My picks for NCAAF, NFL, and NCAAB for the next 150 days...

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  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1405

    #281
    NFL Week 16 Picks

    10 52
    NFL 2024Week16 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4 6 6
    Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET SPRD DIFFERENTIAL 11+ O/U DIFFERENTIAL 8+
    8:15 PM DENVER 23 LACHARGERS 20 43 -2.5 41.5 0
    0
    1:00 PM HOUSTON 20 KANSASCITY 24 44 -3.5 42 0 0
    4:30 PM PITTSBURGH 21 BALTIMORE 27 48 -6.5 44.5 0 0
    1:00 PM CLEVELAND 23 CINCINNATI 31 54 -8.5 47 0 OVER
    1:00 PM DETROIT 31 CHICAGO 17 48 6.5 47.5 Away Minus 5* DETROIT 0
    1:00 PM ARIZONA 28 CAROLINA 16 44 4.5 47 ARIZONA 0
    1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA 24 WASHINGTON 22 46 3.5 45 0 0
    1:00 PM NYGIANTS 19 ATLANTA 26 45 -9 42 0 0
    1:00 PM TENNESSEE 17 INDIANAPOLIS 20 37 -3.5 42.5 0 0
    1:00 PM LARAMS 24 NYJETS 21 45 3 46.5 0 0
    4:05 PM MINNESOTA 23 SEATTLE 20 43 3 42.5 0 0
    4:25 PM NEWENGLAND 15 BUFFALO 30 45 -14 46.5 0 0
    4:25 PM SANFRANCISCO 21 MIAMI 21 42 0 44.5 0 0
    4:25 PM JACKSONVILLE 20 LASVEGAS 24 44 -1 40 0 0
    8:20 PM TAMPABAY 30 DALLAS 24 54 4 48.5 0 0
    8:15 PM NEWORLEANS 19 GREENBAY 29 48 -14 42.5 Away Plus 5* 0 0
    Dave
    MacktheTeach
    Comment
    • usma1992
      SBR MVP
      • 08-02-11
      • 1405

      #282
      NCAAB Dec 20 Picks... Seems to be getting more dialied in...

      I opened it up a bit but I like what I see.

      NCAAB 2024Dec20 O/U& SPREADS WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
      Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
      1:00 PM Valparaiso 74 W Michigan 74 148 -2 152.5
      5:00 PM IL-Chicago 76 Seattle 77 153 -6 148.5
      6:00 PM Rider 67 U Penn 68 135 -4.5 134.5
      7:00 PM Delaware 68 St Peters 72 140 -2.5 142.0
      7:00 PM Akron 78 Yale 83 161 -4.5 153.5 Over Proj
      8:00 PM St Johns 75 Providence 66 141 6 142.5
      8:00 PM App State 54 North Texas 70 124 -11.5 123.5
      8:30 PM Dayton 65 Cincinnati 78 143 -3 137.0 Home Minus P
      9:30 PM Jackson St 60 TX El Paso 84 144 -14.5 140.0 Home Minus P
      2:00 PM Hsn Christian 52 Texas A&M 86 138 -33 141.5
      4:00 PM Norfolk St 76 Grambling St 67 143 6 137.0
      6:30 PM Delaware St 75 Alabama St 80 155 -5 147.0 Over Proj
      7:00 PM Holy Cross 68 Siena 73 141 -5.5 132.0 Over Proj
      7:00 PM Longwood 74 NC Central 69 143 3 144.5
      9:00 PM Florida A&M 52 BYU 98 150 -34 148.5 Home Minus P
      10:00 PM Southern 68 Loyola Mymt 75 143 -8 138.5
      Dave
      MacktheTeach
      Comment
      • Jerm3085
        SBR MVP
        • 09-26-12
        • 1539

        #283
        Very nice prediction on that BYU game, won by exactly 46
        Comment
        • usma1992
          SBR MVP
          • 08-02-11
          • 1405

          #284
          4-0 so far College Bowl Season... picks are posted earlier...

          If you want me to repost them... let me know. Sorry, if you didn't know I tossed Tulane game out a week ago. I never bet a bowl team that lost its last two games. In addition, I won't bet a college football team whose QB transfers during regular season or bowl season. If you bet Tulane, I apologize but I didn't have time to repost that pick.

