2Sweeet
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-31-22
                                              • 1546

                                              #23
                                              I didn't do that my Hedge is Arizona to win it all at +185. hopefully this doesn't blow up in my face. I may end up losing 5 figures lol. I should of played it safe. I didn't
                                              Comment
                                              • 2Sweeet
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-31-22
                                                • 1546

                                                #24
                                                I may put another 5k on Arizona I'm debating. I really don't want to lose anything. I don't usually do futures had one on Brewers last year that I didn't hedge and we no how that ended.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2Sweeet
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-31-22
                                                  • 1546

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by unde0087
                                                  Good luck today, I would root you in like Nasher but I am large on Arizona again . I just think they are on another level than everyone else. Imo whoever wins that game will win the championship. Those two teams will be a heavy favorite to whoever wins the other game.
                                                  Good Luck and no worries you have to root for what you need. The way I'm panicking here I may need Arizona also before the game starts LOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2Sweeet
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-31-22
                                                    • 1546

                                                    #26
                                                    I am putting 5k on Arizona ml for tonight also. My Luck Mich loses in Final but I'll hedge again if they make it. I thought this be less stressful.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2Sweeet
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-31-22
                                                      • 1546

                                                      #27
                                                      When Ill wins the whole thing plz check on me if u don't see me for awhile. We know UConn isn't LOL. Fcking JV
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2Sweeet
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-31-22
                                                        • 1546

                                                        #28
                                                        Good Luck everyone tonight. Take care and be safe.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 67094

                                                          #29
                                                          WOW
                                                          'Zona getting boatraced.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • unde0087
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-27-08
                                                            • 29058

                                                            #30
                                                            Looks like this is going to be a massive win for you sweeter
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2Sweeet
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-31-22
                                                              • 1546

                                                              #31
                                                              I hedged lol. Now I have to hedge again. LOL, but its a problem I don't mind. I def didn't see that coming. One more to go. Spread is Mich -7.5 O'U 144.5. If I'm Hurley I'm mucking this game up starting now. UConn needs to take the air out of the ball. No shots until 10 secs or less left on shot clock. Only chance they have.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2Sweeet
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-31-22
                                                                • 1546

                                                                #32
                                                                If Michigan wins, I will sweep all of my polls. I have already won two smaller local polls regardless of the outcome, but the big one is currently down to me and one other person. He has UConn and I have Michigan.

                                                                I’m currently ranked 35,000 on ESPN with a 99.5 percentile rating—I’m not even sure how I’m winning, but after 30 years of doing this and only coming in second a few times, I’ve finally made this tournament my bitch! I thought I was in trouble when UConn was picked by JV, as not many people in my polls even had them making the Elite 8.

                                                                Thanks everyone
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2Sweeet
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-31-22
                                                                  • 1546

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I win Jeff Nadu's poll also he had on X if Michigan wins. I totally forgot I even filled that one out it was free.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Optional
                                                                    Administrator
                                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                                    • 63641

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 2Sweeet
                                                                    I win Jeff Nadu's poll also he had on X if Michigan wins. I totally forgot I even filled that one out it was free.
                                                                    .
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2Sweeet
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-31-22
                                                                      • 1546

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Did it.. I didn't hedge yesterday like a moron and would of hit Uconn +7 LOL. I'm still very happy. Baseball time now fellas.
                                                                      Comment
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