March soccer picks

[KVB]

24-17-3 (+7.53)

Australia: Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2 u4.5 (+125) / 0-0 22 mins

24-18-3 (+6.53)...

There are some mistakes in this thread, I believe you have made mistakes that short change your units.

But this one is weird. That was 3 point game but maybe the U4.5 (+125) is a typo.

You graded it a loss, but if it really was 4.5, it's a win. In the summary below, I count it as a win.

Also, when your record was posted as 3-3, early on, it was actually 4-4. Also, you gave yourself a Concaaf tie why you actually won. There was an error between posts 35 and 36, where you took off -105 and it should have been -132.

In post # 7 you come to -2.23, but it's really -2.22.

I think you have short changed both your record and units in the thread.

	Posted	Should be
Post 35	5.97	6.98
Post 36	4.92	5.66

I have you're record, including post #70 at 32-30-4 and you are +3.18 units. This after losing 4 straight and 11 of the last 12, with the other a tie.

It's been quite a ride and some of the losses on the downtrend were aiming at pretty high odds:



Good work here, perhaps a lack of discipline with some of those haymakers on the downtrend, but it's tough to tell.

Still, good stuff.

[KVB]

Raw data with some notes:

Posts 1-25:

Post #	Notes	Record	Odds	Units	0
1		0-1	115	-1	-1
2		0-2	140	-1	-2
3		1-2	118	1.18	-0.82
4		2-2	-135	1	0.18
5		2-3	-135	-1.35	-1.17
6		2-4	-105	-1.05	-2.22
7		3-4	-125	1	-1.22
8		4-4	-135	1	-0.22
9		4-5	114	-1	-1.22
10		5-5	-122	1	-0.22
11		5-6	130	-1	-1.22
12		6-6	-125	1	-0.22
13		6-7	112	-1	-1.22
14		7-7	-122	1	-0.22
15		8-7	-105	1	0.78
16		9-7	112	1.12	1.9
17	No Push	10-7	118	1.18	3.08
18		11-7	-112	1	4.08
19		11-8	105	-1	3.08
20		11-9	-115	-1.15	1.93
21		11-10	230	-1	0.93
23		11-11	115	-1	-0.07
24		12-11	100	1	0.93
25		13-11	-185	1	1.93

[KVB]

Raw data Part 2

Posts 26-50...

26		14-11	-102	1
27		15-11	-135	1
28		16-11	-105	1
29		16-12	110	-1
30		16-12-1	111	0
31		17-12-1	105	1.05
32		18-12-1	-115	1
34		19-12-1	-154	1
35		19-13-1	-132	-1.32
36		20-13-1	-132	1
37		20-14-1	125	-1
38		21-14-1	-125	1
40		22-14-1	-118	1
41		22-15-1	102	-1
42		22-16-1	123	-1
43		23-16-1	-135	1
44		24-16-1	-108	1
45		24-17-1	110	-1
46		25-17-1	125	1.25
47		25-17-2	-122	0
48		26-17-2	158	1.58
49		26-18-2	-122	-1
50	Not loss?	27-18-2	125	1.25

[KVB]

Raw data Part 3:

Posts 51-70:

51		27-19-2	100	-1
52		28-19-2	102	1.02
53		29-19-2	110	1.1
54		30-19-2	125	1.25
55		31-19-2	105	1.05
56		32-19-2	102	1.02
57		32-20-2	125	-1
58		32-21-2	118	-1
59		32-22-2	190	-1
60		32-23-2	-125	-1
61		32-24-3	105	-1
62		32-25-3	171	-1
65		32-26-3	125	-1
66		32-26-4	-133	0
67		32-27-4	-108	-1
68		32-28-4	113	-1
69		32-29-4	128	-1
70		32-30-4	110	-1
		32-30-4		3.18

Weird I had to break those up.

[Headsterx]

Thanks KVB! I’ll double check later. Just started drinking with the triple header college hoops today and now too drunk to think.

[Headsterx]

Record is pending.

Paraguay: Club Guaraní vs Guaireña u2 (+115)

[Headsterx]

0-0 20 mins

[Headsterx]

KVB! You’re the man! Post #50: I need to contact Bovada and dispute it. They have graded it as a loss (I had the wrong odds too… lol):

17/23
1:21 AM
Loss - Single
Under 4.5 (+132)
Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2

[Headsterx]

Loss - Single
Risk $ 200.00 / To Win $ 264.00 / Odds +132
Total Goals O/U
3/17/23
Under 4.5 (+132)
Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2
(Live Regulation Time) Total Goals O/U
Soccer - Tasmania Southern Championship 1 Mar 17, 2023 12:00 AM PDT

[Headsterx]

Ah ok, so Post #50 was correct as a loss. There were two similar games but my wager were on Hobart 2 or reserve. Bovada message:

It's Daniel, the agent you are talking over the phone.

Here is the official link which states the total goals of this game was 6:

https://betsapi.com/r/6409278/Metro-Claremont-SC-vs-Hobart-United-Reserves

Regards,

Bovada Customer Service

[Nate rasta]

Good luck Headstrex

[Headsterx]

Good luck Headstrex

Thanks Nate!

[Headsterx]

Record is still pending.

