Mathematical Formula for Totals

**Math** · 03-05-25, 08:00 AM

Grading Tuesday night March 4

Overall (13-7) (+5.30 units) (+$530)

CBB (11-4)
NBA (2-3)

Strongest CBB (Vermont Over 133) Win
Strongest NBA (Minnesota Over 219.5) Win

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-05-25, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by Math

Grading Tuesday night March 4

Overall (13-7) (+5.30 units) (+$530)

CBB (11-4)
NBA (2-3)

Strongest CBB (Vermont Over 133) Win
Strongest NBA (Minnesota Over 219.5) Win

Mr. Math

Can't beat that. GL...and thx for posting!

**Optional** · 03-05-25, 12:02 PM

Good looking day one.

Hope to see it pan out over time for you if you keep this thread updated for us.

**Math** · 03-05-25, 12:45 PM

The Plus Plays went (11-15) (+0.45 units).

Didn't lose money but wasn't exactly what I wanted. I might bring them back for baseball.

I'm working with something now for the college basketball tournaments as well as the remainder of the NBA season. It's high volume, so I'd love to hit 55%.

I'll get Wednesdays selections up this afternoon. I'm retired and travel often, I'll drop in every now and then.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-05-25, 02:29 PM

In the past I've ran a version of this Mathematical Formula for Totals and it hit at a rate of (54.80%) Winners over a large number of plays. Before you scoff, that's actually quite good, considering the volume it produced.

I revised the Formula by reducing the season long statistics to a mere 15% of the Formula. Year long numbers count, just not that much. I wanted this Formula to be as current as possible.

Can I set a better Mathematical Total than the books. Absolutely NOT. However it's my belief that the books do not always put out the best Mathematical Total. They often put out what I call a Percieved Total. A number to draw more even action on both sides. Not always but often.

There in lies the EDGE.

I'll get today's card out between (3-4) pm cst. You can check back if interested.

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-05-25, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by Math

In the past I've ran a version of this Mathematical Formula for Totals and it hit at a rate of (54.80%) Winners over a large number of plays. Before you scoff, that's actually quite good, considering the volume it produced.

I revised the Formula by reducing the season long statistics to a mere 15% of the Formula. Year long numbers count, just not that much. I wanted this Formula to be as current as possible.

Can I set a better Mathematical Total than the books. Absolutely NOT. However it's my belief that the books do not always put out the best Mathematical Total. They often put out what I call a Percieved Total. A number to draw more even action on both sides. Not always but often.

There in lies the EDGE.

I'll get today's card out between (3-4) pm cst. You can check back if interested.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-05-25, 04:40 PM

Here we go for Wednesday March 5

Cleveland Over 221.5 (233.34)
Washington Under 230 (222.34)
Denver Under 235 (227.88)

Long Island Over 130 (138.35)
St. FRANCIS Over 123 (134.06)
Fordham Under 146.5 (140.29)
UCF Under 165.5 (153.65)
Alabama Under 179 (165.76)
Butler Under 154 (147.16)
St. Joe's Under 154 (148.58)
Oklahoma Over 160.5 (168.10)
Loyola Chi Over 138.5 (143.84)
Mississippi Over 139.5 (149.58)
Louisville Under 153.5 (148.20)
UT Martin Over 139.5 (145.46)
Morehead St Over 132.5 (142.46)

Should be 16 Plays

Grade all to win one unit ($100) at (-110) odds

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-06-25, 07:13 AM

Wednesday night results

Overall (8-8) (-0.80 units) (-$80)

CBB (7-6)

NBA (1-2)

2 day results

Overall (21-15) (+4.50 units) (+$450) (58.33%) Winners

CBB (18-10)
NBA (3-5)

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-06-25, 09:19 AM

May let fate decide whether to do these tonight.

One day game Thursday

Illinois St Over 131.5 (141.98)

If it wins, I'll continue on. If it loses, I'll keep the small profits and move on. College basketball is almost over and it's quite a bit of work.

Let fate decide the direction for tonight.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-06-25, 06:44 PM

Decided to finish out the day since I did the work.

Up to date

Math Totals (21-16)

Thursday night March 6

UAB U 160.5
ECU O 144.5
ST Peters O 127
Manhattan U 155
Quinnipiac U 149
WKY U 146
Iowa U 154.5
No. TEX O 125
CAL POLY U 165
UCSD O 136
Murray St O 129.5
UIC U 149.5
Tex St O 140.5
UALR O 131.5
Omaha O 138.5
Milwaukee O 148
Clev St O 140.5
Ark PB U 153.5
Del St O 148
MVSU O 127.5
Boston O 129.5
American O 129.5

Orlando O 221
Boston O 218.5
Atlanta U 244.5
Lakers U 231

Grade to win one unit ($100) at (-110) odds

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-07-25, 01:32 AM

Thursday night (14-11) with a Push

Overall
Math Totals
(35-27) (+5.30 units) (+$530)
(56.45%) Winners
To win one unit on each ($100) at (-110) odds

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-07-25, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by Math

Thursday night (14-11) with a Push

Overall
Math Totals
(35-27) (+5.30 units) (+$530)
(56.45%) Winners
To win one unit on each ($100) at (-110) odds

Mr. Math

Math, you're doing a great job. It's hard to win. And it's REALLY hard to win on Volume.

