In search of (50%) Winners

[Math]

Recently retired, ready to document my Program plays.

Sunday June 16


Cardinals -1 (+140)

Washington -1 (+125)

Colorado -1 (+175)

Redsox Over 10 (+130)

Risking one unit ($100) on each



Mr. Math

[Headsterx]

Tailing theses but took Nats -1.5. Hopefully, I’m not being too greedy.

[Math]

Best of luck to you

I'll be documenting plays from my program as I head into retirement. More as we move along.

Mr. Math

[Math]

While the goal of this journey (The MF Fund) will be (50.00%) Winners, the breakeven point will be around (42.1%) Winners, making this a very low risk investment vehicle. The MF stands for (Mathematics and Finance).

More as we journey along.

Mr. Math

[ChuckyTheGoat]

While the goal of this journey (The MF Fund) will be (50.00%) Winners, the breakeven point will be around (42.1%) Winners, making this a very low risk investment vehicle. The MF stands for (Mathematics and Finance).

More as we journey along.

Mr. Math

Looks like you're playing Dog prices. If you can approach 50%, you'll be well to the Good. Good Luck.

[TheGoldenGoose]

Congrats on your retirement. On straight 110 to 100 you’d need to hit 50.5% but dogs can get you + money at 45%. Concentrate on Return On Investment and you’ll never get into any trouble. It’s a hobby. Treat it as a hobby. ROI. Keep your eyes on the prize. ROI.

[Math]

I've got a detailed business plan for this and ill go into it more later. Have family coming for Father's Day.

Happy Father's Day to everyone


Mr. Math

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I've got a detailed business plan for this and ill go into it more later. Have family coming for Father's Day.

Happy Father's Day to everyone


Mr. Math

You backing the PADRES today?

[Math]

No sir, nothing on that game. But good luck if your backing them.

I'll invest in nothing under a (+120) payback.

My average payback should be (+137) or very close to that.

I'm looking at sports betting as a market and if you can find a way to harness (randomness, variance and probability), making them work as an advantage and not disadvantage, you can make an extreme amount of money.



Mr. Math

[stevenash]

^
I like the way you think.
Pay attention to the props markets, if you put in the work, you'll find some soft numbers you can exploit.

[veriableodds]

This is a low-risk venture for sure. Great idea. Key stats are in % that the individual pick has, instead of blind dog wagering. You will go far GL GL

[Math]

MF Fund
1-1 (+0.25 units)
Risking one unit on each

Pending for Father's Day

Redsox Over 10 (+130)

Adding Sunday night

North Carolina (+140) CWS


Risking one unit on each


Guys we had a Push on the Cardinals -1
I'll drop that from the record.


Mr. Math

[ChuckyTheGoat]

MF Fund
1-1 (+0.25 units)
Risking one unit on each

Pending for Father's Day

Redsox Over 10 (+130)

Adding Sunday night

North Carolina (+140) CWS


Risking one unit on each


Guys we had a Push on the Cardinals -1
I'll drop that from the record.


Mr. Math

Giddyup, Math. Have a great day.

[Math]

Thanks, I should not have added North Carolina but at least Day #1 will be profitable.


Mr. Math

[Math]

M&F Fund
(2-2) (+0.55 units)
Risking one unit on each

Monday June 17


Florida -1.5 (+120) Draftkings

Risking one unit


Remainder of today's card later


Mr. Math

[Math]

Here we go guys, Day 2 of running my side hustle retirement Fund, based on Mathematics and Financials.


M&F Fund
(2-2) (+0.55 units) (+$55)
Risking one unit ($100) on each

Plays for Monday June 17

Florida -1.5 (+120) CWS

Cardinals TT Over 4.5 (+125)

Texas Over 9.5 (+150)

Milwaukee -1.5 (+145)


Risking one unit ($100) on each


Good luck guys

Mr. Math

[Math]

Here are a couple of projections for my Fund on things I can control.

120 plays per month
No payback under (+120) on any wager
(+137) avg payback on wins

Those things I can almost fully control.

The thing I cannot control is the win percentage but here are some points to ponder.

(40%) Winners
Just stay over this amount and your losses will be small.

(42.10%)
This should be the breakeven point. Anything over this mark will be profitable.

(45.80%) Winners
At this point, you should be right on the (10%) ROI mark.

(50%) Winners
This would be the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow number. Creating your own ATM machine.


So as you can see, this will be a very low risk investment vehicle. And thats where you should start, Low Risk.

More later
Have a good day gentlemen


Mr. Math

[DonnieBrasco23]

Here are a couple of projections for my Fund on things I can control.

120 plays per month
No payback under (+120) on any wager
(+137) avg payback on wins

Those things I can almost fully control.

The thing I cannot control is the win percentage but here are some points to ponder.

(40%) Winners
Just stay over this amount and your losses will be small.

(42.10%)
This should be the breakeven point. Anything over this mark will be profitable.

(45.80%) Winners
At this point, you should be right on the (10%) ROI mark.

(50%) Winners
This would be the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow number. Creating your own ATM machine.


So as you can see, this will be a very low risk investment vehicle. And thats where you should start, Low Risk.

More later
Have a good day gentlemen


Mr. Math

I won’t name any names, but there’s a poster on here who claims to bet an average price of +160 and wins around a 56% clip with zero forum tracking. Your investment projections are a lot more realistic and I like the fact you created a thread to show us your documented results.

