(Plays 7/8 - 7/14)

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Beg BAL: 143.26 (ytd: +43.26)

Pending plays = A few Soccer plays...plus Future plays on NFL/CollFB.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: -2/2. FRA scores early but loses.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

(wnba) Wash/IND: Over 169 1.93: 1 to win .93

[ChuckyTheGoat]

(Euro) ENG pk 1.80 (vs NED): 1 to .80.

...2nd unit on ENG pk 1.86: 1 to win .86.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: -2/2. FRA scores early but loses.

Day: +2.59/3. Total goes Over. ENG wins.
Week: +0.59/5

[ChuckyTheGoat]

(wta) 2* Rybakina -4.5 games 1.89: 2 to win 1.78.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

(wta) 2* Rybakina -4.5 games 1.89: 2 to win 1.78.

3rd unit: Ryba -4.5 games 1.93: 1 to win .93

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: +2.59/3. Total goes Over. ENG wins.
Week: +0.59/5

Day: -3/3. Ryba loses.
Week: -2.41

[ChuckyTheGoat]

(atp) DJOKOVIC -2.5 sets 1.91: 1 to win .91

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: -3/3. Ryba loses.
Week: -2.41

Day: +.91/1
Week: -1.50

[ChuckyTheGoat]

One Future I played:

ATP Olympics Winner: Sinner 3.97: 1 to win 2.97

My logic ties to a few things:
1) Recency bias. Alcaraz now on fire. Very easy to back him.
2) Nadal is priced competitively. I believe that he's way past it.
3) Djokovic is an animal. But he has an injury issue. I don't expect him to be his best.
4) Clay is viewed as the best surface for Alcaraz. Sinner showed me has the talent to match him.
5) Key for me = Best of 3 Sets. Alcaraz has shown to have great conditioning. He beat both Sinner + Zverev in Paris in five sets after coming back from 2-1 down. Best of 3 = more equal footing.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

(Bask) 1* Argentina +3 1.94 (vs So Sudan): 1 to win .94
...Not a lot of information on this game.
...Line value looks good to me.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Day: +.91/1
Week: -1.50

Day: +.94/1. ARG wins.
Week: -0.56

Ending BAL = 142.70 (+42.70 ytd)