Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
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Wait, John you think they are making the playoffs? I wouldn't be surprised one bit if they lose outright tomorrow night to Big Mike and the Cowboys.Comment -
Possible but I doubt itOriginally posted by Spite
cowboys should start Trey lance btwComment -
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Laugh now …Comment -
You double down on this at +30000 ?Originally posted by johnnyvegas13Comment -
I should but no just letting the original rideOriginally posted by asiagamblerComment -
AFC Odds Entering Week 14
Miami's OT win over the Jets earlier may have been the death blow.
Bengals need to run the table just to finish 9-8, and the way things stack up now it's going to take 10 wins to make the AFC playoffs, minimum.
Colts play Denver next week, after that they close the regular season with the 3-10 Titans, the 2-11 Giants, and the 3-10 Jags. That SoS is softer than Granma Plopwell's frozen yogurt.
8-31 combined record (21% win pct), and you just know all three of those bottom feeders will be tanking down the stretch.
You're doomed Johnny.
Team Make Playoffs Miss Playoffs Buff N/A N/A KC N/A N/A Pitt -10000 1800 Hou -10000 1800 Balt -6000 1500 LAC -1800 900 Den -250 200 Indy 210 -270 Mia 425 -600 Cincy 1300 -3000 Tenn 5000 N/A NYJ 15000 N/A Clev 20000 N/A Comment -
Why not ?Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
How often do you get a chance to hit a +30000 !!Comment -
Broncos beat colts this week then lose out
fins lose to Texans Sunday
not that crazyComment -
That’s basically it besides of course the bengals winning outComment -
The only hitch in the whole thing is chiefs need to lose one and bills win out to keep pressure for the one seed so that chiefs don’t rest week 18 vs broncos
ok maybe this is a little crazy …Comment -
Is anyone w me still ???
need Texans and broncos to both win as favs tmrComment -
Still marginally with you JVOriginally posted by johnnyvegas13
Got CIN ML in that 8 teamer & Colts +10.5 so no issues with DEN winning by less than 11. That Ravens ML (beyond risky at that price) covers the parlay amount
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Getting what I need so far to keep the miracle aliveComment -
Rooting for ya JV. Parlay lost cuz I was dumb enough to ruin it with a total but at least won 10.5k on CIN /NYJ live down 7-0 eachOriginally posted by johnnyvegas13
Will be hammering CIN the next few games at least until wk 18 @PIT
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Bengals mathematician odds r 2% of making the playoffs
I think the true odds r much higher thoComment -
They should be in the 10%-15% range if CIN gets to 9-8. Your only realistic hope is DEN losing out to finish 9-8 with CIN winning the playoff TB with a win against them. LAC just need to win 1 more game to overtake CIN so that's why it's imperative they beat DEN on TNF. Then CIN beats them next wk & you better pray KC has something to play for in wk 18.Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
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Ya that’s what I been saying all along DougComment -
Rooting for ya JVOriginally posted by johnnyvegas13
If LAC beat DEN on TNF, I'm going at least 10K on CIN vs CLE
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dude t hey have no de fnse and t hey strte d out 0-3 no tem ever string out 0-5 ever won or got to a sb
ravens also dead meat 0-2 start panters 0-2 strt n then 1 8 first 9 hames
well sory you losing $200Comment -
Bill ur post reminds of guys telling me bucs had no chance years ago cus no team had ever won on home field
trends r meant to b broken…Comment -
was there a new language invented that only you know about?Originally posted by OldBillComment -
Bill himself used that trend despite the fact that there was already an outlier... another trend he used (that escapes me atm) also had been bucked. For some reason that only Old Bill knows, those don't count. I guess they have to confirm his bias in order to count.Originally posted by johnnyvegas13Comment -
Knew I should've taken a shot at 30-1 Yes Playoffs before the DAL game. The fact they're down to 7-1 should tell you their Playoffs implied probability is around 15% instead of the 3% they're talking about.Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
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Only other good bet at + money is Den NO since LAC last 2 games are too EZ to miss the playoffs needing just 1 winOriginally posted by Doug tushyterrorKnew I should've taken a shot at 30-1 Yes Playoffs before the DAL game. The fact they're down to 7-1 should tell you their Playoffs implied probability is around 15% instead of the 3% they're talking about.