Romania: Stiinta U Craiova U19 vs Unirea Bascov U19 u2.5 (+225) / 0-1 2H

[flyingillini]

UAE clean sheet 12:30am

[Headsterx]

(Yeah I know, get that audit finished. Sorry, been drinking during March Madness games and can't focus but should finish up by afternoon.)

Euro: Scotland vs Cyprus u3 (-115)

[Headsterx]

UAE clean sheet 12:30am

I'm figuring you're referring to Viet time so 11am PT. But there's four games during that time. Which one or all four?

[KVB]

Ah ok, so Post #50 was correct as a loss. There were two similar games but my wager were on Hobart 2 or reserve. Bovada message:

It's Daniel, the agent you are talking over the phone.

Here is the official link which states the total goals of this game was 6:

https://betsapi.com/r/6409278/Metro-Claremont-SC-vs-Hobart-United-Reserves

Regards,

Bovada Customer Service

Here's post #50:

...Australia: Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2 u4.5 (+125) / 0-0 22 mins

Was there another game?

Edit:

This could be Tasmania southern league reserves as opposed to to the Tasmania Championship.

Now I see the confusion.

[Headsterx]

Here's post #50:

Was there another game?

Did Metro FC play Hobart United FC and the reserves, is there even a difference?

You have 0-0 22minutes, but I think there was a goal in the 7th minute.

We must be talking about different games?????

This shows 2-1:

https://www.sofascore.com/hobart-united-fc-metro-claremont-sc/vaecsxGQc

This also shows 2-1:

https://www.aiscore.com/head-to-head/soccer-hobart-united-vs-metro-claremont-sc

Here's a Hobart schedule from one site showing 2-1:

https://www.totalcorner.com/team/view/39707

Here's a Metro schedule from yet another site showing 2-1:

https://www.scorebar.com/team/2436/metro-claremont-sc

What am I missing here?

So Metro played Hobart 2 (reserved) at midnight (PT) which I bet 20 mins later and total goals 6. Then Metro played Hobart (non-reserved) at 2:15am which had total goals 3.

I remembered trying to follow my bet but couldn’t find any site having it. I had to follow it on Bovada and then they lost the live feed in 2H.

The link that Bovada gave me is the only existing link I know of that game.

[Headsterx]

I'm figuring you're referring to Viet time so 11am PT. But there's four games during that time. Which one or all four?

Oh, I got it, UAE in Friendly game. Clean sheet +120.

[KVB]

So Metro played Hobart 2 (reserved) at midnight (PT) which I bet 20 mins later and total goals 6. Then Metro played Hobart (non-reserved) at 2:15am which had total goals 3.

I remembered trying to follow my bet but couldn’t find any site having it. I had to follow it on Bovada and then they lost the live feed in 2H.

The link that Bovada gave me is the only existing link I know of that game.

I edited that post.

I figured it out. Had trouble finding the reserves scores, but found it. For Metro, it alwasy says SC, even the reserves scores.

https://www.scorebar.com/team/10392/hobart-united-reserves

[Headsterx]

Oh, I got it, UAE in Friendly game. Clean sheet +120.

Tied up 0-0. Maybe both team will clean sheet.

[KVB]

Headster, I don't why I decided to track all that. It was either the 3-3 record that should have been 4-4 or one of the mistakes that seemed to be hurting your record.

Whatever it was, good thread.

I learned something today about those Australian Leagues, and the reserves, and I appreciate it.

[Headsterx]

Headster, I don't why I decided to track all that. It was either the 3-3 record that should have been 4-4 or one of the mistakes that seemed to be hurting your record.

Whatever it was, good thread.

I learned something today about those Australian Leagues, and the reserves, and I appreciate it.

I do appreciate your audit as I didn't realized those mistakes. Most of them are live wagers and I'm hurrying up to post it and calculate the record before it gets stale. And then drinking doesn't help... lol

[KVB]

I do appreciate your audit as I didn't realized those mistakes. Most of them are live wagers and I'm hurrying up to post it and calculate the record before it gets stale. And then drinking doesn't help... lol

Don't worry pal. We all know that these things happen...

Get lost piece of shit if you weren't a coward and you ever posted picks you'd know that .7 units mistakes happen all the time…

[KVB]

[Headsterx]

[Headsterx]

Euro: Spain vs Norway u2 (+138) / 0-0 7 mins

[Headsterx]

MLS: Portland Timbers vs LA Galaxy u2.5 (+114)

[Headsterx]

(I think Brazil?): Baré vs Atlético Roraima u2.5 (+113) / 0-0 27 mins

[Headsterx]

(I think Brazil?): Baré vs Atlético Roraima u2.5 (+113) / 0-0 27 mins

Campeonatos Estaduais - Roraimense ???

[Headsterx]

MLS: Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City u2.5 (+102)

[Headsterx]

Euro: Kazakhstan vs Denmark u2 (+120) / 0-0 15 mins

[Headsterx]

Euro: Slovenia vs San Marino u4 (+105) / 0-0 10 mins

[Headsterx]

Paraguay: Club Guarani (W) vs Nacional - Humaita (W) u3.5 (+185) / 1-0 22 mins

[Headsterx]

Peru: Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico u1.5 (-125) / 0-0 48 mins