I'm just a retired old man, very interested in the Mathematics of sports betting.
About 10 days ago, I completed a Formula for baseball totals.
Exactly 1 week ago I began playing the selections from the Mathematical Formula for a small amount. The results have been excellent at (21-12), this is against a (-110) line. During the past several days I've completed some extensive back testing for the season long data.
Here are those results up to today.
(252-193) (+39.70 units)
(56.63%) Winners
(-110) betting line
One unit each
This comes out roughly to around 150 Plays per month.
I believe I've followed the correct steps in putting this altogether.
1. Built the Formula for Totals. It's 50% offensive performance and 50% pitching performance. The majority of the Formula is based on recent performance (21 days), roughly 80% of the Formula is over the last 3 weeks data, with 20% being season long data.
2. I backtested for the season long results, I mentioned this above. With good results I've moved on.
3. Running a live demo for small wagers for the past 7 days. Those results are (21-12).
What id like to do here is jinx the crap out of it. Im in this demo testing phase until the All Star break. I need it to fail right here, if its going to fail. So for 15 more days, ill run the demo and monitor results very closely. Im using small wagers to get the actual feel of real wagering.
Today happened to be a large volume day.
Here are the Plays to monitor. Lines are from a few hours ago, so they may have changed.
Yankees Under 9
Detroit Over 8.5
Texas Over 8
Arizona Over 8.5
Milwaukee Over 9
Reds Under 9.5
Pittsburgh Under 9
Baltimore Over 9.5
Houston Over 8.5
Angels Over 9
That's a large volume of plays today. It's averaging roughly 5. The demo has produced 43 plays over the first 8 days and that counts today.
Let's see what happens.
Mr. Math
About 10 days ago, I completed a Formula for baseball totals.
Exactly 1 week ago I began playing the selections from the Mathematical Formula for a small amount. The results have been excellent at (21-12), this is against a (-110) line. During the past several days I've completed some extensive back testing for the season long data.
Here are those results up to today.
(252-193) (+39.70 units)
(56.63%) Winners
(-110) betting line
One unit each
This comes out roughly to around 150 Plays per month.
I believe I've followed the correct steps in putting this altogether.
1. Built the Formula for Totals. It's 50% offensive performance and 50% pitching performance. The majority of the Formula is based on recent performance (21 days), roughly 80% of the Formula is over the last 3 weeks data, with 20% being season long data.
2. I backtested for the season long results, I mentioned this above. With good results I've moved on.
3. Running a live demo for small wagers for the past 7 days. Those results are (21-12).
What id like to do here is jinx the crap out of it. Im in this demo testing phase until the All Star break. I need it to fail right here, if its going to fail. So for 15 more days, ill run the demo and monitor results very closely. Im using small wagers to get the actual feel of real wagering.
Today happened to be a large volume day.
Here are the Plays to monitor. Lines are from a few hours ago, so they may have changed.
Yankees Under 9
Detroit Over 8.5
Texas Over 8
Arizona Over 8.5
Milwaukee Over 9
Reds Under 9.5
Pittsburgh Under 9
Baltimore Over 9.5
Houston Over 8.5
Angels Over 9
That's a large volume of plays today. It's averaging roughly 5. The demo has produced 43 plays over the first 8 days and that counts today.
Let's see what happens.
Mr. Math
