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2nd unit on AIR FORCE +8 1.95: 1 to win .95
...I know they look bad.
...Motivation to flip the script with Commander-in-Chief's trophy implications.
...Air Force won it in 2022. They looked poised to win it again in 2023 b4 Army upset them.
...Navy and Army both currently undefeated. Looks bad, "that's why they play the games."
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
Eddy Munny
Benched
08-13-13
15769
#4
Hey numbnuts,
the week ahead is
WEEK Six!
Stop being a fukktard about it and get with the program.
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#5
1* UNLV -4 1.91: 1 to win .91
...Think we saw that the QB change doesn't really matter.
Loses by 11. Hang the #. Will keep it in this thread and record it next week.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#10
1* Iowa +20.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
...McNamara is an upgrade @ QB, compared to their 2023 level of play.
...Hawkeyes look like a true Defensive Dog. Have not yet conceded a rushing TD this year.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
HAPPY BOY
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
7111
#11
testing 1 2
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#12
Originally posted by HAPPY BOY
testing 1 2
Hey, Happy. Cool avatar.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#13
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
1* NORTH CAROLINA +2.5 1.95: 1 to win .95
2nd unit on NORTH CAROL +3 1.92: 1 to win .92
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#14
1* UCLA +28.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
...Bit of a flat-spot for PennSt. Just played versus an undefeated team, critical game next week @USC.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
veriableodds
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-17
5102
#15
I will be discerning these this week, maybe my brain will improve
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#16
2* Michigan +3 1.93: 2 to win 1.86
...First off, I can't believe we're catching the full 3. Line-value looks good.
...MICH beat USC w/o TE Loveland. Loveland returned last week.
...CB Will Johnson missed last game. But he almost played last week, I think he's > 50/50 this week.
...MICH is re-tooling. But WASH is in even more of a re-build. How many key cogs from last year?
...Finally, kicker Zvada is drilling, like having him in a close game. +3 looks good, even if the situation isn't ideal.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#17
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
2* App St +2.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
3rd unit on App St +3 1.90: 1 to win .90
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#18
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
2nd unit on AIR FORCE +8 1.95: 1 to win .95
...I know they look bad.
...Motivation to flip the script with Commander-in-Chief's trophy implications.
...Air Force won it in 2022. They looked poised to win it again in 2023 b4 Army upset them.
...Navy and Army both currently undefeated. Looks bad, "that's why they play the games."
Two more units on AIR FORCE +10.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#19
1* KENNESAW ST +16.5 1.86: 1 to win .86
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#20
1* SMU +6.5 2.04: 1 to win 1.04
...SMU comes off a Home Run year in 2023. They may have been over-priced early in the season.
...Late last year QB Stone broke his leg. Backup Phillips replaced him and won the Conf championship game vs Tulane.
...Stone returned from injury this year. But he proved to be not too mobile. Phillips again replaced Stone as the starter.
...Phillips is more of a dual-threat and really equal to Stone as a passer. The Mustang offense has taken off after the QB switch.
...Mustangs are talented and rate highly in many position groups. Kicker Rogers has a huge leg. Points looks good to me.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#21
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
1* SMU +6.5 2.04: 1 to win 1.04
...SMU comes off a Home Run year in 2023. They may have been over-priced early in the season.
...Late last year QB Stone broke his leg. Backup Phillips replaced him and won the Conf championship game vs Tulane.
...Stone returned from injury this year. But he proved to be not too mobile. Phillips again replaced Stone as the starter.
...Phillips is more of a dual-threat and really equal to Stone as a passer. The Mustang offense has taken off after the QB switch.
...Mustangs are talented and rate highly in many position groups. Kicker Rogers has a huge leg. Points looks good to me.
2nd unit on SMU +7 1.92: 1 to win .92.
1* Duke +10 1.84: 1 to win .84.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
veriableodds
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-17
5102
#22
Great effort on the homework Chuck
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#23
Originally posted by veriableodds
Great effort on the homework Chuck
Thx, veri. A lot of labor. Hope it leads to fruition.
I know it looks like a lot of plays. I'm actually showing discretion. If I view a play as borderline, I pass.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#24
2* MiamiOH +7 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
...This play is based on the pre-season expectations and a big difference in YTD Strength of Schedule.
...MiamiOH's 0-3 start was versus major schools. Toledo did upset MissSt, who now looks like a very low-end SEC team.
...Toledo saw a lot of talent depart from last year's team. Veteran MiamiOH looks like a value dog in a key MAC game.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
veriableodds
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-17
5102
#25
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
Thanks, veri. That's a nice filter.
Was looking at opposite in those four games. Will likely pass those games.
unbiased looks you may/or not like.
So the # next to team is the difference between predicted score-vs-opponent and current line spread(possible value). These caught my attention
kennesaw st/ 8.5
NC/ 3
Missouri/ 6.5
tulsa/ 5
temple/ 8.5
Appalachian st/ 4.5
VT/ 5
ulm war/ 6.5
tx tech/ 4
Comment
veriableodds
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-17
5102
#26
Obviously, this is just a list. Homework has to be done...lol
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#27
Thank you, veri. I line up with many of those plays. Some notes:
*KENN St just lost to an FCS school, nobody will want them. But they're not that far removed from the position Jax St is in. 2nd-year FBS vs 1st-year FBS.
*North Carolina is a great play. UNC has talent. Pitt rallied to steal two wins, so 4-0 flatters them.
*Mizzou/AM will be a great game.
*I've honestly been waiting on Temple. Will see how hard people bet UConn, who is on an ATS streak.
*Mentioned that people are down on App St. Very dubious that they are +3 in this game.
*VATech: check the Stanford QB situation. I actually don't like VATech here. Gutted after MIA finish.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#28
3rd unit on SO MISS +16.5 2.00: 1 to win 1.00
1* GEORGIA -22 1.92: 1 to win .92
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#29
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
1* KENNESAW ST +16.5 1.86: 1 to win .86
2nd unit on KENN ST +17 1.91: 1 to win .91
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#30
1* Northern Ariz +11.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
...Said that I'm going to stop posting FCS. But I think this one's worth playing.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#31
(Week): -3.24/7 (heading into Saturday).
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
39664
#32
1* FLORIDA ST +16 1.94: 1 to win .94
...Can QB Glenn possibly be any worse than DJ-U?
1* WISCONSIN -11 1.94: 1 to win .94
...Badgers have turnover at QB/RB. But it looks like a buy-low price.
