Coll FB plays - Wave #2

johnnyvegas13 · 09-09-23, 08:08 PM

App st ml was a great try

gauchojake · 09-09-23, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Damn. I'd say you got your Money's worth. Very nice stab.

If I had played it for more than a small play I would have hedged some money out, but figured it was more of an entertainment bet.

gauchojake · 09-09-23, 08:14 PM

Need Texas Tech ML to save the day

gauchojake · 09-09-23, 10:29 PM

Ate shit sandwiches all day

ChuckyTheGoat · 09-10-23, 08:20 AM

Between this thread and the other one, wind up 15-13 ATS. So, > break-even.

Average Net ATS Margin = +1.7 pts. So, pretty good.

I can think of a few plays I regret making but only a few.

Anyone that bets these games knows that you run into the game where it doesn't matter. For me, that was the Tulane game:
*Doesn't matter if you got the early # or the late #.
...I personally think the Miss HC kicks the FG on 4th/4. Try to win the game 23-17 and force a backup QB to score a long TD drive.
...Then you think you're still gonna hang the #. Ole Miss doubts their kicker? Guy drills a 56-yarder.
...And anyone holding +14 on the late #? Still doesn't matter. Very late pick-6.

Also, sorry for anyone holding a Tex Tech ticket. Another very late pick-6.

veriableodds · 09-10-23, 09:44 AM

I see you putting in a lot of effort, homework, expenditure here CHUCK. Just a few observations noticed, hate to see all this talent not being paid its worth.
*notes
-It's highly unlikely that ncaaf offers 28 opportunities (bias, or preserved) value per week, actually 15 would be border line excessive
-Say your week/day starts off great, its inefficient to spot bet remainder of that day because of greed
-My personal experience of wagering football (nfl, ncaaf, cfl) for well over 20+ years, those markets combined do not even add up to 7% of totals during a full time year
gl CHUCK

ChuckyTheGoat · 09-10-23, 11:11 AM

Fair comment, veri. I forced at least three plays. My preparation wasn't what it should be.

FWIW, five of those games were 2-unit plays. And the games do go back to last week. So, like 6 of those plays were from last week.

And a few of these games were on the Added Board. So, beyond the regular rotation teams.

Enkhbat · 09-13-23, 10:23 AM

Who do you like for week 3 Chucky?

ChuckyTheGoat · 09-13-23, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by Enkhbat

Who do you like for week 3 Chucky?

Hi, Enk. Thx for the interest.

Probably done posting Coll plays on this site.

You're a Wazzu guy, right? Great win for the Coogs last week.

lakerboy · 09-13-23, 10:37 AM

Crap card this week

Enkhbat · 09-13-23, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Hi, Enk. Thx for the interest.

Probably done posting Coll plays on this site.

You're a Wazzu guy, right? Great win for the Coogs last week.

Yeah it was a good win against Wisconsin, but last season we beat Wisconsin too, and the season went downhill after that.
I feel like Notre Dame game is an over. Central Michigan doesn't have a defense and they are also competent offensively. I also like Penn State getting only 2 touchdowns against Illinois. I think Illinois is trash. What do you think?

ChuckyTheGoat · 09-13-23, 04:35 PM

Enk, here are my opinions:

1) Wash St off to a great start. They were +3 on Fumbles in that game. So, they are now probably a little overrated.

2) Notre Dame is on my radar. I've been a fan of Hartman. He has elevated the QB play, ND is a final 4 contender.

3) Just MHO, be careful on Penn St. I know Illinois looks bad. First true test for the new QB. I'm scouting out Illinois +. I'd be surprised to find out that Illinois is down THAT much.