NFL Caping 101

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  • BiTeMe UsAdOj
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-18-11
    • 7537

    #1
    NFL Caping 101
    Ok... so I'm hearing/reading a decent amount of a Philly 'blowout', which I don't see at all. Obviously, Philly can win this game... BUT, imho, this is one of those games, between 2 good teams, that screams of over-analysis by supposed 'sharps', when NFL Caping 101 should seize the day:

    I.E., BETTER HEAD COACH... BETTER QB... WINS THIS GAME. Kansas City wins this football game (that's no knock to Sirianni and Hurts, they're both good... Reid/Mahomes are simply better).

    So... +$ for KC ML for me; not bombing it... but decent sized bet. Additionally, the plus side for a Chiefs win is Andy Reid parlays it into even more commercials other than Progressive, i.e., BlueChew pills, Peyronie's Disease treatments, new manscaping tools that help you lose weight while trimming doze nutz.....
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37315

    #2
    Interesting angle, Bite. I think that's why I can't bet this game:

    *Eagles really are anonymous.

    1) Most of their great players are Def Linemen and Off Linemen (Lane Johnson and Jason Kelce).
    2) How many people can name the PHI HC? I could do it, but don't think I'd spell it correctly.
    3) As for name recognition, you got it. Mahomes/Reid in the commercials.

    As a betting event, I just can't get excited about this game.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • franklee168
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-06-11
      • 5544

      #3
      Super Bowl is really the biggest circus of the year. It’s amazing how many go crazy with their plays. It’s just another game when you really think about it.
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37315

        #4
        Originally posted by franklee168
        Super Bowl is really the biggest circus of the year. It’s amazing how many go crazy with their plays. It’s just another game when you really think about it.
        Exactly, Frank. Not to mention:
        *320Million people are dissecting this # with a paring-knife.

        As if you're going to slip one past the goalie. Wish I had a stronger opinion.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • BiTeMe UsAdOj
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-18-11
          • 7537

          #5
          Well, as we know, Chucky... football games are, indeed, won in the trenches; and geez, Philly is certainly formidable on both sides of the ball, there.

          But I'm not talking about name recognition; Reid is a HOF coach. Mahomes is a HOF player. Both are going to the Hall for good reasons; give Reid 2 weeks to game-plan and have Mahomes to execute that game-plan... they win this game (throw out the Brady Bucs/ KC loss to them in SB, KC didn't have an O-line in that game).

          Sprinkle a bit on KC ML... and when you cash @ the window and head to the nearest strip club for that celebratory lapper: TELL HER BiTeMe sent ya (and it's 50/50 she'll actually know me).
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 37315

            #6
            Bite, I've run that exact play in the playbook. Cashed a nice ticket thanks to Sam Bradford. Money goes quickly in the dark of the The Spearmint Rhino.

            Good Luck on your play.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • BiTeMe UsAdOj
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-18-11
              • 7537

              #7
              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
              Bite, I've run that exact play in the playbook. Cashed a nice ticket thanks to Sam Bradford. Money goes quickly in the dark of the The Spearmint Rhino.
              Hear ya, pal.
              Btw, did ya know our own SBR Kermit pulls an occasional shift @Rhino? BUT, under no circumstances let him sweet-talk you into a lapper... ok? The only thing that green poser yaps about in the Champagne Room is Biden, Dems, BLM, etc... hell, even Corbin's lil cashew shrunk to a 1.5" (or so the story went that stevek told me).

              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 37315

                #8
                I knew Kermit was talented. Didn't know he could do that.

                PS: why does he smell like Pork?
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • gauchojake
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-17-10
                  • 34109

                  #9
                  Biter God bless you and your plays
                  Comment
                  • BiTeMe UsAdOj
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-18-11
                    • 7537

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                    PS: why does he smell like Pork?
                    Biden, obviously.
                    Comment
                    • BiTeMe UsAdOj
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-18-11
                      • 7537

                      #11
                      TY, jake.
                      Btw:
                      1) I sent you the initial 6points for your kind sentiment.

                      2) I then sent the additional 9 for, yep... of course... for the ham-handed, clumsy 6/9 sexual innuendo combo. But, can you really blame me? I mean, look @ Kermit working that pole in that .gif -- THAT'S HAWT!!!!

                      3) The last 50pts sent was for the really, really, really, really (I mean REALLY!) important and most fantastical and significant reason of ALL round these parts these days: SO YOU'LL BE IN POSITION TO LEVEL UP YOUR TIER LEVEL ON SBR!!! 50 big ones gets you closer to that "G-Spot Tier Level" that Shari was hinting about in her last post. To quote Bart Scott: "Can't Wait!!!"
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82771

                        #12
                        This is the first Superbowl where you have 33 states with legal gambling. The average square gambler who bets once or twice a year will bet the Eagles because of the line (small chalk). So when this happens the sharps will clean up by betting Chiefs. It's no rocket science.
                        Comment
                        • kidcudi92
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-14-11
                          • 15434

                          #13
                          Originally posted by franklee168
                          Super Bowl is really the biggest circus of the year. It’s amazing how many go crazy with their plays. It’s just another game when you really think about it.
                          I am a degen and the people who come out of the woodwork to act like they bet every day/are experts on betting lines or anything in real life at a SB party…my lord

                          Like I said, I am a degen but at least I know how the shit works. These guys bet 1 day a year and are the experts about everything. I just stay silent
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37315

                            #14
                            Frank:

                            *My one tradition for Super Bowl weekend has been to review the series of Super Bowl Memories presented by NFL Films (and Steve Sabol).