          I know this thread gets long. I will look into the Yale bball game... I wasn't close on that one.

          Dave
          MacktheTeach
          Last edited by usma1992; 12-21-24, 03:32 AM.
          Comment
          • usma1992
            SBR MVP
            • 08-02-11
            • 1405

            #285
            NCAAB Picks Dec 21... Getting Fun...

            NCAAB 2024Dec21 O/U& SPREADS WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING 10
            Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET Actual Away Actual Home
            12:00 PM Syracuse 62 Maryland 88 150 -12.5 156.0 Home Minus P 0 0
            12:00 PM Chattanooga 67 Indiana 80 147 -15 154.5 Under Proj 0 0
            2:00 PM Mt St Marys 66 Miami 80 146 -17.5 150.5 Under Proj 0 0
            2:00 PM Louisville 70 Florida St 73 143 1 153.0 Home Plus P 0 0
            2:00 PM E Tenn St 79 Kansas City 66 145 2.5 141.5 Away Minus P 0 0
            3:00 PM UC Davis 69 Pepperdine 68 137 1.5 146.0 Under Proj 0 0
            4:30 PM Purdue 65 Auburn 84 149 -9 150.0 Home Minus 5* 0 0
            4:30 PM W Illinois 75 Lindenwood 72 147 -3.5 137.0 Over Proj 0 0
            4:45 PM SIU Edward 74 SE Missouri 73 147 1.5 140.0 Over Proj 0 0
            6:00 PM IU Indy 65 Florida Intl 76 141 -9 145.5 Under Proj 0 0
            8:00 PM Oregon 73 Stanford 72 145 5.50 150.0 Home Plus P 0 0
            10:30 PM Kennesaw St 71 San Jose St 70 141 -4.00 152.5 Under 5* 0 0
            12:00 PM Vermont 74 Dartmouth 70 144 6.50 135.0 Over Proj 0 0
            1:00 PM Youngs St 83 SC Upstate 65 148 9.00 150.5 Away Minus P 0 0
            1:00 PM Navy 81 Coppin St 60 141 8.00 137.5 Away Minus P 0 0
            1:00 PM Maine 79 Stony Brook 66 145 3.50 137.5 Over Proj 0 0
            3:00 PM Miss Val St 51 Tulsa 89 140 -25.00 136.0 Home Minus P 0 0
            3:00 PM E Tenn St 74 S Florida 75 149 -12.50 145.0 Away Plus 5* 0 0
            4:00 PM Lafayette 76 Portland 69 145 -3.50 141.0 Away Plus P 0 0
            6:00 PM Jacksonville 69 UCF 84 153 -15.00 142.5 Over Proj 0 0
            Dave
            MacktheTeach
            Comment
            • BCaldwell32
              SBR MVP
              • 12-13-08
              • 1027

