Anyone laying the twenty points tomorrow to the Cleveland Browns?

**darrell74** · 01-04-25, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

probably a wise decision. I mean how can you possibly handicap this one?

Could be 27-0 Ravens with 10 seconds left when Cleveland scores a TD and they decide to go for 2.

This

**darrell74** · 01-04-25, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

For some of us, including me, that’s already been established 10 years ago. 🤣

My brother

**gauchojake** · 01-04-25, 03:18 PM

Correlated parlays here boys

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-04-25, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by gauchojake

Correlated parlays here boys

Jake, are you saying:

*Side/Total?
...IE: Browns/Under? Or: BALT/Over?
...When a team total is this low, the Fav carries most of the Expected Points.

*SAT games with SUN games?
...Bill Krack seems to think that the Bengal result ties closely to some SUN games like Raid/Chargers.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-04-25, 03:23 PM

Same with Steelers and how they fall on the seeds.

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 04:14 PM

The City of Cleveland has issued a mandatory bag mandate… anyone in public view must wear a bag over their head until next NFL season.

**EdV38** · 01-04-25, 04:24 PM

If the Ravens are up by more than 2 scores in the 2H, they are benching their starters. Houston game aside, the Ravens defense isn't great and last I checked Jeudy is still playing.

+20.5/19.5
Browns TT over 10.5
Zappe 175+ yards, up to 250+ (plus live betting if it gets below 150 barring injury)
Jeudy 60+ rec yards, all the way up to 125+

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by EdV38

If the Ravens are up by more than 2 scores in the 2H, they are benching their starters. Houston game aside, the Ravens defense isn't great and last I checked Jeudy is still playing.

+20.5/19.5
Browns TT over 10.5
Zappe 175+ yards, up to 250+ (plus live betting if it gets below 150 barring injury)
Jeudy 60+ rec yards, all the way up to 125+

If that happens, then I’m screwed but I think the hatred towards the Browns and Harbaugh relentless pushing the ball will hit and maintain more than 20 pts lead.

**stevenash** · 01-04-25, 04:39 PM

I actually put some thought into this prop wager.
Lamar Jackson UNDER 43.5 rushing yards.

a) There is no way Harbaugh is running any QB draws this afternoon for Jackson, God forbid if the franchise should break a leg on some weird tackle, Harbaugh would be strung from his heels over the Chesapeake Bay.
I seriously doubt Harbaugh calls any play that'll harm Jackson.

b) I seriously doubt Jackson will see any relevant 2H playing time, if any.

I can't believe I actually found a wagering angle in the dog crap of a game.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-04-25, 04:53 PM

This does remind me of an old-school NFL game:

*Ask someone of a certain age. Before a game like this you could poll ten guys in the sportsbook. Consensus would be "I love the Ravens".
...The number didn't matter. They were betting the Ravens on current form.
...Nine of ten opinions would be Ravens. Maybe one contrarian on the dog.

*Somewhere around the year 2000, database bettors picked up on this.
...They saw the Dog bias. The favorite lines were too fat.
...Dog bettors could thrive for a while.

*In more recent years, the spreads just aren't as big.
...Oddsmaker doesn't want to feed the Dog bettor.
...Shorter and shorter lines. More balance on value between Fav and Dog.

*In 2024 I do feel like the bottom ten teams are incredibly bad.
...The game-checks in NFL are now plenty.
...It's more money than most of these guys have ever seen. So, they're content.
...I do think the hungry athlete is going away. They're not as hungry anymore.

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 04:54 PM

Beautiful throw by Zappe… unfortunately it was a Pick 6! 🤣

**veriableodds** · 01-04-25, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Beautiful throw by Zappe… unfortunately it was a Pick 6! 🤣

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 05:28 PM

Not only did Ravens, unsurprisingly, scored another TD but my NFL score TD pick did it… Mark Andrews! Keep soaring Ravens!

**swordsandtequila** · 01-04-25, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer

Baltimore only needs to win, regardless of margin and they may not even need to do that if Pittsburgh (a 2.5 point dog to a hot Cincinnati team) loses or ties; they'll probably be aware of the Cin/Pit score and might act accordingly. Given that, why is the line so high? Does someone know something about an utter lack of motivation on the Browns' side? The +20 looks way too good to be true.

That would be 0-0. Balt/Browns game will be over before Cincy/Pitt kicks off.

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 07:33 PM

Henry for MVP!

**mikmik** · 01-04-25, 07:33 PM

Smh there was the back door

**DJK** · 01-04-25, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by EdV38

If the Ravens are up by more than 2 scores in the 2H, they are benching their starters. Houston game aside, the Ravens defense isn't great and last I checked Jeudy is still playing.

