Originally posted by daneault23
Throwing darts you'll hit 3 parlays.
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Don't bet both sides now that you shed some light on their abuse rules. Sweat the game, not the payout. Better to have peace of mind.
Throwing darts you'll hit 3 parlays.Comment -
Unfortunately I think the round robin of 8 parlays for $1800 return is against their rules.Originally posted by daneault23.Comment -
Takes me back to childhood baseball days reciting the Little League pledge ....I will play fair And strive to win But win or lose I will always do my best!Comment -
Wouldn't the 3 team parlay option have a high variance? Meaning yes on average over 1 million bets, the averages say that is the best bet to make. However there will be many times none of the 25 parlays win, leaving the bettor with nothing.Originally posted by raiders72001Comment -
You might never get better advice than above.Originally posted by raiders72001
I am speaking in general terms here. Not at any specific poster ... anyone who uses bonuses to bet both sides to meet the rollover will be disappoint IF they meet the rollover and request a payout. They, of course, may (probably) will scratch their heads wondering why the payout was denied and they might even start a thread about how the book stole their money.
Any reputable book will train their payout department to look for anything to deny a payout. That's not a bad thing. They want to pay people who won fairly, not anyone else. Its no different than going to a gas station, getting $30 in gas, paying with a fifty and watching the cashier use that counterfeit pen or device to verify its authenticity before giving you change.Comment -
I calculated out the difference between 25 $100 parlay bets and 50 $50 parlay bets and while there is a slightly less chance of getting $1800 from the 50 bets, more than likely I'd get between $1200-$1800.
Scenario: Bet 25 $100 3 team parlays:
P(winning at least 1 times) 96.45% $600.00 $578.70 P(winning at least 2 times) 83.77% $1,200.00 $1,005.27 P(winning at least 3 times) 62.04% $1,800.00 $1,116.70 Comment -
Scenario: Bet 50 $50 3 team parlays:
P(winning at least 2 times) 98.97% $600.00 $593.84 P(winning at least 3 times) 95.82% $900.00 $862.41 P(winning at least 4 times) 88.62% $1,200.00 $1,063.48 P(winning at least 5 times) 76.54% $1,500.00 $1,148.05 P(winning at least 6 times) 60.65% $1,800.00 $1,091.72 Comment -
Coming back to this thread from 3 months ago...
I made 50 $50 3 team parlays with my FP amount of $2500. I won 4 of those parlays, netting a whopping $1190.69. One of those parlays had a -115 winner in there. Interestingly enough I won all 4 of those parlays within my first 26 bets, and then didn't win a single parlay after that.
If I were to instead take that $2500 and bet at -110 lines each to win $50, I could have bet about 45 games. My first 45 games I went 21-24, so that would have net me $1050. This is about $140 less than I won by betting the 3 team parlays.Comment -
Not to mention the possibility of getting screwed if that single match gets postponed/cancelled due to some f...eryOriginally posted by wombatComment
