Georgia -11.5 , how does this not hit?

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  • 94dc4
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-01-19
    • 177

    #1
    Georgia -11.5 , how does this not hit?
    This morning(Saturday line is at -11.5). At -13.5 earlier this week I LOVED IT. Ha.
    I bought it down to -12.5 in 2 seperate parlays. If Miami hurricanes moneyline(this one I’m a little nervous about) hits and Georgia -12.5 hits I’m in for 2 $10k+ wins.

    what am missing with a Clemson that’s a shell of themselves and Georgia, well, a monster?! I could see Georgia winning by 3 tuds+

    I don’t know how not to hammer this one by itself!
  • Thefix13
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-14-21
    • 664

    #2
    Famous last words
    Comment
    • johnnyvegas13
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 05-21-15
      • 27897

      #3
      Anyone like the under ???

      two years ago they met week one it was 10-3 game
      Comment
      • 94dc4
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-01-19
        • 177

        #4
        Originally posted by Thefix13
        Famous last words
        lol exactly, more importantly I don’t want to triple down with the line moving the wrong way for “whatever reason”.
        Comment
        • 94dc4
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-01-19
          • 177

          #5
          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
          Anyone like the under ???

          two years ago they met week one it was 10-3 game
          They torched me a couple times last year thinking under. Bobo calls a more aggressive offense now it seems and Kirby lets him. Clemson defense isn’t what it used to be. I’d be nervous of it.
          Comment
          • Headsterx
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-03-16
            • 23003

            #6
            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
            Anyone like the under ???

            two years ago they met week one it was 10-3 game
            Liking that u48.5. Yeah, they’ll playing indoor but both offense is resetting. Bulldogs most likely not playing RB Etienne with that DUI. Both teams strength is the defense so under looking good.
            Comment
            • unde0087
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-27-08
              • 28952

              #7
              If you can see them winning by 3 tds why are you buying the line down? Makes zero sense plus buying down to 12.5 makes even less sense if you ask me. But what do I know, I don't buy points.
              Comment
              • actiondan
                SBR MVP
                • 10-16-10
                • 3441

                #8
                georgia all dsy. and georgia team total over.
                Comment
                • 94dc4
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-01-19
                  • 177

                  #9
                  Originally posted by unde0087
                  If you can see them winning by 3 tds why are you buying the line down? Makes zero sense plus buying down to 12.5 makes even less sense if you ask me. But what do I know, I don't buy points.
                  When I say I could see it, I say it as in it wouldn’t shock me at all. I’ve bought from a 2TD spread to a TD and two field goal spread many times. It’s something I’ve personally had success with. I profited ~ $150k last football season. Maybe not as much as you but sometimes I buy points.
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27897

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Headsterx
                    Liking that u48.5. Yeah, they’ll playing indoor but both offense is resetting. Bulldogs most likely not playing RB Etienne with that DUI. Both teams strength is the defense so under looking good.
                    Thx I’ll prob take under here
                    Comment
                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-15-10
                      • 7719

                      #11
                      I'm right with you on Georgia, 11.5 looks good.
                      Comment
                      • johnnyvegas13
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 05-21-15
                        • 27897

                        #12
                        Seems like Georgia and under r the consensus here

                        i could see a 30-10 type game here
                        Comment
                        • 94dc4
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-01-19
                          • 177

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Headsterx
                          Liking that u48.5. Yeah, they’ll playing indoor but both offense is resetting. Bulldogs most likely not playing RB Etienne with that DUI. Both teams strength is the defense so under looking good.
                          Georgia averaged 40 points per game last year. Clemson D isn’t anything like it was under venebils. Under in play because Clemson offense has been shit
                          Comment
                          • johnnyvegas13
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 05-21-15
                            • 27897

                            #14
                            Maybe Clemson team total under is the play

                            what’s that number ?
                            Comment
                            • unde0087
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-27-08
                              • 28952

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 94dc4
                              When I say I could see it, I say it as in it wouldn’t shock me at all. I’ve bought from a 2TD spread to a TD and two field goal spread many times. It’s something I’ve personally had success with. I profited ~ $150k last football season. Maybe not as much as you but sometimes I buy points.
                              You do you guy, I just have just watched posters post plays over the years they have so much confidence in only to buy a half point when they are talking about a route. Always chuckled about it. Good luck today.
                              Comment
                              • DonnieBrasco23
                                Benched
                                • 11-06-23
                                • 1137

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 94dc4
                                When I say I could see it, I say it as in it wouldn’t shock me at all. I’ve bought from a 2TD spread to a TD and two field goal spread many times. It’s something I’ve personally had success with. I profited ~ $150k last football season. Maybe not as much as you but sometimes I buy points.
                                Where did you play your parlays ? Would love to see an actual ticket of one of those parlays since you are claiming large amounts. We are on the same side with Miami ML, I have a large bet and have posted my 15.5 ticket multiple times at this forum.
                                Comment
                                • 94dc4
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-01-19
                                  • 177