              #286
              Originally posted by usma1992
              NCAAB 2024Dec21 O/U& SPREADS WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING 10
              Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET Actual Away Actual Home
              12:00 PM Syracuse 62 Maryland 88 150 -12.5 156.0 Home Minus P 0 0
              12:00 PM Chattanooga 67 Indiana 80 147 -15 154.5 Under Proj 0 0
              2:00 PM Mt St Marys 66 Miami 80 146 -17.5 150.5 Under Proj 0 0
              2:00 PM Louisville 70 Florida St 73 143 1 153.0 Home Plus P 0 0
              2:00 PM E Tenn St 79 Kansas City 66 145 2.5 141.5 Away Minus P 0 0
              3:00 PM UC Davis 69 Pepperdine 68 137 1.5 146.0 Under Proj 0 0
              4:30 PM Purdue 65 Auburn 84 149 -9 150.0 Home Minus 5* 0 0
              4:30 PM W Illinois 75 Lindenwood 72 147 -3.5 137.0 Over Proj 0 0
              4:45 PM SIU Edward 74 SE Missouri 73 147 1.5 140.0 Over Proj 0 0
              6:00 PM IU Indy 65 Florida Intl 76 141 -9 145.5 Under Proj 0 0
              8:00 PM Oregon 73 Stanford 72 145 5.50 150.0 Home Plus P 0 0
              10:30 PM Kennesaw St 71 San Jose St 70 141 -4.00 152.5 Under 5* 0 0
              12:00 PM Vermont 74 Dartmouth 70 144 6.50 135.0 Over Proj 0 0
              1:00 PM Youngs St 83 SC Upstate 65 148 9.00 150.5 Away Minus P 0 0
              1:00 PM Navy 81 Coppin St 60 141 8.00 137.5 Away Minus P 0 0
              1:00 PM Maine 79 Stony Brook 66 145 3.50 137.5 Over Proj 0 0
              3:00 PM Miss Val St 51 Tulsa 89 140 -25.00 136.0 Home Minus P 0 0
              3:00 PM E Tenn St 74 S Florida 75 149 -12.50 145.0 Away Plus 5* 0 0
              4:00 PM Lafayette 76 Portland 69 145 -3.50 141.0 Away Plus P 0 0
              6:00 PM Jacksonville 69 UCF 84 153 -15.00 142.5 Over Proj 0 0
              Dave
              MacktheTeach
              When you say over or under projected, are these games you are not betting and just letting us know which way you are leaning?
              Comment
              • daneault23
                SBR MVP
                • 09-08-09
                • 3837

                #287
                NCAAB South Florida plays East Texas A&M and East Tennessee State plays UMKC so not sure what that bet should be? Assuming it's East Texas A&M plus the points?
                Comment
                • BCaldwell32
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-13-08
                  • 1027

                  #288
                  Originally posted by daneault23
                  NCAAB South Florida plays East Texas A&M and East Tennessee State plays UMKC so not sure what that bet should be? Assuming it's East Texas A&M plus the points?
                  Beat me to it, was gonna ask same thing
                  Comment
                  • usma1992
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-02-11
                    • 1405

                    #289
                    Sorry... void any East Texas A&M bet... it keeps creeping up... I apologize.

                    All of the projections are bets.

                    I labeled them differently so I can keep track of them. I opened it up... after 5 days of testing.

                    Dave
                    MacktheTeach
                    Comment
                    • usma1992
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-02-11
                      • 1405

                      #290
                      Void South Florida game.

                      Dave
                      MacktheTeach
                      Comment
                      • daneault23
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 3837

                        #291
                        So do not bet E TN State or South Florida game today?
                        Comment
                        • usma1992
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-02-11
                          • 1405

                          #292
                          Heads Up... a debate... that I have had in the past...

                          The Mount St. Marys game versus Miami went into OT and it lost because of it. I had the under. I know many might not understand this but I count that as a win.

                          I cannot model for OT. If it happens it happens either way. If I needed OT to win... and it did... I count it as a loss. If you focus on the transaction... you will lose in the end. Focus on the process. Was it the right bet? If they need 20 points in OT to beat me by a .5, I will take that all day long.

                          In poker, that would be a runner, runner to beat me.

                          As an analyst, poker player, mathematician... take that all day long and forget about the results.

                          Dave
                          MacktheTeach
                          Comment
                          • usma1992
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-02-11
                            • 1405

                            #293
                            Anybody still following...

                            I'm convinced my NCAAF works. NBA has been working but not convinced it is a long term winner. NFL... drastic improvements and approaches this year.

                            NCAAB... which I still believe will be my crown jewel... has been lackluster. It is starting to shine but it still needs to shine further.

                            Let me know ...

                            If you are still following. This takes a ton of work just to keep it going. It takes even more work to make improvements.

                            Dave
                            MacktheTeach
                            Comment
                            • BCaldwell32
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-13-08
                              • 1027

                              #294
                              Originally posted by usma1992
                              I'm convinced my NCAAF works. NBA has been working but not convinced it is a long term winner. NFL... drastic improvements and approaches this year.

                              NCAAB... which I still believe will be my crown jewel... has been lackluster. It is starting to shine but it still needs to shine further.

                              Let me know ...

                              If you are still following. This takes a ton of work just to keep it going. It takes even more work to make improvements.

