NBA Futures - Division/Conference/Champion

[ChuckyTheGoat]

For Round Two:

*If there's one bet that I'd feel great about?

Min/DEN over 5.5 games.

...Is there a scenario where this series is 4-1 or 4-0? It's a very even matchup.
...Either team can win on the road. How is this not a long series of 6+ games?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Great win for MINN. I think Edwards/Jokic will score consistently.

I think a theme for the Series will be: Who else scores well?

*MINN: Towns had a very good game. And Reid played well.
*DEN: If Murray is truly dinged up, it's a problem. Denver bench isn't that explosive.

[johnnyvegas13]

Huge win by minny

[IBetYou]

Great win for MINN. I think Edwards/Jokic will score consistently.

I think a theme for the Series will be: Who else scores well?

*MINN: Towns had a very good game. And Reid played well.
*DEN: If Murray is truly dinged up, it's a problem. Denver bench isn't that explosive.

Problem with an explosive bench is you might get splinters up your ar se hole.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

See posts 3+4. Dal/MIN advance.
...This has to rate as some of my finest work.
...We nail the two Western Conf finalists. Profit is locked up at long odds.
...I don't really care which team wins. Either will make for a nice score.

And to all the Trolls, Thank You. Makes it that much sweeter.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* BOSTON: to Win the Eastern Conf (1.54). 2 to win 1.08.

...This is going to look square. Backing the Favorite. Will get > +50% return if they win.
...Feel like the balance was tilted to the West. A team like PHX would probably be the 2-seed if they played in the East.
...The gap from Boston to anyone else in the East is massive. Built a big lead and coasted the L6 weeks.
...Deep roster. Their bench played great. Team is not subject to injury risk of any one guy going down.
...I like PHI lining up with the Knicks. Given the Giannis injury, I can't fathom anyone challenging Boston other than the Phi/NYK winner.
...And if the Eastern Finals = Bos vs Phi/NYK, Boston would be > 80% to win a 7-game series.

This Boston bet is in good shape. Series line is ~ BOS -780/IND +620.
...That line implies that Boston will win something like 86 to 88% of the time.
...No real interest in the Series bet. Admittedly, IND looks impressive and feels live.
...One thing I hate on the modern lines-making is that you don't get a fair shake on the Big Dogs. The straddle is juiced to the moon, as if the bettor has no discipline to not play it.
...My one comment was that IND is healthy and BOS is w/o Porzingis. That would seemingly even up the playing field, as IND's bench makes them 9-men deep.
...Honestly, Indiana's best chance = Carlisle taking Mazzulla to school (ala Spoelstra).

[ChuckyTheGoat]

This is going to be a fun recap. See the plays on Page 1:

*DALL - wins the West. +11.21/1
*MINN- loses in West Final. -1/1
*BOST - wins the East. +1.08/2

Total = +11.29/4

We nailed the two Western finalists. So, that was guaranteed profit.

Boston wins the East. I think the 12-2 record flatters them a little. Did it against injury-ravaged opponents.