Texas vs Michigan betting talk

**klemopixx** · 09-07-24, 08:31 AM

I'm going with the under 41.5 here. Michigan still has a very good defense and it doesn't look like the offense is gonna light it up after sleepwalking through that Fresno St gaame. I see a 13-10 kind of game.

**veriableodds** · 09-07-24, 08:51 AM

thoughts and some model#s for the game
-I have a hard time trusting a -7 fav even if the fav is 50 ranks better and shows value. These teams are way close than that
-Texas appears to have an 83% chance of winning at ML of -235
-Total spits 47/48 points. Does this mean value O41.5??
GL

**veriableodds** · 09-07-24, 09:13 AM

Andy you mentioned Wolverines may need more time. Why would this be the case, they get to shape, and mold players weeks b4 season starts??
Klem why do you think this is going to be a low scoring affair, albeit Michigan didn't really put many points up week1
Anyone here use game day math? what kind of stats are they saying

**Headsterx** · 09-07-24, 09:14 AM

I think Wolverines can win with the right QB, i.e., Orji but I think Warren is going to start and take most of the snaps. So Horns might win but they are playing at the Big House! Gotta still stick with Wolvie!

**SBR Andy** · 09-07-24, 09:17 AM

Originally posted by veriableodds

Andy you mentioned Wolverines may need more time. Why would this be the case, they get to shape, and mold players weeks b4 season starts??
Klem why do you think this is going to be a low scoring affair, albeit Michigan didn't really put many points up week1
Anyone here use game day math? what kind of stats are they saying

I just meant game reps to get up to top 5 caliber - new qb, etc. They definitely looked a little sluggish against Fresno. Maybe stiffer competition will elevate their play.

**SBR Andy** · 09-07-24, 09:32 AM

Available boosts for Tex/Mich:

DK mystery boost - I got 25%
FD 50% boost for any bet
Caesars 50% live boost

Taking a flyer on Tex 1st half / Mich full time with the DK 25% at +1500

**klemopixx** · 09-07-24, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by veriableodds

Andy you mentioned Wolverines may need more time. Why would this be the case, they get to shape, and mold players weeks b4 season starts??
Klem why do you think this is going to be a low scoring affair, albeit Michigan didn't really put many points up week1
Anyone here use game day math? what kind of stats are they saying

I'm going strictly with gut feeling here. If this game was in Texas I might feel differently but I just see this as a low scoring affair. They may go up and down the field all day but getting it in the end zone might be a different story. With big games like this being early in the season, both teams will keep it close to the vest and try to avoid mistakes. No analytics here.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 09-07-24, 09:55 AM

Feels like an overreaction to week 1...

Call me a sucker but I'll take Michigan +7-116 at home.

**SBR Andy** · 09-07-24, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

Feels like an overreaction to week 1...

Call me a sucker but I'll take Michigan +7-116 at home.

With such a low total, grabbing 7 points at home is definitely tempting.

**coop-dog** · 09-07-24, 10:06 AM

with such a low total i think this will be like 28 to 3 texas win

**stevenash** · 09-07-24, 10:09 AM

Texas is my play of the day.
Nash 2024 NCAA (F) - Page 2 (sportsbookreview.com)

**jimminn** · 09-07-24, 10:13 AM

I think Texas will win by at least 10 points .

**Itsamazing777** · 09-07-24, 10:19 AM

Michigan Ml

**Headsterx** · 09-07-24, 10:29 AM

Michigan Money vs. Ranked Teams

The #10 Michigan Wolverines have been money when they take on ranked opponents.

The defending national champs were 5-0 ATS against ranked teams last year, and have covered 7 of their last 8 games against ranked opponents over the last 2 seasons. For tomorrow’s game versus the #3 Texas Longhorns, the Wolverines have been installed as 7.5-point home underdogs.

Despite Michigan’s success against quality opponents, 65% of early bets are backing the Longhorns.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-07-24, 10:56 AM

I like Texas by double digits. Losing Harbaugh is a huge loss for Meat Chicken.

**SomeDayinBuffalo** · 09-07-24, 11:09 AM

I went with Texas -6.5

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-07-24, 11:18 AM

Michigans defensive line is beastly…

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-07-24, 11:22 AM

That’s a horrible holding call. That was a pancake block. Home field advantage for UM, saves them 7 points. Missed Texas FG.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-07-24, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by jimminn

I think Texas will win by at least 10 points .

Both defenses are similar… BUT, Texas offense is much better than Michigan. This game could get ugly early.

**SBR Andy** · 09-07-24, 12:14 PM

The route may be on here...

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-07-24, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by SBR Andy

The route may be on here...

Ya, I'm giving up on em. TEX has some holes. But Mich is not the team.

Makes sense, I think. Harbaugh left town. Moore could be fired, and program could be on probation.

**stevenash** · 09-07-24, 12:31 PM

That Michigan offense is like an American cheese sandwich on Wonder bread with mayo.

**bjb7223** · 09-07-24, 12:41 PM

total mismatch here

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-07-24, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by bjb7223

total mismatch here

Now you tell us.

**homie1975** · 09-07-24, 12:46 PM

karma for the cheating.

**unde0087** · 09-07-24, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

That Michigan offense is like an American cheese sandwich on Wonder bread with mayo.

Big 10 getting embarrassed today. Today is a perfect example of how much Big 10 is overrated and thrown into all these top rankings. You got Michigan, who isn't even in the same league as Texas, and Penn St who is getting handled by powerhouse Bowling Green.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-07-24, 01:25 PM

Props to TX bettors.

*Nice prep job by the MICH coach. Awful.

**stevenash** · 09-07-24, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Props to TX bettors.

*Nice prep job by the MICH coach. Awful.

What was the game plan exactly?

**Headsterx** · 09-07-24, 01:27 PM

How can a coach be so stupid. It’s time to take out Warren but it might be too lat anyway. 😡

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-07-24, 01:35 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

What was the game plan exactly?

Honestly, not sure they had many options. Because the QB Oriji looked so bad last week.

Only hope was to root out Texas' Def Tackles and win a close game with the kicker.

Will say that MICH defense was supposed to be good. Where are those All-Americans?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-07-24, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

How can a coach be so stupid. It’s time to take out Warren but it might be too lat anyway. 

It's a mess. Most analysts would have said that MICH could get to 10-2 and make the playoff.

Now, MICH will be a Home Dog vs USC in two weeks. This team sucks.

**SomeDayinBuffalo** · 09-07-24, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

How can a coach be so stupid. It’s time to take out Warren but it might be too lat anyway. 

It's the players. TX has better players this year. We all knew that before the game.

**Headsterx** · 09-07-24, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

It's a mess. Most analysts would have said that MICH could get to 10-2 and make the playoff.

Now, MICH will be a Home Dog vs USC in two weeks. This team sucks.

They’ll be dogs against everyone now. 🤣

**Headsterx** · 09-07-24, 02:31 PM

I almost that that was Oprah behind Texas coach during interview. 🤣