Holding a MINN +1 ticket from previous thread.
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Where's the fuckin power box, Carol? -
1* NY Jets +2.5 1.96: 1 to win .96
...Coming back with the Jets. So, I have the dog on both sides.
...Vikings now 4-0 SU/ATS. This # is way off from the lookahead line. Consider how far the Vikes are to the right of expectations.
...Darnold's YTD stats compared to his career stats. TD% = 10.4 (2.6x career), Comp% = 69 (+9 over career), QB rating = 119 (+39 over career).
...Either O'Connell is a QB whisperer. Or Darnold is ripe.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
1* ATLANTA FALCONS -1.5 1.94: 1 to win .94
...Small play on Thursday action. A few angles I like.
...Not sure the Buc perception is correct. Fluky stat-line win @Detroit and a win over Eagle team with key injuries.
...Home win-and-cover spot for ATL. Think the # should be a little higher.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
2* CINCINNATI BENGALS +2.5 2.00: 2 to win 2.00
...Everyone saw the Ravens roll the Bills on TV. So, the action is tilted that way.
...A few Bengal matchups I like. Like the Home Dog value.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
2* Clev Browns +3.5 1.84: 2 to win 1.68Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Leggo ��buddy!!Comment -
2* Miami Dolphins +1 1.92: 2 to win 1.84
...Everyone saw how miserable they looked on MNF. I honestly didn't think we'd get a chance to take points vs NE this year.
...In particular, QB Brissett looks miserable. He's now on the wrong side of 30 and has lost most of his mobility.
...Market liked Huntley as the MIA starter. McDaniel has announced Huntley as the starter @ NE. That removes my fear of having money on Boyle. Gross game. But I like catching points against a team who arguably shouldn't be favored vs anyone.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
(Lookahead for Week 06) 1* Clev Browns +6.5 2.00: 1 to win 1.00 (@Phi)
...After the abortion in Vegas, I think the Browns are at the trough of their value.
...Was pretty happy with the practice report. Browns played w/ a makeshift Off Line in Vegas. Could get three of those Off Linemen back. Should be trending to a more healthy team. RB Chubb could return next week.
...PHI was down three key Offensive starters last week. Not sure if their status will change.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Chuck I like your plays this week
post moreComment -
You're on the sharp side of all these. Vikes, ravens, pats, redskins, (and bucs from tnf)
all HUGE public plays and the public has been getting buried. While I don't trust the jets or dolphins enough to hammer either of them, I absolutely love cleveland getting 3 and even 3.5 in some spots. Love the bengals too.Comment -
Chuck, I have some serious $$ in play in survivor. I have 2 picks live of 65 for 10K split first through 4th and the next 6 weeks $500+ to anyone who has a single team winner. So, it's a challenge to survive or go for possible survival and get $500 for a single pick. Lose and you forfeit 5 more chances at the $500.
Thinking of DEN as one of my plays. Only thing holding me back is I went almost all in on LV vs CAR or would have ruled the survivor world in 2 pools worth 35K.
Any help appreciated.
All my best,Comment -
Valid point, MAD. I was really looking at the Patriot offense as a unit. -1.8 Net Yards per play.
I was looking for a spot to take points vs the Pats. I think this qualifies. Early in the season, weather shouldn't be a problem. Huntley has some mobility. In my mind the Bengals gifted the opener to New Eng with fumbles.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
1* JAX Jaguars pk 1.56: 1 to win .56
...Backing the Jags moneyline. Some reasons I wanted to play this.
...Colts off an upset win over PITT. Jags have a long injury list.
...Richardson exited last week, and Flacco came in off the bench. Richardson doubtful today.
...Jags got close last week but lost. 0-4 going into this game. Change is in the air, if they lose.
...Amazing Jaguars stat. 1-9 in L10 games going back to last year. Lawrence missed the one win, where Beathard started and beat Carolina (w/ Bryce Young).
...Jags were 8-3 and cruising to the playoffs last year b4 Lawrence picked up nagging injuries. Lawrence is now 0-9 in his last nine starts.
...Flacco was retired and out of the league ten months ago. If Lawrence can't beat Flacco, might be time to hang it up.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Chuck I am on colts today
gl on the restComment -
1* SAN FRAN 49ers -7.5 2.04: 1 to win 1.04Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Comment -
(Week) -5.75/15
Summary of results:
*Minn/Jet middle-shot had a chance. But in reality, Vikings were the right side. Net loser on this, and I do question putting any faith in the Jets.
*Falcons were a suckout. Very fortunate cover.
*Bengals were a very bitter pill to swallow. Led most of the way, had different combinations to get there. Lose in OT.
*If the Bengals were tough, the Browns were a complete punt. Browns have problems. And it starts with the QB pulling a check.
*Happy with the Dolphin win. I didn't think the Patriots merited being the early fav.
*I wanted some exposure on JAX. Like I said in my writeup: if Lawrence couldn't beat a QB who came out of retirement, might be time for a new occupation.
*I thought the Niners were priced short. Cards showed more will and won S/U.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
(Coll) -7.09
End BAL = 153.57 (ytd = +53.57)
...Last week was a high-water mark for the Year. Gave some back this week.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Thx, K. You always like em going in. Tougher to get em coming out clean.
As of today, I like the way the market shapes up. Told you a little about how I view the biases.
I'm actually of the opinion that there's not much technical analysis. More along the lines of narrative so some guy can post his Youtube clip.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment