SBR's NHL analyst Neil Parker is back with his 2 best prop bets for Thursday's playoff action.
Timo Meier Over 3.5 shots (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
"It’s been a frustrating start to the postseason for Meier.
He’s failed to mark the scoresheet through the first four games of the series despite leading the Devils in individual expected goals and being on the ice for the most high-danger scoring chances at five-on-five.
While I’m expecting him to end the point drought in Game 5, this shots prop offers better value than the Over 0.5 points prices across our best sportsbooks.
Meier’s 27.9 attempts per 60 minutes pace the postseason, but he’s only registered 15 shots. A slight improvement in his shooting efficiency is all it will take to soar over this total, and he’s cleared 3.5 shots in two of the four games of the series already.
There isn’t a huge edge in the available odds, so here’s a peek at a few pivots, with the best price, if you want to invest in the statistical correction ahead for Meier:
Anytime goal scorer: +180 via FanDuel
Over 0.5 points: -135 via Caesars (boost to -108 with their 25% profit boost token)
Over 0.5 assists: +210 via Caesars (boost to +262 with their 25% profit boost token)
Over 0.5 power-play points: +400 via BetMGM"
Regulation win: Golden Knights (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
"Vegas has battened down the hatches and allowed a piddling three goals – 5.9 expected – at five-on-five across the past three games to catapult up to a 3-1 series lead over Winnipeg.
The goal-starved Jets also head to the desert without their two best skaters on Thursday, and goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has surrendered 13 tallies with a shaky .888 save percentage during the three game losing skid.
I’m expecting a better game from Hellebuyck, but Winnipeg is now too short on star power and depth to go head-to-head with Vegas for 60 minutes."
NHL best bets made 4/27/2023 at 9:00 a.m. ET.
Timo Meier Over 3.5 shots (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
"It’s been a frustrating start to the postseason for Meier.
He’s failed to mark the scoresheet through the first four games of the series despite leading the Devils in individual expected goals and being on the ice for the most high-danger scoring chances at five-on-five.
While I’m expecting him to end the point drought in Game 5, this shots prop offers better value than the Over 0.5 points prices across our best sportsbooks.
Meier’s 27.9 attempts per 60 minutes pace the postseason, but he’s only registered 15 shots. A slight improvement in his shooting efficiency is all it will take to soar over this total, and he’s cleared 3.5 shots in two of the four games of the series already.
There isn’t a huge edge in the available odds, so here’s a peek at a few pivots, with the best price, if you want to invest in the statistical correction ahead for Meier:
Anytime goal scorer: +180 via FanDuel
Over 0.5 points: -135 via Caesars (boost to -108 with their 25% profit boost token)
Over 0.5 assists: +210 via Caesars (boost to +262 with their 25% profit boost token)
Over 0.5 power-play points: +400 via BetMGM"
Regulation win: Golden Knights (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
"Vegas has battened down the hatches and allowed a piddling three goals – 5.9 expected – at five-on-five across the past three games to catapult up to a 3-1 series lead over Winnipeg.
The goal-starved Jets also head to the desert without their two best skaters on Thursday, and goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has surrendered 13 tallies with a shaky .888 save percentage during the three game losing skid.
I’m expecting a better game from Hellebuyck, but Winnipeg is now too short on star power and depth to go head-to-head with Vegas for 60 minutes."
NHL best bets made 4/27/2023 at 9:00 a.m. ET.