Minnesota odds to comeback only +1000

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  • k13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-16-10
    • 18104

    #1
    Minnesota odds to comeback only +1000
    0-3 series behind. Never happened in the NBA.
    Odds went from +2000 to +1000 quick.

    Can see it happening but not great payout anymore.
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65586

    #2
    30:1 now (DK)

    I tried to copy/paste, but the file is too large.
    Comment
    • Enkhbat
      SBR MVP
      • 04-18-11
      • 3145

      #3
      No chance, it is another sweep
      Comment
      • johnnyvegas13
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 05-21-15
        • 27897

        #4
        I will bet anyone 74 pts that this happens if they do u send back 740 who accepts???
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65586

          #5
          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
          I will bet anyone 74 pts that this happens if they do u send back 740 who accepts???
          No bet, but since I'm in this benevolent mood today, here's 74 points anyway.
          Comment
          • Headsterx
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-03-16
            • 23022

            #6
            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
            I will bet anyone 74 pts that this happens if they do u send back 740 who accepts???
            I'll take that EASY bet. I'll even send you everything I have which is currently 2511 and counting if it happens.
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37408

              #7
              Originally posted by stevenash
              30:1 now (DK)

              I tried to copy/paste, but the file is too large.
              Take a look at those odds. 30/1 can't be right. 30/1 to win the Title maybe.

              10/1 = Market odds for this series.

              Here's why MINN has a decent chance:

              1) Their cumulative odds will be < 10/1. Start with tonite at +102. They would be Favs in the two Home games.

              2) Lively injury is big. Dropoff if he's out for more than one game.

              3) Towns can't play any worse.
              ...First off, he can't shoot worse than he has.
              ...Second, I think he'll go inside more if Finch gives him instruction to do so.

              4) DALL has come up huge in the clutch.
              ...Can only go down from here.

              5) I don't think the 154-0 stat means much.
              ...Most of those were powerhouse teams in mis-match series.
              ...This matchup is pretty equitable. It's just about executing in the clutch.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • Thefix13
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-14-21
                • 664

                #8
                Chuck with his rainbow optimistic view, as per usual. Probably thinks the Pacers can come back also
                Comment
                • Headsterx
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-03-16
                  • 23022

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Thefix13
                  Chuck with his rainbow optimistic view, as per usual. Probably thinks the Pacers can come back also
                  🤣🤣🤣
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83686

                    #10
                    Comment
                    • mjsuax13
                      Moderator
                      • 03-14-15
                      • 25096

                      #11
                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                      I will bet anyone 74 pts that this happens if they do u send back 740 who accepts???
                      You don’t have enough to cover all the bets you are about to take.
                      Comment
                      • johnnyvegas13
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 05-21-15
                        • 27897

                        #12
                        I bet Nash

                        for the record I don’t really believe in this that much win tonight maybe I’ll start to
                        Comment
                        • Headsterx
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-03-16
                          • 23022

                          #13
                          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                          I bet Nash

                          for the record I don’t really believe in this that much win tonight maybe I’ll start to
                          For the record, he said “no bet.” With that said I’m out as I don’t need the headache of going back and forth in an obvious losing bet. Enjoy the game as you won’t get anything until next Thursday. 🤣😁🤣
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65586

                            #14
                            Chucky is correct, I stand corrected.
                            Wolves are indeed 30:1 to win the title and 10:1 to beat Dallas.

                            10:1 is whacky.

                            Forget this is a basketball game for a moment and think of this as a coin toss event.
                            It's not but humor me.

                            The odds of calling four consecutive heads (or tails) are 1 in 16.
                            1/2 1/2 1/2 * 1/2

                            Even if I thought Minnesota had a snowballs chance in hell of winning the next four games, I would need a hell of a lot more than 10:1 odds.

                            Last time I checked Minnesota was a +110 underdog tonight (money line)
                            If one thinks Minnesota will pull off this monumental comeback my approach would be bet Minny straight up tonight, if wins, Game 5 Minny would be a -170 favorite (give or take) at home, and just take it from there.
                            Comment
                            • asiagambler
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-23-17
                              • 6827

                              #15
                              Possible if Doncic or Irving get hurt. Doncic is already playing hurt so maybe little more possibility there
                              Comment
                              • Doug tushyterror
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-03-12
                                • 4172

                                #16
                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                Chucky is correct, I stand corrected.
                                Wolves are indeed 30:1 to win the title and 10:1 to beat Dallas.

                                10:1 is whacky.

                                Forget this is a basketball game for a moment and think of this as a coin toss event.
                                It's not but humor me.

                                The odds of calling four consecutive heads (or tails) are 1 in 16.
                                1/2 1/2 1/2 * 1/2

                                Even if I thought Minnesota had a snowballs chance in hell of winning the next four games, I would need a hell of a lot more than 10:1 odds.