**Math** · 03-07-25, 09:55 AM

I've ran a version of this Formula in the past, it usually hits around 54.80%, just under 55%.

I made this version to be the most current as I could possibly get it. It's my hope to maintain 55% Winners on this extreme volume.

I'll definitely run I today. I usually like to see a minimum 200 Plays. With 200 Plays, u won't know if it's going to be a longterm success but u may know if it's a pile of crap.

I'll get the day games up soon. All small ($110 to win $100) wagers.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-07-25, 10:06 AM

Math Totals (35-27)

Day games for Friday March 7

High Point Under 155.5
Drake Over 127.5
Radford Over 131.5
Belmont Under 155.5
Miami Ohio Under 150.5

Grade all to win one unit ($100) at (-110) odds

I'll list the night games this afternoon, I never rush to do anything. Check back if interested.

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-07-25, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by Math

I've ran a version of this Formula in the past, it usually hits around 54.80%, just under 55%.

I made this version to be the most current as I could possibly get it. It's my hope to maintain 55% Winners on this extreme volume.

I'll definitely run I today. I usually like to see a minimum 200 Plays. With 200 Plays, u won't know if it's going to be a longterm success but u may know if it's a pile of crap.

I'll get the day games up soon. All small ($110 to win $100) wagers.

Mr. Math

Math, I hear you. My recommendation: *If it's running good, go to at least 400 plays.

...When you do the Variance calculation, Var on 400 plays is solid. If you get to 220-180 or better, you're very likely to be +EV. Hard to get lucky on a sample size of 400+.

**Math** · 03-07-25, 12:29 PM

Agree but we don't have alot left in college basketball. My attention is turning to baseball soon.

I'll play the Math Totals as long as they are profitable, probably not a day longer.

Back later this afternoon

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-07-25, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by Math

Agree but we don't have alot left in college basketball. My attention is turning to baseball soon.

I'll play the Math Totals as long as they are profitable, probably not a day longer.

Back later this afternoon

Mr. Math

Good Luck on the MLB. I envision you being a Sparky Anderson-type of guy.

**Math** · 03-07-25, 02:01 PM

I am a baseball nerd (historian). I remember George (Sparky) Anderson very well.

We have a ton of cbb games left, let's see how this Formula does. Great time of year.

I've got 5 day games pending, going to play and post the night stuff (3-4) pm cst. Check it out.

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-07-25, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by Math

I am a baseball nerd (historian). I remember George (Sparky) Anderson very well.

We have a ton of cbb games left, let's see how this Formula does. Great time of year.

I've got 5 day games pending, going to play and post the night stuff (3-4) pm cst. Check it out.

Mr. Math

Thx for the posts. I loved Sparky. There are some classic clips of Sparky during the World Series appearances.

**Math** · 03-07-25, 02:32 PM

Saw the Big Red Machine several times as a youngster. I remember exactly where I was at when Gene Garber put the final nail in Pete Roses 44 game hit streak. There is nothing like a hit streak. We haven't seen one in a long time of any length.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-07-25, 03:30 PM

Ok here is everything for Friday March 7

Math Totals (35-27)

Friday March 7

High Point Under 155.5
Drake Over 127.5
Radford Over 131.5
Belmont Under 155.5
Miami Ohio Under 150.5
Akron Under 160.5
Kent St Over 146
New Mexico Under 148
Bradley Over 132.5
VMI Over 139
App St Over 126.5
SEMO Over 136
Winthrop Under 159.5

Charlotte Under 235.5
Miami Over 215.5
OKC Over 228.5
Clippers Over 217

Should be 17 Plays on Friday

Grade all to win one unit ($100) at (-110) odds

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-07-25, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by Math

Saw the Big Red Machine several times as a youngster. I remember exactly where I was at when Gene Garber put the final nail in Pete Roses 44 game hit streak. There is nothing like a hit streak. We haven't seen one in a long time of any length.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-07-25, 03:46 PM

I also remember Sparky managing the 1984 Detroit Tigers, they started the season (35-5) and went on to win the World Series that year.

Mr. Math

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-07-25, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by Math

I also remember Sparky managing the 1984 Detroit Tigers, they started the season (35-5) and went on to win the World Series that year.

Mr. Math

Yes. I have met Howard Johnson (from that Tiger team). Quoted him that exact 35-5 stat.

**Math** · 03-07-25, 08:14 PM

Well Chucky I'm not looking forward to tomorrow. Looks like over 100 basketball games. If it's still profitable, I'll have to play them again.

Math Totals

Tuesday (13-7)
Wednesday (8-8)
Thursday (14-12)

Today (4-1) with 12 still pending tonight.

Mr. Math

**Math** · 03-08-25, 06:27 AM

Yesterday wound up (7-8) with 2 pushes

Math Totals
(42-35) (+3.50 units) (+$350)
To win one unit on each ($100) at (-110) odds
54.54% Winners

I'm going no further with these. Stopping with a small profit.

I'll return at some point.

Good luck on your wagers

Mr. Math