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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37056

    #1
    (Plays 6/9 - 6/15)
    (WNBA) 1* Ind/Conn - UND 159 (1.92): 1 to win .92.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • veriableodds
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-17
    • 5093

    #2
    Like the play Chuck. I had a few overs last week -wnba- on games model #'s had way more chance of hitting than these type matchups. Got crushed it was pathetic. Was glancing at the under team total points for IND as CNN should shut them down, unfortunate the books are not giving much. Think you have a great chance here Chuck. GL
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 37056

      #3
      Originally posted by veriableodds
      Like the play Chuck. I had a few overs last week -wnba- on games model #'s had way more chance of hitting than these type matchups. Got crushed it was pathetic. Was glancing at the under team total points for IND as CNN should shut them down, unfortunate the books are not giving much. Think you have a great chance here Chuck. GL
      Thx, veri.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37056

        #4
        Ending Balance = 144.40 (+44.40 ytd)

        Day: 0-1
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37056

          #5
          (ATP) 1* Mannarino -1.5 Sets (1.89) (vs Napolitano): 1 to win .89.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 37056

            #6
            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
            Ending Balance = 144.40 (+44.40 ytd)

            Day: 0-1
            Day: 0-1.
            Week: 0-2. Mini-slump again.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37056

              #7
              (MLB) St Louis Cardinals -1.5 2.25: 1 to win 1.25
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • veriableodds
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-22-17
                • 5093

                #8
                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                (MLB) St Louis Cardinals -1.5 2.25: 1 to win 1.25
                GL today Chuck
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37056

                  #9
                  Originally posted by veriableodds
                  GL today Chuck
                  Veri, your good karma worked! Cards win by 2.

                  Day: 1-0.
                  Week: 1-2. Glad I stayed away from the Mavs. Was tempted.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • veriableodds
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-22-17
                    • 5093

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                    Veri, your good karma worked! Cards win by 2.

                    Day: 1-0.
                    Week: 1-2. Glad I stayed away from the Mavs. Was tempted.
                    Damn Chuck that's one crazy bet but a great payout.
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-04-11
                      • 37056

                      #11
                      (WNBA) IND Fever +3 1.94: 1 to win .94.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-04-11
                        • 37056

                        #12
                        (NBA) 2* DALL Mavs (gm4) +1.5 1.84: 2 to win 1.68.

                        ...Contrarian logic. Mavs opened +1.5 last game, flipped to -2.5 on the Porzingis news.
                        ...They've looked so bad. Now, they're very hard to back. Especially since they have their airline tickets booked.
                        ...The Porzingis injury report is pretty serious. He's 90% done for the series.
                        ...Against my better judgment, I'm relying on Kidd to make rotation changes. Kleber/Hardaway were blanks again last game. Maybe the assistants point this out to the Head Coach.
                        ...Gafford/Lively were efficient from the floor. I don't know, might be a good strategy to use them (especially when the opponent's 7'3" guy is out). Plus, Mazzulla doesn't even bother to play Kornet nowadays.
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37056

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                          (NBA) 2* DALL Mavs (gm4) +1.5 1.84: 2 to win 1.68.

                          ...Contrarian logic. Mavs opened +1.5 last game, flipped to -2.5 on the Porzingis news.
                          ...They've looked so bad. Now, they're very hard to back. Especially since they have their airline tickets booked.
                          ...The Porzingis injury report is pretty serious. He's 90% done for the series.
                          ...Against my better judgment, I'm relying on Kidd to make rotation changes. Kleber/Hardaway were blanks again last game. Maybe the assistants point this out to the Head Coach.
                          ...Gafford/Lively were efficient from the floor. I don't know, might be a good strategy to use them (especially when the opponent's 7'3" guy is out). Plus, Mazzulla doesn't even bother to play Kornet nowadays.
                          Adding a 3rd unit: +1.5 1.89: 1 to win .89.
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37056

                            #14
                            (Euro) 1* Germ/Scot - UND 3 1.70: 1 to win .70
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-04-11
                              • 37056

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                              (Euro) 1* Germ/Scot - UND 3 1.70: 1 to win .70
                              2nd unit 1.76: 1 to win .76.
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 37056

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                (WNBA) IND Fever +3 1.94: 1 to win .94.
                                Day: 1-0.
                                Week: 2-2. Back to the +$ for the week. Couple plays Pending.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 37056

                                  #17
                                  (ATP) Raonic +3.5 games 2.30 (vs DeMinaur): 1 to win 1.30.
                                  ...Big server. Can get to Tie-breaks hopefully.
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37056

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                    2nd unit 1.76: 1 to win .76.
                                    3rd unit: Germ/Scot UND 2.5 (2.12): 1 to win 1.12.
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 37056

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      Day: 1-0.
                                      Week: 2-2. Back to the +$ for the week. Couple plays Pending.
                                      Day: 3-4. Mavs win by a million. But I cough up some units on two other plays.
                                      Week: 5-6.
                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 37056

                                        #20
                                        (Coll Base) Texas A&M (gm1 vs Fla) 1.67: 1 to win .67.

                                        Here is my logic:
                                        ...Florida is a bigger outsider than you think. Their YTD record isn't so good. They upset Clemson, and the Gators don't have great pitching.
                                        ...I expect the Aggies to start LH ace Prager. His K/BB ratio is > 5.00.
                                        ...If Prager gets the ball, he should have a good chance to handcuff Gator stud LH-batter Caglianone.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37056

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                          (Coll Base) Texas A&M (gm1 vs Fla) 1.67: 1 to win .67.

                                          Here is my logic:
                                          ...Florida is a bigger outsider than you think. Their YTD record isn't so good. They upset Clemson, and the Gators don't have great pitching.
                                          ...I expect the Aggies to start LH ace Prager. His K/BB ratio is > 5.00.
                                          ...If Prager gets the ball, he should have a good chance to handcuff Gator stud LH-batter Caglianone.
                                          Adding a 2nd unit on the Aggies 1.78: 1 to win .78
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 04-04-11
                                            • 37056

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                            Day: 3-4. Mavs win by a million. But I cough up some units on two other plays.
                                            Week: 5-6.
                                            Day: 2-0. Aggies win a close one.
                                            Week: 7-6
                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 37056

                                              #23
                                              (Euro) 1* Poland +1 1.98 (vs Neth): 1 to win .98.

                                              ...I know DJ is on the other side. I'm just not convinced on the Netherlands.
                                              ...Injury to Lewandowski seems like a great reason to go against the grain. As if Poland is playing 10-on-11.
                                              ...Just see it playing closer to even than -1. And a chance for a Dog to finally show resolve at this Euro.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 37056

                                                #24
                                                (Coll Base) 2* NoCarol/Tenn UND 11.5 (1.95): 2 to win 1.90.

                                                ...TENN has a ton of offensive talent. That said, I think this # is too high.
                                                ...Vols off a huge 9th-inning rally in the opener. Four two-out hits to get home.
                                                ...Moore (TENN) off a monster game where he had 5 hits and hit for the cycle.
                                                ...When you're in the stratosphere, only one place to go. And that's down.
                                                ...I'm projecting the pitching matchup to be Sprague (UNC) vs Sechrist (TEN). If that's the P matchup, they should do a good job of controlling the plate. I look for the score to not go ballistic.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 37056

                                                  #25
                                                  (Euro) 1* Slovenia/Denmark UNDER 2.5 (1.72): 1 to win .72.

                                                  ...GK Oblak is the star for Slovenia. Hard to beat.
                                                  ...But Slovenia doesn't have a lot of attacking options.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                    • 37056

                                                    #26
                                                    (CFL) 1* HAMILTON +2.5 2.02: 1 to win 1.02.

                                                    ...One very subtle tip: 3 isn't nearly as valuable in the CFL (compared to NFL). Because the Single puts the game on unusual landing Differences.
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 37056

                                                      #27
                                                      (NBA) 2* Dallas Mavericks (gm5) +5.5 2.20: 2 to win 2.40.
                                                      ...Love this #. Think we get great line-value.

                                                      I've actually been a lot less warm on Boston than others:
                                                      1. The Porzingis injury is big. Mazzulla doesn't even bother to play Kornet.
                                                      2. Horford is (arguably) too old to guard athletic bigs like Gaff/Live for 30+ minutes.
                                                      3. The East was so light this year. And Boston's path to the Finals didn't have to go thru MILW w/ Giannis or PHI w/ Embiid.
                                                      4. Count how many games they played against injury-depleted foes. MIA w/o Butler, CLE w/o Mitchell and Allen, IND w/o Haliburton.
                                                      5. And I think the raw W-L record flatters Boston, too. The IND series was 4-0 but COULD HAVE been 2-2 (or even 1-3). This series could easily be 2-2 instead of 3-1, too.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • veriableodds
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-22-17
                                                        • 5093

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        (CFL) 1* HAMILTON +2.5 2.02: 1 to win 1.02.

                                                        ...One very subtle tip: 3 isn't nearly as valuable in the CFL (compared to NFL). Because the Single puts the game on unusual landing Differences.
                                                        Like the play Chuck, maybe I should have waited as most line angles are paying higher now. My take on the game
                                                        -Well WTF its 3 point or less (is this really what the book think??)
                                                        -HAM is @ home and the ML model says 56.4% win rate without the points
                                                        -Canadians even believe in any given Sunday
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 37056

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by veriableodds
                                                          Like the play Chuck, maybe I should have waited as most line angles are paying higher now. My take on the game
                                                          -Well WTF its 3 point or less (is this really what the book think??)
                                                          -HAM is @ home and the ML model says 56.4% win rate without the points
                                                          -Canadians even believe in any given Sunday
                                                          Thx, veri.
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 37056

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            (CFL) 1* HAMILTON +2.5 2.02: 1 to win 1.02.

                                                            ...One very subtle tip: 3 isn't nearly as valuable in the CFL (compared to NFL). Because the Single puts the game on unusual landing Differences.
                                                            I pay the piper on this one. Brutal runout, they do lose by exactly 3.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 37056

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              Day: 2-0. Aggies win a close one.
                                                              Week: 7-6
                                                              Day: 3-1. Push on Poland.
                                                              Week: 10-7.
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 04-04-11
                                                                • 37056

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                Ending Balance = 144.40 (+44.40 ytd)
                                                                Clear a profit for the Week: +1.83
                                                                Ending Balance = 146.23 (+46.23 ytd)
                                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                Comment
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