                              Dave
                              MacktheTeach
                              It has been a really good season in NCAAF. NBA is doing better than expected, hope that can continue. NCAAB is good but has definitely been frustrating at times, I have lost probably 10 times by half a point in totals this year so far and some bets were not even close but that can happen. NFL has been the worst for me but I can see it improving. I think tweaking the combination of season long info and putting weight on the few previous weeks depending on the competition is the best way to go. As always, I think you're doing a great job and can't imagine the hard work you put into it!
                              Comment
                              • Luca Bratzi
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 03-13-12
                                • 5

                                #295
                                Dave, Thank you for the time and effort you put into the numbers.
                                The NCAA basketball information is excellent. The teams that are playing
                                at home and are double digit favorites have a winning percentage by
                                playing the team total you have assigned. Your work is much appreciated.
                                Comment
                                • usma1992
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-02-11
                                  • 1405

                                  #296
                                  Luca,

                                  Could you be more specific?

                                  Dave
                                  MacktheTeach
                                  Comment
                                  • MalikHusam
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-07-16
                                    • 2659

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by usma1992
                                    I think 2-0 and I have come close to predicting the scores.

                                    Dave
                                    MacktheTeach
                                    Question: in post #267, these are not bets on bowl games, but just leans according to your numbers...correct?

                                    Tennessee
                                    UTSA
                                    Northern Illinois
                                    Comment
                                    • BCaldwell32
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-13-08
                                      • 1027

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by MalikHusam
                                      Question: in post #267, these are not bets on bowl games, but just leans according to your numbers...correct?

                                      Tennessee
                                      UTSA
                                      Northern Illinois
                                      I asked him that about college basketball. They are plays but he labeled them differently for tracking purposes.
                                      Comment
                                      • usma1992
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-02-11
                                        • 1405

                                        #299
                                        Answering your questions... 5-1 Bowl Season so far...

                                        My projected numbers are only the first step in establishing the picks. I have multiple filtering systems beyond the projected numbers up until 2/3rds through the season.

                                        After 2/3rds through the season, my projected numbers become really good. It happened in college bball last year and I am doing it for college football these year. Starting Week 10... I include any projected games within reason. I do have a small parameter so that I don't take games right at the line. I have bet all the college football games that I listed.

                                        Dave
                                        MacktheTeach
                                        Comment
                                        • usma1992
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-02-11
                                          • 1405

                                          #300
                                          Have the Northern Illinois team is out... I just cashed my bet out at a loss...

                                          Half... not Have... I am definitely going to be more in tune with the players sitting out next year.

                                          Dave
                                          MacktheTeach
                                          Comment
                                          • Luca Bratzi
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 03-13-12
                                            • 5

                                            #301
                                            Originally posted by usma1992
                                            Luca,

                                            Could you be more specific?

                                            Dave
                                            MacktheTeach
                                            Sure Dave.
                                            Must be Home Team and favored by double digits per the Vegas line.
                                            Your numbers must have the home team covering the Vegas line.
                                            The Team Total you assigned the home team must be 8 points higher
                                            than the Team Total assigned by Vegas. The last three weeks or so
                                            this situation has hit at over 60%. Not sure if it will continue but will
                                            keep track and let you know. Thanks again for your effort.
                                            Comment
                                            • usma1992
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-02-11
                                              • 1405

                                              #302
                                              Transfer Portal provides and opportunity that Vegas might not be able to keep up with

                                              Right now, I am 5-1 excluding the Tulane game. I didn't bet that game because they lost the last two games of their season. In additional, their starting QB entered the portal.

                                              If you take my numbers and combine them with the transfer portal action... I think real money can be made. For example UTSA versus Coastal Carolina. About 5 UTSA players sat out relative to 20+ for Coastal including their QB. How did I not go deeper on that pick?

                                              My system was projecting the win without all those players sitting out.

                                              Dave
                                              MacktheTeach
                                              Comment
                                              • usma1992
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-02-11
                                                • 1405

                                                #303
                                                NCAAB Dec 23 Picks... Tried to Tighten Up Home Minus Bets...

                                                Everything else... I am leaving alone.