                            Love going back and reviewing the history. This year's game is strangely not that interesting to me.

                            I think it's b/c:
                            1) Chiefs might be too banged up to win.
                            2) I'm really not sure how good the Eagles are (on a historic basis).
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • gauchojake
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-17-10
                              • 34109

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BiTeMe UsAdOj
                              TY, jake.
                              Btw:
                              1) I sent you the initial 6points for your kind sentiment.

                              2) I then sent the additional 9 for, yep... of course... for the ham-handed, clumsy 6/9 sexual innuendo combo. But, can you really blame me? I mean, look @ Kermit working that pole in that .gif -- THAT'S HAWT!!!!

                              3) The last 50pts sent was for the really, really, really, really (I mean REALLY!) important and most fantastical and significant reason of ALL round these parts these days: SO YOU'LL BE IN POSITION TO LEVEL UP YOUR TIER LEVEL ON SBR!!! 50 big ones gets you closer to that "G-Spot Tier Level" that Shari was hinting about in her last post. To quote Bart Scott: "Can't Wait!!!"
                              Thank you sir. Glad to see you around. Always appreciate you.
                              Comment
                              • pologq
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-07-12
                                • 19899

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                I knew Kermit was talented. Didn't know he could do that.

                                PS: why does he smell like Pork?
                                ms piggy got that phat pussy and ass
                                Comment
                                • BiTeMe UsAdOj
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-18-11
                                  • 7537

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pologq
                                  ms piggy got that phat pussy and ass
                                  Comment
                                  • OldBill
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-02-21
                                    • 6416

                                    #18
                                    League MVP winner / Fade USA Today 100%

                                    just found this

                                    Been a while but the big game is finally less than a week away which means the NFL league mvp winner will be announced this week as well. Going back and looking at all the QB league mvp winners , the last to also win a Super Bowl was Kurt Warner in 1999.

                                    Not very good odds. Brady , Matt Ryan , Cam Newton , and the great Peyton Manning just to name a few that have failed to win both. Another interesting way I’ve been able to pick the superbowl winner in the last 5 years straight is by picking up the Main USA Today newspaper on Friday.

                                    The front of the news paper will be advertising the loosing team of the superbowl and if there’s nothing on the main , Then in the sports section the cover and main picture you see will be the loser of the superbowl.

                                    Fade , fade , fade ! This has worked 5 years straight and I’ve used it time after time And it continues to work.

                                    Last year main cover had nothing but sports section had all OBJ pictures and stories about the trade and how he got them to the superbowl.
                                    I took Cinci plus the points.

                                    The year before Mahomes was on the main cover of the paper and when u open the sports section there was a huge picture of Pat Mahomes again flexing. Tampa plus the points was a winner.
                                    Year
                                    before that main cover had nothing , sports section had a big picture of Jimmy G. Kc mL was the play. (i had kc - points)

                                    Year before that was rams on the cover of sports section New England won. And lastly before that was Tom Brady and Belichick hugging each other on the sports section big huge picture and of course Nick foles and philly plus the points was the play.

                                    i had eagles also Brady big yelling face on the playbook cover also on madden cover and the kiss of death league MVP before the sb

                                    I’ve saved them all , I got proof of everything. Can’t wait to c who they got this year but we shall know by Friday morning boys and girls.
                                    My official play will be released later this week.

                                    Comment
                                    • edawg
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-09-11
                                      • 2820

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pologq
                                      ms piggy got that phat pussy and ass
                                      Has that sexy voice too like she always has a little bit of a frog in her throat.
                                      Comment
                                      • mjsuax13
                                        Moderator
                                        • 03-14-15
                                        • 25090

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by franklee168
                                        Super Bowl is really the biggest circus of the year. It’s amazing how many go crazy with their plays. It’s just another game when you really think about it.
                                        100%. Just another game. Normal bet size.
                                        Comment
                                        • Nate rasta
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-30-22
                                          • 2953

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by franklee168
                                          Super Bowl is really the biggest circus of the year. It’s amazing how many go crazy with their plays. It’s just another game when you really think about it.
                                          I think people over bet the Super Bowl because this is the last football game to bet on for 6 months. Football is the funnest game to bet on and watch. people just getting there last fix in
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82771

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Nate rasta
                                            I think people over bet the Super Bowl because this is the last football game to bet on for 6 months. Football is the funnest game to bet on and watch. people just getting there last fix in
                                            Soccer is match easier to bet on. And is on 12 months non-stop. In football not only you have to predict the winner but they have to win by a certain margin to win your bet. This is not fun. It's very stresfull and this is why most people have to sweat their bets until the last second.
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                                              Soccer is match easier to bet on. And is on 12 months non-stop. In football not only you have to predict the winner but they have to win by a certain margin to win your bet. This is not fun. It's very stresfull and this is why most people have to sweat their bets until the last second.
                                              So then bet the ml.

                                              Soccer has three possible results. How is it easier ? Dogs practically never win.
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82771

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                So then bet the ml.

                                                Soccer has three possible results. How is it easier ? Dogs practically never win.
                                                I can bet 100 games everyday and on weekends about 500 games. The lines are very soft in soccer.

                                                In the NFL you have 13-15 games every week in one day and the lines are extremely sharp.
                                                Comment
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