[Math]

I make no claims, it is what it is.

But I have put a plan in place and we shall see. I seriously doubt anyone can hit even 50% against a (+137) line over a large volume of plays.

My expectations and what I'm hoping for is the (45.90%) Winners that will carry the (10%) ROI.

My investment plan has a very high floor. I know if I stay above 40% Winners, ill incur very little in the way of losses. The 50% mark is the pie in the sky number.

But let me add one more thing.

There will be very few (4-0) days or (0-4) days. I'm saying few. The majority of days will be either (2-2) or (1-3) or (3-1).

(2-2) days will yield an average of ($74) in profits

(3-1) days will yield an average of ($311) in profits

(1-3) days will yield an average of ($163) in losses

Pretty good numbers on Average


Mr. Math

[Headsterx]

Here we go guys, Day 2 of running my side hustle retirement Fund, based on Mathematics and Financials.


M&F Fund
(2-2) (+0.55 units) (+$55)
Risking one unit ($100) on each

Plays for Monday June 17

Florida -1.5 (+120) CWS

Cardinals TT Over 4.5 (+125)

Texas Over 9.5 (+150)

Milwaukee -1.5 (+145)


Risking one unit ($100) on each


Good luck guys

Mr. Math

Love it when we're on the same page. Tailing these and also got Cardinals -150.

[Headsterx]

Well, except for college WS. Don't know anything about so gotta lay off it but good luck on it.

[Math]

Well good luck and I'm glad u didn't play Florida runline, they won but not by 2.


Mr. Math

[Math]

Day 2 ends with a profit.


M&F Fund
(4-4) (+1.30 units) (+$130)
Risking one unit ($100) on each


Tuesday June 18

Baltimore -1 (+170)

Royals -1.5 (+130)

Risking one unit ($100) on each


I will be adding 2 more plays to the card for Tuesday.


Mr. Math

[Math]

Here is the current card for Tuesday June 18

Baltimore -1 (+170)

Royals -1.5 (+130)

Cubs -1 (+135)

Risking one unit ($100) on each


There will be one final addition later today.


Mr. Math

[Headsterx]

Tailing these again. Royals are 2nd favorite pick today. Cards -150 #1 pick.

Mets 6W and Twins 5W streaks. A’s 9L… lol

[Math]

Agree, cards moneyline was my highest rated play yesterday and today but for the Fund, I must get a minimum of (+120) return on each.


Good luck


Mr. Math

[Math]

Alright guys, heading into Day #3 of my Mathematical and Financial Fund.


Here is the final rundown.


M&F Fund
(4-4) (+1.30 units) (+$130)
Risking one unit ($100) on each


Tuesday June 18 (Day 3)

Baltimore -1 (+170)

Royals -1.5 (+130)

Cubs -1 (+135)

Edmonton (+120) NHL


Risking one unit ($100) on each



Mr. Math

[Math]

Nice little profitable Day 3 for my retirement Fund.


M&F Fund
(6-6) (+1.85 units) (+$185)
(50.00%) Winners
(+131) avg payback
Risking one unit ($100) on each


Wednesday June 19 (Day 4)

Arizona Over 10.5 (+140)

Seattle -1 (+155)

Mets -1.5 (+150)

Angels (+140) Moneyline


Risking one unit ($100) on each



Mr. Math

[Math]

Trying to get to 4 profitable days to start the Fund.

Fund price

15 June (0.00)
16 June (0.55)
17 June (1.30)
18 June (1.85)

Price at the days close.


Anybody here wager on Golf. I'll have at least 2 tournament wagers tomorrow for The Travelers Championship.


Mr. Math

[Math]

0-4 day on Wednesday

Fund (6-10) (-2.15 units) (-$215)


Need to look at things, small loss thus far.

Mr. Math

[Tanko]

0-4 day on Wednesday

Fund (6-10) (-2.15 units) (-$215)


Need to look at things, small loss thus far.

Mr. Math

GL Math.... Keep banging away.
Quietly following.

[JohnGalt2341]

Here are a couple of projections for my Fund on things I can control.

120 plays per month
No payback under (+120) on any wager
(+137) avg payback on wins

Those things I can almost fully control.

The thing I cannot control is the win percentage but here are some points to ponder.

(40%) Winners
Just stay over this amount and your losses will be small.

(42.10%)
This should be the breakeven point. Anything over this mark will be profitable.

(45.80%) Winners
At this point, you should be right on the (10%) ROI mark.

(50%) Winners
This would be the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow number. Creating your own ATM machine.


So as you can see, this will be a very low risk investment vehicle. And thats where you should start, Low Risk.

More later
Have a good day gentlemen


Mr. Math

Just curious, how long have you been betting on sports? The reason I ask is because hitting 50% at an average price of +137 is a rather lofty goal. If you can hit 45.8% at this price, you will be better than 99.99%(you could probably even add a few more 9's) of all sports bettors.

Good luck to you!

[kyhawk]

Good luck.

I make the over and under 30 days -110, for you to continue posting.

-200 is the fav number if you are still here come NFL kickoff.

[Headsterx]

Look at these picks for consideration. I'm going with these:

Nationals -1.5 (+140)
White Sox +148
A's +131
Orioles +127