How Often Have You Seen A -300+ Favorite Lose In Soccer?

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  • Mr KLC
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-19-07
    • 30987

    How Often Have You Seen A -300+ Favorite Lose In Soccer?

    I would think you would probably see around an 80-85% win rate when you factor in the potential of a tie also. That's a lot of juice for 3 determination for a match.
  • JAKEPEAVY21
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-11-11
    • 29179

    #2
    Originally posted by Mr KLC
    I would think you would probably see around an 80-85% win rate when you factor in the potential of a tie also. That's a lot of juice for 3 determination for a match.
    Ties are losses in soccer unless it says PK or DNB...

    -300 soccer sides lose a lot more often than you might think with 3 way lines

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    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 36403

      #3
      Originally posted by Mr KLC
      I would think you would probably see around an 80-85% win rate when you factor in the potential of a tie also. That's a lot of juice for 3 determination for a match.
      Opti, you're on to something. Big soccer faves don't LOSE too often on the 3-way line.

      If it's a talent mis-match, so often it feels like a Fav win or a Draw. Need something unusual to happen for the Big Dog to crack the 1.25 Fav.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?

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      • pavyracer
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-12-07
        • 82408

        #4
        How often do basketball -300 lines lose? It happens more often than soccer for sure.

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        • Mr KLC
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-19-07
          • 30987

          #5
          I bet these 3 matches the last 2 days. The 3rd one was close, but the other 2 were never in doubt at halftime.



          Olympiakos (-360)
          Olympiakos vs TSC Backa Topola

          Final Score 5-2

          Bayer Leverkusen (-300)
          Bayer Leverkusen vs Molde FK

          Final Score 5-1

          RB Leipzig (-400)
          RB Leipzig vs Young Boys

          Final Score 2-1

          Comment

          • pavyracer
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-12-07
            • 82408

            #6
            Looks like you should have bet the over and made 3 to 4 times more. 6 to 8 times more if you bet also first half over.

            Comment

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