                                                NCAAB 2024Dec23 O/U& SPREADS WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING 10
                                                Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET Actual Away Actual Home
                                                5:30 PM Col Charlestn 70 Loyola-Chi 76 146 -2 147.0 Home Minus P 0 0
                                                7:00 PM Middle Tenn 54 Tennessee 81 135 -24.5 143.0 0 0
                                                8:00 PM CS Bakersfld 69 N Dakota St 79 148 -10 139.0 Over Proj 0 0
                                                8:00 PM Oregon St 78 Oakland 58 136 9.5 131.0 0 0
                                                10:00 PM Seattle 63 Washington 80 143 -12.5 143.5 Home Minus P 0 0
                                                10:30 PM Nebraska 74 Hawaii 64 138 8.5 141.5 0 0
                                                11:59 PM Murray St 74 Charlotte 63 137 6.5 139.0 0 0

                                                Dave
                                                MacktheTeach
                                                Comment
                                                • usma1992
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                  • 1405

                                                  #304
                                                  I want to be completely clear about NIU and Tulane game...

                                                  I tossed Tulane game because they lost last two games and QB transferred. In truth, I considered going the other direction and might try to figure it in to my predictions.

                                                  NIU won in OT. First, I discount OT. What ever the score was at the end of regulation is what I take into account. NIU won but I count that as a no bet.

                                                  I am not going to bet on a team when half their team leaves before the bowl game.

                                                  I stand by my 5-1... I discount both bets.

                                                  Dave
                                                  MacktheTeach
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ARCHIVADO98
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-27-20
                                                    • 890

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by usma1992
                                                    I tossed Tulane game because they lost last two games and QB transferred. In truth, I considered going the other direction and might try to figure it in to my predictions.

                                                    NIU won in OT. First, I discount OT. What ever the score was at the end of regulation is what I take into account. NIU won but I count that as a no bet.

                                                    I am not going to bet on a team when half their team leaves before the bowl game.

                                                    I stand by my 5-1... I discount both bets.

                                                    Dave
                                                    MacktheTeach
                                                    Navy at+3.0 now (from original +8.5)

                                                    Slight lean, still a play, or just a pass now at current number for you?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • usma1992
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-02-11
                                                      • 1405

                                                      #306
                                                      I'm out of the loop until late Dec 26th....

                                                      Do you guys want me to rerun college football? I know a lot has changed. Army game... lines... Ole Miss lines... now Navy lines... I plan to lock in my bets right after I put out the lines next year.

                                                      I can rerun it the night of Dec 26th.

                                                      I am attending the KC ... Steeler game with my son...

                                                      Dave
                                                      MacktheTeach
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BCaldwell32
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-13-08
                                                        • 1027

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by usma1992
                                                        Do you guys want me to rerun college football? I know a lot has changed. Army game... lines... Ole Miss lines... now Navy lines... I plan to lock in my bets right after I put out the lines next year.

                                                        I can rerun it the night of Dec 26th.

                                                        I am attending the KC ... Steeler game with my son...

                                                        Dave
                                                        MacktheTeach
                                                        Yes, please rerun the bowl games and can you put up the NFL for tomorrow?

                                                        Thanks
                                                        Rob
                                                        Comment
                                                        • usma1992
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-02-11
                                                          • 1405

                                                          #308
                                                          Merry XMAS from Downtown Pittsburgh... Go Steelers... NBA Dec 25 Picks

                                                          NBA 2024Dec25 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until 5 Games In
                                                          Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                          12:10 PM SAN ANTONIO 106 NEW YORK 121 227 -9 223.5
                                                          2:40 PM MINNESOTA 107 DALLAS 115 222 -5 221.0
                                                          5:10 PM PHILADELPHIA 103 BOSTON 119 222 -8.5 221.5
                                                          8:10 PM LA LAKERS 106 GOLDEN STATE 119 225 -4 223.5
                                                          10:40 PM DENVER 120 PHOENIX 113 233 3 231.5 Away Minus 5*
                                                          Dave
                                                          MacktheTeach
                                                          Comment
                                                          • usma1992
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-02-11
                                                            • 1405

                                                            #309
                                                            NFL Picks Dec 25

