Never seen lines this sharp

[veriableodds]

Scrolling the CBB card today never seen such sharp lines with all these games being played. I don't think too much opportunity exists. Hell, they even got NHL, and NBA correct. Will probably get clunked on the noggin with a hammer. BEWARE PROCEED with CATION

[nickfolker23]

You can always sit out and bet under in the Superbowl for 100k

But that's no fun, is it

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Scrolling the CBB card today never seen such sharp lines with all these games being played. I don't think too much opportunity exists. Hell, they even got NHL, and NBA correct. Will probably get clunked on the noggin with a hammer. BEWARE PROCEED with CATION

Veri, thanks for the note. I sometimes think about getting back into it.

But it ties out to your comment. How sharp are these numbers?

Heard reports that the Oddsmakers got into producing Openers via algorithm sometime around a decade ago. Removed a lot of the opinion, eliminated a lot of Oddsmaker error.

When I've generated numbers in recent years, I found it hard to identify a lot of value. And when I found a game with a high Delta, invariably I was missing Injury info or some other key data element.

Very tough, much tougher than people realize. Go back to Square One and try to figure out what is IN THE LINE and what is NOT IN THE LINE. There's not much that they miss.

Items worth investigating:
1) Travel edges - I still don't think the oddsmaker is good on Extreme travel situations or Accumulated Air-miles.
2) Individual Player removal - Not sure that it's 100% efficient. Too much reliance on traditional stats.
3) Team with Distractions - This is an old Dave Cokin principle. Think about legal troubles or something that causes the team to be thinking about something else other than the game.

[darrell74]

Skip today.
Their will always be games

[Headsterx]

Skip today.
Their will always be games

So true, but if you see games you like then go for it. I’m going full tilt for college hoops today!

[darrell74]

So true, but if you see games you like then go for it. I’m going full tilt for college hoops today!

Alright, if you see it take it.

One of the best feelings you can have is heading to that far right register at Red Rock and laying out your players card, and i.
D. and telling them, "I would like to withdraw."

[veriableodds]

You can always sit out and bet under in the Superbowl for 100k

But that's no fun, is it

Actually, quite the opposite. Love getting a huge return on investment with least effort as possible.

[veriableodds]

Veri, thanks for the note. I sometimes think about getting back into it.

But it ties out to your comment. How sharp are these numbers?

Heard reports that the Oddsmakers got into producing Openers via algorithm sometime around a decade ago. Removed a lot of the opinion, eliminated a lot of Oddsmaker error.

When I've generated numbers in recent years, I found it hard to identify a lot of value. And when I found a game with a high Delta, invariably I was missing Injury info or some other key data element.

Very tough, much tougher than people realize. Go back to Square One and try to figure out what is IN THE LINE and what is NOT IN THE LINE. There's not much that they miss.

Items worth investigating:
1) Travel edges - I still don't think the oddsmaker is good on Extreme travel situations or Accumulated Air-miles.
2) Individual Player removal - Not sure that it's 100% efficient. Too much reliance on traditional stats.
3) Team with Distractions - This is an old Dave Cokin principle. Think about legal troubles or something that causes the team to be thinking about something else other than the game.

SALUD, Chuck
as always, you're on top of this stuff. Great effort and persistence homework

[mjsuax13]

I can’t win much at all lately.

[veriableodds]

You can always sit out and bet under in the Superbowl for 100k

But that's no fun, is it

Actually, not sure about the UN? Is this some kind of trend, like all of a sudden, the DEFENCE is going to show up? Just adding the points allowed by both teams comes to 38. 4 players for PHI are questionable, and I see wr- Mecole for kc is out.

[Thefix13]

Actually, not sure about the UN? Is this some kind of trend, like all of a sudden, the DEFENCE is going to show up? Just adding the points allowed by both teams comes to 38. 4 players for PHI are questionable, and I see wr- Mecole for kc is out.

Mecole would have zero impact on that game