                                Last time I checked Minnesota was a +110 underdog tonight (money line)
                                If one thinks Minnesota will pull off this monumental comeback my approach would be bet Minny straight up tonight, if wins, Game 5 Minny would be a -170 favorite (give or take) at home, and just take it from there.
                                10-1 is actually solid value considering they're down to +100 tonight. These are just guesstimates if they win tonight but I'm probably shortchanging MIN considering they were -6 (-215) for g2.

                                Comment
                                • asiagambler
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-23-17
                                  • 6827

                                  #17
                                  Of course it's underpriced. That's the point. They want people to bet it at terrible odds
                                  Comment
                                  • k13
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-16-10
                                    • 18104

                                    #18
                                    Only +450 to win now.
                                    Comment
                                    • k13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-16-10
                                      • 18104

                                      #19
                                      -4.5 favourites at home.
                                      Public blowing Dallas.
                                      Should be fun.
                                      Comment
                                      • Headsterx
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-03-16
                                        • 23022

                                        #20
                                        Damn! Now I hope Twolves make history so I can have a good chuckle in avoiding in losing all of my betpoints. 🤣
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37408

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                          Chucky is correct, I stand corrected.
                                          Wolves are indeed 30:1 to win the title and 10:1 to beat Dallas.

                                          10:1 is whacky.

                                          Forget this is a basketball game for a moment and think of this as a coin toss event.
                                          It's not but humor me.

                                          The odds of calling four consecutive heads (or tails) are 1 in 16.
                                          1/2 1/2 1/2 * 1/2

                                          Even if I thought Minnesota had a snowballs chance in hell of winning the next four games, I would need a hell of a lot more than 10:1 odds.

                                          Last time I checked Minnesota was a +110 underdog tonight (money line)
                                          If one thinks Minnesota will pull off this monumental comeback my approach would be bet Minny straight up tonight, if wins, Game 5 Minny would be a -170 favorite (give or take) at home, and just take it from there.
                                          First leg gets there. Game 5 line of -4.5 and -190 ML.

                                          This has a CHANCE. But Dallas hasn't lost many games w/ Gafford in the starting lineup.

                                          Big question is whether Lively returns for Gm5. Report I heard is that his injury isn't too bad.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • k13
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-16-10
                                            • 18104

                                            #22
                                            Minnesota down to +400.

                                            Imagine the impossible at only -550.
                                            Comment
                                            • actiondan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-16-10
                                              • 3442

                                              #23
                                              celtics almost pulled it off last year.

                                              eventually it will happen
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 37408

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by actiondan
                                                celtics almost pulled it off last year.

                                                eventually it will happen
                                                Price is now only +410. MIN again favored for Gm5.

                                                I mentioned the Lively injury last game. Kidd had to be insane to count on Kleber after he missed so many games. Just stick with Powell, who you know to be a solid veteran.

                                                Lively listed as a GTD for tonite. Him playing is a big deal.

                                                Conley again on the injury list. Maybe that's for show. But I know he's probably not 100%.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 37408

                                                  #25
                                                  Good chance that Lively plays (IMHO). Reports I hear are that he came thru pretty well:

                                                  Dallas Mavericks rookie center Dereck Lively II has been upgraded to questionable for Thursday's Game 5 against the Minnesota Timberwolves after missing Tuesday's loss due to a sprained neck.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83686

                                                    #26
                                                    I'm taking Dallas tonight and the points. Fock it. Mavs don't get blown out coming off the loss.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • k13
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                      • 18104

                                                      #27
                                                      Everyone on Dallas and line moved from -4 to -5.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • gauchojake
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 09-17-10
                                                        • 34113

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by k13
                                                        Everyone on Dallas and line moved from -4 to -5.
                                                        Lively probably playing
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 37408

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                          Lively probably playing
                                                          Good info, Jake.
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gauchojake
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 09-17-10
                                                            • 34113

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm just guessing Chuck lol. It's either that or Conley out
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 37408

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                              I'm just guessing Chuck lol. It's either that or Conley out
                                                              Reports say he cleared. Will Kidd use him?
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65586

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                Reports say he cleared. Will Kidd use him?
                                                                Off the bench.



                                                                NBA Daily Lineups | RotoWire.com
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Git Lo
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-20-11
                                                                  • 3785

                                                                  #33
                                                                  looks like minn is ready to go home
                                                                  allowed luka to shoot 4 threes 20 pts in first quarter. playing no def and their offense continues to be non existent
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                                    • 37408

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                                    I'm just guessing Chuck lol. It's either that or Conley out
                                                                    What is up with the Wolves? Almost wonder if there's any in-fighting in the team.
                                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Thefix13
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-14-21
                                                                      • 664

                                                                      #35
                                                                      All that line movement talk and the Mavs come out and kick their teeth in.
                                                                      Comment
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