                                                            10 52
                                                            NFL 2024Week17 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4 6 6
                                                            Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET SPRD DIFFERENTIAL 11+ O/U DIFFERENTIAL 8+
                                                            1:00 PM KANSASCITY 25 PITTSBURGH 17 42 2.5 44 0 0
                                                            4:30 PM BALTIMORE 28 HOUSTON 17 45 6 47 0 0
                                                            8:15 PM SEATTLE 26 CHICAGO 18 44 3.5 43.5 0 0
                                                            1:00 PM LACHARGERS 21 NEWENGLAND 14 35 4 42 0 UNDER
                                                            4:30 PM DENVER 21 CINCINNATI 26 47 -3 49 0 0
                                                            8:15 PM ARIZONA 19 LARAMS 27 46 -6.5 48 0 0
                                                            1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS 25 NYGIANTS 14 39 8 40.5 0 0
                                                            1:00 PM LASVEGAS 21 NEWORLEANS 21 42 1 37.5 0 0
                                                            1:00 PM TENNESSEE 21 JACKSONVILLE 20 41 -1 39.5 0 0
                                                            1:00 PM NYJETS 15 BUFFALO 33 48 -9.5 47 0 0
                                                            1:00 PM CAROLINA 18 TAMPABAY 39 57 -8 49 Home Minus 5* 0
                                                            1:00 PM DALLAS 17 PHILADELPHIA 34 51 -9.5 41 0
                                                            4:05 PM MIAMI 26 CLEVELAND 15 41 6.5 39.5 0 0
                                                            4:25 PM GREENBAY 23 MINNESOTA 21 44 0 48.5 0 0
                                                            8:20 PM ATLANTA 19 WASHINGTON 30 49 -4 47.5 0 0
                                                            8:15 PM DETROIT 31 SANFRANCISCO 18 49 3 50.5 Away Minus 5* DETROIT 0
                                                            Dave
                                                            MacktheTeach
                                                            Comment
                                                            • usma1992
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-02-11
                                                              • 1405

                                                              #310
                                                              Updated NCAAB... lines... need to look at how many players sitting out...

                                                              NCAAF 2024Week17 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4 11 8
                                                              Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET SPRD DIFFERENTIAL 11+ O/U DIFFERENTIAL 8+
                                                              2:00 PM Pittsburgh 29 Toledo 23 52 7 50 0 0
                                                              5:30 PM Rutgers 22 Kansas State 28 50 -7 50 0 0
                                                              9:00 PM Arkansas State 22 Bowling Green 32 54 -8.5 53 0 0
                                                              12:00 PM Oklahoma 21 Navy 29 50 3 43 0 0
                                                              3:30 PM Georgia Tech 30 Vanderbilt 14 44 2.5 51.5 Georgia Tech 0
                                                              7:00 PM Texas Tech 39 Arkansas 39 78 -1.5 51.5 Over 5* 0 OVER
                                                              8:00 PM Syracuse 48 Washington State 24 72 16 59.5 0 OVER
                                                              10:30 PM Texas A&M 27 USC 29 56 3.5 51.5 0 0
                                                              11:00 AM Connecticut 30 North Carolina 31 61 -3 52.5 Over 3* 0 OVER
                                                              12:00 PM Boston College 17 Nebraska 24 41 -3.5 45.5 0 0
                                                              2:15 PM Louisiana-Lafayett 22 TCU 32 54 -12 58.5 0 0
                                                              3:30 PM Iowa State 26 Miami (Florida) 37 63 -3.5 55.5 0 0
                                                              4:30 PM Miami (Ohio) 18 Colorado State 17 35 3 40.5 0 0
                                                              Dave
                                                              MacktheTeach
                                                              Comment
                                                              • usma1992
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-02-11
                                                                • 1405

