I vote Browns Eagles Dolphins in that order
							
						
					Which Big Favorite Loses Outright In NFL?
				
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	trobin31SBR Hall of Famer- 01-09-14
- 9859
 
 #1Which Big Favorite Loses Outright In NFL?Tags: None
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	pavyracerSBR Aristocracy- 04-12-07
- 82653
 
 #2Browns are not a favorite.Comment
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	Eddy MunnyBenched- 08-13-13
- 15769
 
 #3I also think Browns lose outright. I'm not afraid to call my shot.Comment
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	lakerboySBR Aristocracy- 04-02-09
- 94463
 
 #4Giants. They are the biggest favouriteComment
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	asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer- 07-23-17
- 6827
 
 #5Wow Giants OL against that Buffalo DL
 
 How many sacks ?Comment
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	JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy- 12-10-09
- 83476
 
 #6Not KC tonightComment
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	stevexSBR Hall of Famer- 05-02-10
- 5122
 
 #7I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.Comment
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	asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer- 07-23-17
- 6827
 
 #8Have you seen the Giants OL ?Originally posted by stevexI can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.
 
 They are in complete shamblesComment
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	stevenashModerator- 01-17-11
- 66054
 
 #9Ten.Originally posted by asiagamblerWow Giants OL against that Buffalo DL
 
 How many sacks ?
 And I'm the biggest G-Man homer on the boards.
 
 I like Tyrod Taylor, but I can see him going down too, and I don't wish injury on anybody.
 Giants QB's should be getting combat pay.Comment
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	asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer- 07-23-17
- 6827
 
 #10They get a little break because Buffalo got some injuries too. DaQuan Jones put on IR. Rousseau hurt and limited in practice. But Von Miller is also backOriginally posted by stevenashTen.
 And I'm the biggest G-Man homer on the boards.
 
 I like Tyrod Taylor, but I can see him going down too, and I don't wish injury on anybody.
 Giants QB's should be getting combat pay.
 
 If they could get Barkley back it would be huge since Buffalo gives up lots of rushing yards
 
 But do you know if Justin Pugh is on track to play ?
 
 He could actually make a difference here because they really need a veteran presence on that line. So many plays I see them completely out of sync, one guy blocking nobody (usually Neal), other guys whiffing on their assignments, half the guys running one play while half do something else. They are a complete trainwreck right now without ThomasComment
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	stevenashModerator- 01-17-11
- 66054
 
 #11I know Pugh's been practicing this week, I'm going to presume he'll see snaps.Originally posted by asiagamblerThey get a little break because Buffalo got some injuries too. DaQuan Jones put on IR. Rousseau hurt and limited in practice. But Von Miller is also back
 
 If they could get Barkley back it would be huge since Buffalo gives up lots of rushing yards
 
 But do you know if Justin Pugh is on track to play ?
 
 He could actually make a difference here because they really need a veteran presence on that line. So many plays I see them completely out of sync, one guy blocking nobody (usually Neal), other guys whiffing on their assignments, half the guys running one play while half do something else. They are a complete trainwreck right now without Thomas
 Bark was limited in practice today but insiders say don't expect to see him Sunday night.Comment
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	trobin31SBR Hall of Famer- 01-09-14
- 9859
 
 #12Of course I meant to say Niners lose outrightComment
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	 hehfestSBR Hall of Famer hehfestSBR Hall of Famer- 09-28-08
- 8085
 
 #13Just wait JV will tell ya soComment
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	JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy- 12-10-09
- 83476
 
 #14Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.Comment
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	EnkhbatSBR MVP- 04-18-11
- 3175
 
 #15Eagles most likely to lose, almost lost at home to the commanders.Comment
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	Aunty808SBR High Roller- 09-18-22
- 219
 
 #16Has anyone here ever used the website called SurvivorGrid? Google it.
 
 Here's how I use it to help me figure out who's gonna get upset.
 First, I use my contest Pick percentages and find the Road Favorites with a pick % of 90% or higher and on the other end, find the Road Dogs with a pick % of 9% or lower.
 Then I go to survivorgrid and see who everyone's picking in the ESPN, Yahoo and the OfficeFootballPool survivor pools.
 
 
 I like to click on the P% column to find the top picks 5 on the GRID page. This week it's Buffalo, Miami, LAR, KC (W) and Phil. It's rare that all five win. KC already won on the TNF game. Armed with that info, at the top of the page, I click the KNOCKOUT page. This is where they list all the Top Upsets by Win%, and Top Upsets by Pick% . Also listed there are the Teams Responsible for Eliminations.
 
 
 Elimination Pick Distribution shows the percentage of eliminations on the season where each team was the pick.
 
 My favorite is the Elimination OPPONENT Distribution which shows how often a team was an opponent who defeated a picked team.
 
 
 
 
 My guess would be LAR playing Arizona. Why? Because......
 
