Don't overthink this

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Madison
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-16-11
    • 6439

    #1
    Don't overthink this
    Just take the free $$ SF/BAL ML parlay 100/50 or whatever your tolerance. A lot boils down to TV. Think about tv ratings of GB/HOU. Hate the value but better than a 6 mo cd.
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37094

    #2
    Originally posted by Madison
    Just take the free $$ SF/BAL ML parlay 100/50 or whatever your tolerance. A lot boils down to TV. Think about tv ratings of GB/HOU. Hate the value but better than a 6 mo cd.
    Can't knock that. Only counter I might have: *Is the Parlay (vs the spread) better at +260?

    In terms of Risk/Reward, I'm with you. Going to be so hard to knock out the Niners OR Ravens.

    Season is longer now. If any player was honest, they'd say how much value there is to a week off. And the Niners/Ravens got a Bye + a toss game. No travel in almost a month, they'll be roaring to go.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • trobin31
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-09-14
      • 9853

      #3
      I don’t know, gonna have to think about this some more
      Comment
      • hehfest
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-28-08
        • 7934

        #4
        You could just take a 4 team 10 point teaser instead and not get juiced/have to risk as much. Throw in a total with 10 points to spare or another side or two.
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #5
          One dog will win this weekend. That's all I'm saying
          Comment
          • Thefix13
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-14-21
            • 664

            #6
            Originally posted by hehfest
            You could just take a 4 team 10 point teaser instead and not get juiced/have to risk as much. Throw in a total with 10 points to spare or another side or two.
            Lol make it sound so easy, just toss in two more random variables, piece of cake.
            Comment
            • Thefix13
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-14-21
              • 664

              #7
              Originally posted by lakerboy
              One dog will win this weekend. That's all I'm saying
              Bucs
              Comment
              • RM Logic
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-09-13
                • 847

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                One dog will win this weekend. That's all I'm saying
                KC.
                Bills are really banged up.
                Comment
                • Madison
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-16-11
                  • 6439

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                  Can't knock that. Only counter I might have: *Is the Parlay (vs the spread) better at +260?

                  In terms of Risk/Reward, I'm with you. Going to be so hard to knock out the Niners OR Ravens.

                  Season is longer now. If any player was honest, they'd say how much value there is to a week off. And the Niners/Ravens got a Bye + a toss game. No travel in almost a month, they'll be roaring to go.
                  Teams with time off at this time of year have HUGE advantage. Hou won't appreciate the weather. SF just a WAY better team. If I lose then I lose. Disappointed about Andrews though, and you can never discount an unfortunate injury.

                  My little netwrok currently at 2500/1250.
                  Comment
                  • Madison
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-11
                    • 6439

                    #10
                    Originally posted by hehfest
                    You could just take a 4 team 10 point teaser instead and not get juiced/have to risk as much. Throw in a total with 10 points to spare or another side or two.
                    I've been doing this for 50+ years, reasonably successfully, but less so the last 3-5 years. HeHE there's one valuable lesson I've learned over the years is the least exposure (teams/opp for upset) the better you are. At one point on here I was the king of 4 team 13 point totals teaser. First they were 110 think I went 12-4 or the like. Next year 120 and now 130 and your lucky if you get 13.

                    BOL though to all!!!
                    Comment
                    • Madison
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-16-11
                      • 6439

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RM Logic
                      KC.
                      Bills are really banged up.
                      Yeah, this one a toughie.
                      Comment
                      • Madison
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-11
                        • 6439

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Thefix13
                        Bucs
                        They got a break getting indoors. All year I kept wondering when Godwin and Evans were going to come alive.
                        Comment
                        • Mr KLC
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-19-07
                          • 31097

                          #13
                          Baltimore is 1-9 ATS since 2021 as a 7+ point favorite.
                          Comment
                          • Mr KLC
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-19-07
                            • 31097

                            #14
                            In the last 20 years, 1 seeds are 14-26-1 ATS (35%) in the Divisional Round per
                            @Bet_Labs

                            .
                            Comment
                            • DJK
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 2423

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Madison
                              Just take the free $$ SF/BAL ML parlay 100/50 or whatever your tolerance. A lot boils down to TV. Think about tv ratings of GB/HOU. Hate the value but better than a 6 mo cd.
                              Nice call.

                              Thought about tailing for low 5 figures but fell asleep an hour before the game and didn't hear the alarm go off on my computer because I had its volume turned down. That's a bummer since I would have won 10K. However, I would have sweated the whole game and I hate doing that.
                              Last edited by DJK; 01-20-24, 11:29 PM.
                              Comment
                              • Madison
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-16-11
                                • 6439

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DJK
                                Nice call.

                                Thought about tailing for low 5 figures but fell asleep an hour before the game and didn't hear the alarm go off on my computer because I had its volume turned down. That's a bummer since I would have won 10K. However, I would have sweated the whole game and I hate doing that.
                                Yes, the NFL can be brutal on your heart and nerves at my age.
                                Comment
                                • DJK
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 2423

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                  Just take the free $$ SF/BAL ML parlay 100/50 or whatever your tolerance. A lot boils down to TV. Think about tv ratings of GB/HOU. Hate the value but better than a 6 mo cd.
                                  I'm waiting for your post of ML parlay of Baltimore and San Francisco. When is that going to happen? Preferrably sooner than later. It's even at a better odd of -103 at DK. I already have a small wager in and I'm waiting to put in a LOT more if you concur. Thanks in advance.
                                  Comment
                                  • Madison
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-16-11
                                    • 6439

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DJK
                                    I'm waiting for your post of ML parlay of Baltimore and San Francisco. When is that going to happen? Preferrably sooner than later. It's even at a better odd of -103 at DK. I already have a small wager in and I'm waiting to put in a LOT more if you concur. Thanks in advance.
                                    Heavy on the ponies this weekend Bud. Just gonna be an NFL fan and enjoy. BOL to you!!
                                    Comment
                                    SBR Contests
                                    Collapse
                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                    Collapse
                                    Working...