                                                                #311
                                                                5:45 PM East Carolina 30 North Carolina Sta 26 56 -6 58.5 0 0
                                                                7:30 PM BYU 21 Colorado 24 45 -4 54.5 Under 5* 0 UNDER
                                                                9:15 PM Louisiana Tech 12 Army 30 42 -16.5 44 0 0
                                                                2:30 PM Iowa 11 Missouri 24 35 -3 40 0 0
                                                                12:00 PM Alabama 26 Michigan 7 33 11.5 43 0 0
                                                                2:00 PM Louisville 28 Washington 20 48 3 49.5 0 0
                                                                3:00 PM South Carolina 29 Illinois 13 42 9.5 47.5 0 0
                                                                3:30 PM Baylor 29 LSU 31 60 1.5 60 0 0
                                                                7:30 PM Penn State 31 Boise State 22 53 11.5 52 0 0
                                                                1:00 PM Texas 34 Arizona State 14 48 13.5 52 0 0
                                                                5:00 PM Ohio State 21 Oregon 20 41 2.5 55 0 UNDER
                                                                8:45 PM Notre Dame 24 Georgia 22 46 -2 44 0 0
                                                                7:30 PM Duke 11 Mississippi 39 50 -14.5 52 Mississippi 0
                                                                4:00 PM North Texas 31 Texas State 49 80 -13.5 64 0 OVER
                                                                7:30 PM Minnesota 20 Virginia Tech 15 35 6.5 42 0 0
                                                                11:00 AM Buffalo 22 Liberty 31 53 2 51 0 0
                                                                Dave
                                                                MacktheTeach
                                                                Comment
                                                                • usma1992
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                                  • 1405

                                                                  #312
                                                                  I am running my most agressive versions for College Football... I am reposting...

                                                                  both my initial analysis and now. The only two games I tossed was Tulane because they lost last two games and QB and Northern Illinois so far. You will have to do your own research and any feedback is appreciated. If a team has lost last two games... I am not betting them. If their starting QB is out... I will also not bet them.

                                                                  Before Lines

                                                                  NCAAF 2024Week17 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4 9 7
                                                                  Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET SPRD DIFFERENTIAL 11+ O/U DIFFERENTIAL 8+
                                                                  9:00 PM South Alabama 35 Western Michigan 20 55 10 59.5 0 0
                                                                  9:00 PM Memphis 40 West Virginia 23 63 5 55.5 Memphis OVER
                                                                  5:30 PM Western Kentucky 17 James Madison 33 50 -7.5 53.5 Home Minus 3* 0 0
                                                                  9:00 PM California 25 UNLV 24 49 3 51.5 0 0
                                                                  7:00 PM Georgia Southern 22 Sam Houston State 27 49 6 46.5 Home Plus 3* Sam Houston State 0
                                                                  12:00 PM Ohio 26 Jacksonville State 22 48 2.5 52 0 0
                                                                  3:30 PM Tulane 23 Florida 18 41 -13 51.5 Tulane 0
                                                                  8:00 PM Indiana 20 Notre Dame 20 40 -7.5 50.5 0 UNDER
                                                                  12:00 PM SMU 22 Penn State 28 50 -8.5 53 0 0
                                                                  12:00 PM Clemson 22 Texas 35 57 -11 51.5 0 0
                                                                  8:00 PM Tennessee 23 Ohio State 19 42 -7.5 47 Tennessee 0
                                                                  11:00 AM Coastal Carolina 24 UTSA 43 67 -7 59 UTSA OVER
                                                                  2:30 PM Northern Illinois 27 Fresno State 13 40 2.5 42 Northern Illinois 0
                                                                  8:00 PM South Florida 32 San Jose State 32 64 -3 62.5 0 0
                                                                  2:00 PM Pittsburgh 30 Toledo 22 52 9.5 51.5 0 0
                                                                  Dave
                                                                  MacktheTeach
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • usma1992
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-02-11
                                                                    • 1405