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Bengals have a six percent chance to make the playoffs.Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
(Implied odds +1550)
Colts would be a better bet, and I don't endorse either side.
Colts have a seven percent to make the playoffs (Implied odds +1350)
The Colts have a softer three game schedule v. Giants, Titans, and Jags, and the Colts own the tiebreaker over the Bengals.
You can get longer odds on the Colts than the Bengals, but you're not getting value from the books either way.Comment -
At this point u would get better than 7-1 by parlaying the games needed every week nowOriginally posted by Doug tushyterrorKnew I should've taken a shot at 30-1 Yes Playoffs before the DAL game. The fact they're down to 7-1 should tell you their Playoffs implied probability is around 15% instead of the 3% they're talking about.
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Not really cuz you'd still need 5 favorable outcomes. CIN winning out & DEN losing out. Since CIN would have to beat DEN I'm not counting that as a favorable outcome since it's included in DEN winning out.Originally posted by johnnyvegas13Comment -
Not true Nasher since IND already lost the tb to DEN with that loss. Assuming LAC & whoever doesn't win the NFC North are already in, it basically comes down to DEN, CIN & MIA for the final spot despite what this projection Implies.Originally posted by stevenash
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If Joe Burrow was serious about wining he would bic his head and grow a beard.
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I beg to differ with you Doug, Colts hold the tie breakers.
Wins tie break over Miami based on head-to-head win percentage. Wins tie break over Cincinnati based on best win percentage in conference games.
Tm W L T Position Reason Kansas City Chiefs (1) 13 1 0 West Champion Buffalo Bills (2) 11 3 0 East Champion Pittsburgh Steelers (3) 10 4 0 North Champion Houston Texans (4) 9 5 0 South Champion Baltimore Ravens (5) 9 5 0 Wild Card #1 head-to-head record Denver Broncos (6) 9 5 0 Wild Card #2 Los Angeles Chargers (7) 8 6 0 Wild Card #3 Indianapolis Colts 6 8 0 head-to-head record Miami Dolphins 6 8 0 conference win percentage Cincinnati Bengals 6 8 0 New York Jets 4 10 0 Cleveland Browns 3 11 0 head-to-head record Jacksonville Jaguars 3 11 0 head-to-head record Tennessee Titans 3 11 0 head-to-head record New England Patriots 3 11 0 Las Vegas Raiders 2 12 0 Comment -
Nash, my Colts have the worst QB I have watched make 14 starts in the National Football League during my existence on this planet. Give me JamJam over AR. AR is so absolutely horrendous it is unimaginable. He has no touch, everything is a fastball and the few times he has to make throw with air under it he misses by 10 yards look no further than last Sunday against Denver. AR has a wide open guy and clean pocket for a 15 yard completion and 1st down and he air mails it for an INT. He has zero ability to recognize coverage. I understand the logic drafting him but experiment over. If that BUM AR gets my guy Steichen fired I will not be happy.
Why TF are we not giving Bean a start? That kid can sling it.Comment -
6%? So they still have a shot!!! 🤣Originally posted by stevenashComment -
Need bolts win tonight
to start …Comment -
I hear you and feel your pain.Originally posted by Spite
I place a premium on loyalty, I respect fans that are loyal to their teams, no matter what.
The Colts were set up for life with Andrew Luck.
Then Luck went down for good eight years ago the team spiraled down and still haven't recovered.
Luck would have kept going right into the Hall.
Luck was special, that injury devasted that team.
Colts are 50-70 since.
Regarding AR I'm disappointed too.
I thought he'd be having a much better rookie year.
Bo Nix is the real deal though in Denver.Comment