 
 1. Arizona is a Road Dog with a Pick % of 6. The game falls into my RED FLAG catagory.
 2. At survivorgrid, check the Elimination OPPONENT Distribution. They (Ariz) are in second place with a 10.9% KNOCKOUT rate.
 3. Who is Arizona's OPPONENT this week? The LA RAMS
 4. Check the GRID. LAR is listed in my TOP 5 in the P% (#3-16.1%)and W%(#5-73%).
 Now I go back to the Top Upsets by P% and W% on the KNOCKOUT page.. Top Upsets by P% falls between 21.1% and 2.6%. Top Upsets by W% fall between 82% and 65,2%.
 Check out LAR's numbers (P% 16.1%)(W% 73%) and look who's their OPPONENT......Arizona, who's knocked out 10.9% of survivor players, who picked opponents they played against so far this season.
 
 
 So sorry so long, but it's so easy to figure out once you get the hang of it.
 So, my best guess would be ARIZONA upsetting the LA Rams-7.
 
 
 but what do I know...........best of luck with all your bets!!Comment
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	teeceeSBR Hall of Famer- 09-18-09
- 6308
 
 #17NFL expansion teams?Originally posted by JIBBBYDodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.Comment
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	JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy- 12-10-09
- 83476
 
 #18Anything goes now.. LOL..Originally posted by teeceeNFL expansion teams?Comment
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	stevexSBR Hall of Famer- 05-02-10
- 5122
 
 #19I didn’t know they are in the NFL?Originally posted by JIBBBYDodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.Comment
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	 ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR! ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 04-04-11
- 38203
 
 #20Any chance Taylor is an UPGRADE over Danny Dimes?Originally posted by stevexI can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment
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	JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy- 12-10-09
- 83476
 
 #21They are, ever heard of Bo Jackson and Michael Jordan? Cross over sports is the shits now, every athlete is doing it. ; )Originally posted by stevexI didn’t know they are in the NFL?Comment
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	OldBillSBR Hall of Famer- 11-02-21
- 6374
 
 #22so 1 stupid fawwwking question what is a big favorite like - 6 - -10Comment
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	trobin31SBR Hall of Famer- 01-09-14
- 9859
 
 #23I would say a TD or greaterOriginally posted by OldBillso 1 stupid fawwwking question what is a big favorite like - 6 - -10Comment
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	HeadsterxSBR Posting Legend- 12-03-16
- 23677
 
 #24Browns as the most likely for upset!?Originally posted by trobin31I vote Browns Eagles Dolphins in that order
 
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	JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy- 12-10-09
- 83476
 
 #25Going with the Seahawks as an outright dog winner.Comment
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	bjb7223SBR Posting Legend- 11-03-12
- 10349
 
 #26he meant the 9ersOriginally posted by HeadsterxBrowns as the most likely for upset!?
 
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	HeadsterxSBR Posting Legend- 12-03-16
- 23677
 
 #27Yeah, I knew what he meant. Guess I worded it wrong. He thinks Browns is the most likely to pull the upset. It’s still gets my same reaction. 😂😂😂Originally posted by bjb7223he meant the 9ersComment
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	Eddy MunnyBenched- 08-13-13
- 15769
 
 #28I hope he's right... I have Browns Over 9.5 wins.Originally posted by HeadsterxYeah, I knew what he meant. Guess I worded it wrong. He thinks Browns is the most likely to pull the upset. It’s still gets my same reaction. 
 
 Dolphins down 14-0 right now.Comment
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	bjb7223SBR Posting Legend- 11-03-12
- 10349
 
 #2914-7Originally posted by Eddy MunnyI hope he's right... I have Browns Over 9.5 wins.
 
 Dolphins down 14-0 right now.Comment
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	OldBillSBR Hall of Famer- 11-02-21
- 6374
 
 #30and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14Comment
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	Str8Mush4LifeSBR MVP- 11-25-13
- 1037
 
 #31That's the answer alright!!! Halfway through the 2nd quarter, definitely a wrap at this point!! And the QB wears #1, Miami going nowhere omggggg fawwwwkkOriginally posted by OldBilland the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14Comment
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	k13SBR Posting Legend- 07-16-10
- 18129
 
 #32Already winning.Originally posted by OldBilland the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
 -250 even when down 14-0.
 Probably still cover.Comment
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	Eddy MunnyBenched- 08-13-13
- 15769
 
 #33Lol, calling the game in the first quarter because Miami is down two scores to the Panthers. You're good.Originally posted by OldBilland the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14Comment
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	OldBillSBR Hall of Famer- 11-02-21
- 6374
 
 #34and all of a sudden the panthers get bam pow boom kapow losing 28- 14 wtf did they do hand the ball off to miami defense or just sat on 14 points lead 4 unanswered td'sComment
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	bjb7223SBR Posting Legend- 11-03-12
- 10349
 
 #35There you have itComment
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