REMAINDER of 2024 all sports all plays, and high volume

[veriableodds]

What's lal/mlw O205?

TYPO lal/mnn/over 205. Just rechecked the line it has moved out 1.5 points. GL

[veriableodds]

2-1-1/ +0.35u
ytd/ 520-559-23/ -2.27u

4/26
NHL
mnn/+133

NBA
hou/gsw/O204/-108

MLB
det/-119
clv/-108
sdp/-132
mlw/stl/O7/-120
plays=6
risk=1.50u

[veriableodds]

3-3/ -0.10
ytd/ 523-562-23/ -2.37u * Forgot clv, det both had double headers. I bet the first games; you can tell by the line + my picks under the sport are all in time order except for the totals. Will list in future my bad.

4/27
PGA WINNER odds ZURICH TPC
a novak/ b griffin @-110/ 0.60.u-r

NHL
stl/+118
nj/+155

NBA
orl/+6.5/-108

MLB
kc/+119
sfg/-125
sdp/-115
cbs/+102
plays=8
risk=2.35u
*update Monday morning

[veriableodds]

3-5/ -0.20u
ytd/ 526-567-23/ -2.57u

4/28
NHL
dll/+127

NBA
hou/gsw/O202/-108

MLB
wsh/+145
cld/+160
plays=4
risk=1.00u

[veriableodds]

2-2/ +0.05u
ytd/ 528-569-23/ -2.52u

4/29
NBA
dnv/ml/+115

MLB
tor/+140
sdp/+113
sea/-165
plays=4
risk=1.0u

[veriableodds]

3-1/ +0.47u
ytd/ 531-570-23/ -2.05u

4/30
NBA
gsw/hou/O206/+114/*alt line

MLB
clv/+117
cncy/-117
tor/+107
nym/+100
plays=5
risk=1.25u

[veriableodds]

3-2/ +0.35u
ytd/ 534-572-23/ -1.70u

Thats all she wrote for me here. GL GUYS

[ChuckyTheGoat]

3-2/ +0.35u
ytd/ 534-572-23/ -1.70u

Thats all she wrote for me here. GL GUYS

Big effort, Veri. GL.

[veriableodds]

CONTINUED here. Starting a new one is fruitless, and unnecessary. Just weekend action only(sat, sun), mix all sports in one. Few changes to rules here. Will update record the following weekend
-home teams only
-money line wagers no spreads but there are a few exceptions
-value is based of winning% + payout. Nothing under 105. Risk/unit is the % chance of winning
current record for this thread
534-572-23/ -1.70u

9/14 *formula right of play to show how value is perceived
MLB
atl/0.48u-r/+122 /48% + +122=106.56
kc/phi/U9/0.55u/-110 /55% + -110=105

NFL
Cincinnati/0.708/-180 /70.8% + -180=110.44
AZ/0.829/-285 /82.9% + -285=111.9
KC/0.50/alt line@-2 /+121 *exception line / /50% + +121=110.5/ model shows kc 51.7% regardless
5 plays risk of 3.067u

[veriableodds]

kc/phi MLB model showing 7.78 runs for game so there we go

[veriableodds]

last week/ 3-2/ +0.223
record/537-574-23/-1.477u
*Formula right of play to show how value is perceived
NFL
1.Buffalo/*exception play*/*alt line* -6/-230 /0.75u-r/ (75% + -230) =107.3.. str8 up buffalo is 88.2%
2.Washington/0.70-ur/-155/ (70% + -155) =115.5
3.Minnesota/0.74/-155/ (74% + -155) =122.1
4.Philidelphia/0.678/-180/ (67.8% + -180) =106.00
5.Atl/Car/0.55-ur/OV.43.5/-110//58% chance model shows 3.6 point ADV
6.Dll/Chi/0.55/UN.51/-110/59% chance model shows 4.6 point ADV

NCAAF
7.rice/49ers/0.55/OV42.5/models shows 5.5 point ADV
8.Oklahoma state/0.857/-370/ (85.7% + -370) =108.83
9.FIU panthers/0.73/-215/ (73% + -215) =107.4
10.Missouri/0.841/-350/ (84.1% + -350) =108.48
11.Ar st/kennesaw st/0.55/UN.57.5/-110/ model shows 5.5 point ADV
*Update next week
11 plays risking 7.496u