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by unde0087
                                  You do you guy, I just have just watched posters post plays over the years they have so much confidence in only to buy a half point when they are talking about a route. Always chuckled about it. Good luck today.
                                  Haha I hear ya. I don’t expect a route, especially week 1 so much unknown(Wisconsin las night almost crushing my super teaser)but if a gun was to my head I’d choose Georgia by 3 tds before I chose Clemson to win. The 13.5 to 12.5 buy here is a last possession FG where Kirby doesn’t try to go score a TD. He’s a masterful clock manager, I’d hate to lose because of that. I’d rather give up idk $100 on the win than lose my $1k parlay haha.
                                  Comment
                                  • DonnieBrasco23
                                    Benched
                                    • 11-06-23
                                    • 1137

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by unde0087
                                    You do you guy, I just have just watched posters post plays over the years they have so much confidence in only to buy a half point when they are talking about a route. Always chuckled about it. Good luck today.
                                    I’d sell a half point back to the bookmaker any fuckin’ day rather than buy for a low juice or +EV payout.
                                    Comment
                                    • 94dc4
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 08-01-19
                                      • 177

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by DonnieBrasco23
                                      Where did you play your parlays ? Would love to see an actual ticket of one of those parlays since you are claiming large amounts. We are on the same side with Miami ML, I have a large bet and have posted my 15.5 ticket multiple times at this forum.
                                      heritage mostly and bookmaker. Heritage for buying points and teasers. Embarrassingly, how do I post pics?
                                      Comment
                                      • unde0087
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-27-08
                                        • 28952

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DonnieBrasco23
                                        I’d sell a half point back to the bookmaker any fuckin’ day rather than buy for a low juice or +EV payout.
                                        Oh ya, I do it all the time especially on baseball totals. When I love an over and the 8.5 is -120 I will take 9 or 9.5.
                                        Comment
                                        • DonnieBrasco23
                                          Benched
                                          • 11-06-23
                                          • 1137

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 94dc4
                                          heritage mostly and bookmaker. Heritage for buying points and teasers. Embarrassingly, how do I post pics?
                                          Provides free image upload and hosting integration for forums. Free picture hosting and photo sharing for websites and blogs.
                                          Comment
                                          • Eddy Munny
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-13-13
                                            • 15767

                                            #22
                                            I like the Hokies more. Not touching Dawgs/Tigers.
                                            Comment
                                            • 94dc4
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-01-19
                                              • 177

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DonnieBrasco23
                                              Hope this works

                                              Comment
                                              • 94dc4
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-01-19
                                                • 177

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by 94dc4
                                                Hope this works


                                                and yes I am counting the others big chalks winners lol
                                                Comment
                                                • 94dc4
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-01-19
                                                  • 177

                                                  #25
                                                  Thursday night flyer
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DonnieBrasco23
                                                    Benched
                                                    • 11-06-23
                                                    • 1137

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by 94dc4
                                                    Hope this works

                                                    Good shit I appreciate you posting that, and I won’t question you anymore, good luck !
                                                    Comment
                                                    • veriableodds
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-22-17
                                                      • 5093

                                                      #27
                                                      I think Oklahoma state has a far better chance of covering 10 than GA
                                                      GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 94dc4
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-01-19
                                                        • 177

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by DonnieBrasco23
                                                        Good shit I appreciate you posting that, and I won’t question you anymore, good luck !
                                                        haha thanks. I’m not one of those guys, if I lose I’m cool admitting it! Where’s your ticket posted?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DonnieBrasco23
                                                          Benched
                                                          • 11-06-23
                                                          • 1137

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by 94dc4
                                                          haha thanks. I’m not one of those guys, if I lose I’m cool admitting it! Where’s your ticket posted?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 94dc4
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 08-01-19
                                                            • 177

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by DonnieBrasco23
                                                            okaayyyyy
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 05-21-15
                                                              • 27897

                                                              #31
                                                              I might actually tail Donny on that later
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DonnieBrasco23
                                                                Benched
                                                                • 11-06-23
                                                                • 1137

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                                I might actually tail Donny on that later
                                                                Don’t you fuckin’ dare tail me today Johnny LMFAO
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevenash
                                                                  Moderator
                                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                                  • 65566

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                                  Anyone like the under ???

                                                                  two years ago they met week one it was 10-3 game
                                                                  Unless it's Army-Navy last season's results have no bearing on this year's game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • johnnyvegas13
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 05-21-15
                                                                    • 27897

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                    Unless it's Army-Navy last season's results have no bearing on this year's game.
                                                                    Ur right Nash

                                                                    I just couldn’t help but notice how low it was 10-3
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48383

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by veriableodds
                                                                      I think Oklahoma state has a far better chance of covering 10 than GA
                                                                      GL
                                                                      I actually love SD state. I’m taking them ML

                                                                      I also love UF in the swamp. GL on everyone’s bets today.
                                                                      Comment
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