As of 5/12, 40 games in (1/4 season played), this is what the playoff picture would look like if the postseason started today.
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Twelve teams have a better than 50% chance of reaching the postseason (Arizona currently has a 48 percent chance), and five of those twelve teams have a ten percent chance of winning the World Series.
Current Average Tm D W L W L Post Win WS NL East 1 New York Mets E 26 15 96.1 65.9 93.60% 12.20% 2 Philadelphia Phillies E 24 16 88.4 73.6 51.30% 3.30% NL Central 1 Chicago Cubs C 23 18 95.1 66.9 90.70% 13.30% NL West 1 San Diego Padres W 25 14 96.6 65.4 93.10% 10.70% 2 Los Angeles Dodgers W 27 14 95.4 66.6 90.90% 8.40% 3 San Francisco Giants W 24 17 89.2 72.8 59.50% 3.60% AL East 1 New York Yankees E 23 17 92.8 69.2 95.60% 11.70% AL Central 1 Detroit Tigers C 26 15 97.3 64.7 99.80% 14.00% 2 Kansas City Royals C 24 18 86.4 75.6 72.90% 3.30% 3 Cleveland Guardians C 23 17 83.1 78.9 50.90% 1.20% AL West 1 Houston Astros W 20 19 89 73 85.10% 5.70% 2 Seattle Mariners W 22 17 88.6 73.4 86.10% 4.30% Comment