MLB play I like tonight

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65590

    #1
    MLB play I like tonight
    I'm a tad late posting this, sorry, first pitch in a little over a half hour.

    No time to break this down, but I really like this matchup.

    Detroit @ LA Angels
    Run line (-1.5 runs) +110

    I'm riding with the Motor City Madmen.

    Detroit 2* +110
  • pologq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-07-12
    • 19899

    #2
    flaherty is really on the ball this year. good luck.
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65590

      #3
      Originally posted by pologq
      flaherty is really on the ball this year. good luck.
      Thanks for that.

      Freaking Tigers are really starting to annoy me now.
      All they could manage so far is three scratch hits off of this hamburger.
      Comment
      • veriableodds
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-22-17
        • 5093

        #4
        28% of all MLB games end in 1 run decisions.
        Comment
        • ThaTopMoron
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-30-10
          • 27020

          #5
          Originally posted by stevenash
          Thanks for that.

          Freaking Tigers are really starting to annoy me now.
          All they could manage so far is three scratch hits off of this hamburger.
          Tigers are on my DNB list unless it's against them

          the offense is ATROCIOUS

          they won a game v the Phillies so I auto-bet the Phillies following game which was -1.5 yesterday... it won 6-2 final tigers first batter of the game hit a homer and then going into the bottom of the 9th they were down 6-1 and had 2 total hits
          Comment
          • veriableodds
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-22-17
            • 5093

            #6
            Originally posted by veriableodds
            28% of all MLB games end in 1 run decisions.

            Continued Dogs win 37% of the time
            37 + 28 = 65
            good luck trying to hit a 35% gap, it's a mathematical nightmare
            Comment
            • 19th Hole
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-22-09
              • 18952

              #7
              Originally posted by veriableodds
              28% of all MLB games end in 1 run decisions.
              Originally posted by veriableodds
              Continued Dogs win 37% of the time37 + 28 = 65 good luck trying to hit a 35% gap, it's a mathematical nightmare
              ----
              Veri--
              Thank you for the numbers.
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65590

                #8
                I understand a quarter of all games end up in a one run decision, primarily because of that ridiculous 'ghost runner' extra inning rule.

                To TTM's post, I understand the Detroit's offense is the furthest thing from the 1927 Yankees, however if you compare Detroit's line up to the LAA lineup, then yeah, it's like the 1927 Yankees.

                Then when I factored in the starting pitchers, Flaherty looks like Cy Young against LA's starting meatball.
                I wasn't laying the -140, the +110 was enticing.

                Thus, the wager.

                Like the great INXS song says, "Sometimes you kick, sometimes you get kicked.





                Comment
                • pologq
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-07-12
                  • 19899

                  #9
                  yep. flaherty was hard to resist in that spot. anaheim is tough to predict.
                  Comment
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