+20.5/19.5
Browns TT over 10.5
Zappe 175+ yards, up to 250+ (plus live betting if it gets below 150 barring injury)
Jeudy 60+ rec yards, all the way up to 125+

Wrong on every count.

That's pretty hard to do.

Wonder how much I would have made if I faded all these on a parlay?

**DJK** · 01-04-25, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by EdV38

If the Ravens are up by more than 2 scores in the 2H, they are benching their starters. Houston game aside, the Ravens defense isn't great and last I checked Jeudy is still playing.

+20.5/19.5
Browns TT over 10.5
Zappe 175+ yards, up to 250+ (plus live betting if it gets below 150 barring injury)
Jeudy 60+ rec yards, all the way up to 125+

Ok, Jeudy just went over 60, so if there was a prop for that then at least that won.

Soooo close on Browns TT over 10.5.

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 07:37 PM

And Zappe throws another beautiful INT. 🤣

**DJK** · 01-04-25, 07:39 PM

Obviously, the books knew something that we didn't to hang 20 and Baltimore covers it.

It's hard to believe that the public actually bet more on Baltimore than Cleveland even with that high of spread.

**DJK** · 01-04-25, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

And Zappe throws another beautiful INT. 藍

Did you bet Baltimore on the spread?

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by DJK

Did you bet Baltimore on the spread?

Oh yeah! I think trytrytry and me were the only degens, unless he was joking around.
Strictly basing on how bad Browns were and Harbaugh is that type of coach to keep pushing it. Not complete “pedal to the metal” but doesn’t mind getting little dirty and take risks. And that they needed the win.

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by dollarbill

Cleveland sweeps

🤣🤣🤣

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-04-25, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Opinion = Browns +20
...CLE QB play has been miserable this season. Can't see Zappe being a downgrade.
...Compare to pre-season expectations. How is this # possible?
...Divisional Dog angle. Cowher has talked about the NFC North teams having a scouting report for Lamar. They've seen him, less surprised by his unique skills.
...CLE was supposed to have a good defense. Don't think Garrett & Co want to get embarrassed.
...BAL wants to win. But they don't need to win by margin. Build a lead and clear the bench.

Glad I didn't bet this filth. Money saved = Money earned.

**DrunkHorseplayer** · 01-04-25, 07:52 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

That would be 0-0. Balt/Browns game will be over before Cincy/Pitt kicks off.

Yeah, I realized that after I posted it; I assumed that all games were on Sunday and that the two games would be played at the same time. Very curious as to why the NFL didn't do that.

**DJK** · 01-04-25, 07:52 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Oh yeah! I think trytrytry and me were the only degens, unless he was joking around.
Strictly basing on how bad Browns were and Harbaugh is that type of coach to keep pushing it. Not complete “pedal to the metal” but doesn’t mind getting little dirty and take risks. And that they needed the win.

Very nice win!

**gauchojake** · 01-04-25, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Jake, are you saying:

*Side/Total?
...IE: Browns/Under? Or: BALT/Over?
...When a team total is this low, the Fav carries most of the Expected Points.

*SAT games with SUN games?
...Bill Krack seems to think that the Bengal result ties closely to some SUN games like Raid/Chargers.

I lost but it was browns and under. Should have give the exact opposite

**Headsterx** · 01-04-25, 07:59 PM

Anybody like the u48.5 for Bengals/Steelers?

**stevenash** · 01-04-25, 09:16 PM

Talk about your epic fails.

The next time I open my pie hole and exclaim I think I found an angle on how to bet that dopey game, do me a favor and just bitch slap me with a rolled-up newspaper in the back of the head, like a bad puppy dog.

TYIA

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-04-25, 09:25 PM

Originally posted by gauchojake

I lost but it was browns and under. Should have give the exact opposite

Lost but it made sense going in. Some late-game shenanigans. Could have ended 28-10.

**gauchojake** · 01-04-25, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Lost but it made sense going in. Some late-game shenanigans. Could have ended 28-10.

I didn't see the end I just saw the score and was like wtf. I was putting new rotors and brake pads on my car since I have never done that before, I figured 2025 was the year to do it. Hopefully I didn't fukk it up lol

**lakerboy** · 01-04-25, 11:17 PM

Hilarious. People were backing Cleveland. Why was anyone even looking or betting or watching this trash game? Mind boggling stupidity.

Sorry but that's what it was.

**DrunkHorseplayer** · 01-05-25, 02:02 AM

Oh so easy to say now. Cleveland came awful close to covering and one could argue that the +20 was the right side, wrong result.