                                                                    #313
                                                                    5:30 PM Rutgers 22 Kansas State 28 50 -7 51.5 0 0
                                                                    9:00 PM Arkansas State 22 Bowling Green 31 53 -6.5 50 0 0
                                                                    3:30 PM Georgia Tech 30 Vanderbilt 14 44 3 52 Georgia Tech UNDER
                                                                    3:30 PM Oklahoma 24 Navy 28 52 8.5 44.5 Navy OVER
                                                                    7:00 PM Texas Tech 39 Arkansas 39 78 -2.5 59.5 Over 5* 0 OVER
                                                                    8:00 PM Syracuse 44 Washington State 27 71 7 61.5 Syracuse OVER
                                                                    10:30 PM Texas A&M 27 USC 29 56 2.5 51 0 0
                                                                    11:00 AM Connecticut 30 North Carolina 31 61 -3.5 54 0 0
                                                                    12:00 PM Boston College 17 Nebraska 24 41 -3.5 45.5 0 0
                                                                    2:15 PM Louisiana-Lafayett 23 TCU 31 54 -9.5 60.5 0 0
                                                                    3:30 PM Iowa State 26 Miami (Florida) 37 63 -2.5 55 0 OVER
                                                                    4:30 PM Miami (Ohio) 18 Colorado State 18 36 1.5 43.5 0 UNDER
                                                                    5:45 PM East Carolina 30 North Carolina Sta 26 56 -5 59.5 0 0
                                                                    7:30 PM BYU 22 Colorado 23 45 -1 53 0 UNDER
                                                                    9:15 PM Marshall 14 Army 34 48 -9.5 48 Army 0
                                                                    2:30 PM Iowa 11 Missouri 24 35 -2.5 41.5 Missouri 0
                                                                    12:00 PM Alabama 26 Michigan 7 33 11.5 43 0 0
                                                                    Dave
                                                                    MacktheTeach
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • usma1992
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-02-11
                                                                      • 1405

                                                                      #314
                                                                      2:00 PM Louisville 29 Washington 19 48 5 51.5 0 0
                                                                      3:00 PM South Carolina 30 Illinois 12 42 11.5 47.5 0 0
                                                                      3:30 PM Baylor 27 LSU 33 60 -3 61 0 0
                                                                      7:30 PM Duke 12 Mississippi 38 50 -11.5 54 Mississippi 0
                                                                      4:00 PM North Texas 33 Texas State 46 79 -7.5 68 0 OVER
                                                                      7:30 PM Minnesota 20 Virginia Tech 16 36 4.5 42.5 0 0
                                                                      11:00 AM Buffalo 23 Liberty 31 54 2.5 53 Liberty 0
                                                                      Dave
                                                                      MacktheTeach
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • usma1992
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-02-11
                                                                        • 1405

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Agressive with new lines 5-1 So Far...

                                                                        I am only posting games moving forward for this...

                                                                        NCAAF 2024Week17 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4 9 7
                                                                        Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET SPRD DIFFERENTIAL 11+ O/U DIFFERENTIAL 8+
                                                                        2:00 PM Pittsburgh 29 Toledo 23 52 7 50 0 0
                                                                        5:30 PM Rutgers 22 Kansas State 28 50 -7 50 0 0
                                                                        9:00 PM Arkansas State 22 Bowling Green 32 54 -8.5 53 0 0
                                                                        12:00 PM Oklahoma 21 Navy 29 50 3 43 Navy 0
                                                                        3:30 PM Georgia Tech 30 Vanderbilt 14 44 2.5 51.5 Georgia Tech UNDER
                                                                        7:00 PM Texas Tech 39 Arkansas 39 78 -1.5 51.5 Over 5* 0 OVER
                                                                        8:00 PM Syracuse 48 Washington State 24 72 16 59.5 0 OVER
                                                                        10:30 PM Texas A&M 27 USC 29 56 3.5 51.5 0 0
                                                                        11:00 AM Connecticut 30 North Carolina 31 61 -3 52.5 Over 3* 0 OVER
                                                                        12:00 PM Boston College 17 Nebraska 24 41 -3.5 45.5 0 0
                                                                        2:15 PM Louisiana-Lafayett 22 TCU 32 54 -12 58.5 0 0
                                                                        3:30 PM Iowa State 26 Miami (Florida) 37 63 -3.5 55.5 0 OVER
                                                                        4:30 PM Miami (Ohio) 18 Colorado State 17 35 3 40.5 0 0
                                                                        5:45 PM East Carolina 30 North Carolina Sta 26 56 -6 58.5 East Carolina 0
                                                                        7:30 PM BYU 21 Colorado 24 45 -4 54.5 Under 5* 0 UNDER
                                                                        Dave
                                                                        MacktheTeach
                                                                        Comment
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